Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(4/3)-(4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(4/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-4   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(4/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(4/5/2)-(4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-5   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/6)-(6/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-6   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(6/3/4)-(7/3/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FNO-7   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(7/3/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FNO-8   WIN (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-2   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INCREDIBLE SHOT Oct01 Sep16 Apr30 Apr16   (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.00    
2  DOO WOP DON Sep08 Aug18 Jun03 Apr29 Mar23 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  MITICO Jun03 May06 Apr09 Feb10 Dec10 (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 125 4.00    
4  SATANTA Sep23 Aug27 Aug20 Aug06 Jul21 (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 125 2.50 49% 1.00    
5  FAR WEST Sep04 Aug19 Jul21 Jun17 May29 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 6.00    
 
FNO-3   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWIRLING DERBY Oct07 Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Jul29 (preciado guil)RIVERA SANTOS 121 1.80    
2  POUR ON THE COLE Oct06 Aug26 Aug13 Aug03 Jul21 (puentes j)MARTINEZ CATALINO 121 2.50    
3  BEL RAGAZZO Oct06 Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jul07 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
4  BABY FRANKIE Sep18 Sep10 Aug26 Jun17 May20 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 123 4.00 49% 1.00    
5  BENNY THE JET Oct09 Oct01 Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 (puentes jose)CRUZ M 123 5.00    
 
FNO-4   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APLOMBADO Sep24 Sep11 Aug28 Apr28 Apr08 (france reid)ROMAN A 122 5.00    
SCR  SPLIT ACES Oct02 Jul29 Oct30 Aug26 Jul30 (lenzini mic)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 6.00    
3  EL CAPRICHO Jan28 Jan07 Dec09 Nov06 Oct10 (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 122 3.00    
4  DARK MYSTERY Oct09 Sep24 Sep11 Aug27 Jul30 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
5  LET GEORGE DO IT Oct02 Sep18 Sep10 Sep04 Aug19 (perez serg)CRUZ DIAZ 125 10.00 19% 4.40    
6  BRONZE ONE Oct06 Sep18 Jul30 Jul23 May28 (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50    
7  MR. BUGS Oct09 Sep11 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00 8% 11.30    
 
FNO-5   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GABRIELLA Sep09 Oct29 Oct10 Sep16   (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 8.00    
2  BRANNIGAN Oct06 Sep16 Aug27 Aug04 Jul22 (perez serg)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 6.00 16% 5.20    
3  SMILING PREACHER Oct08 Sep16 Aug27 Aug19   (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00    
4  O'BANION (IRE) Oct01 Sep16 Jul01 Jun09 Apr22 (steiner jack)ROMAN A 122 1.60 26% 2.90    
5  THECHIEFHASTRICKS Oct01 Sep09 Aug11 Jul22 Jul02 (puentes j)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  BOBBED N LURED Sep23 Sep02 Aug04     (stortz marcia)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
 
FNO-6   10/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKOUT POINT Sep25 Sep09 Aug27 Aug18 Jul28 (greiner )AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00    
2  LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Oct02 Aug27 Aug13 Jul21 Jul04 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 4.00    
SCR  HEY MATE Sep18 Aug12 Jul09 Jun18 May27 (paldanius )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00    
4  IL CAPITANO (GB) Oct02 Aug27 Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 (steiner jack)ROMAN A 121 3.00 57% 0.70    
5  LIL MIRACLE MAN Oct08 Sep18 Sep02 Aug12 Jul21 (thomas ruby)PENA BRYAN 121 5.00    
6  BRONZE WARRIOR Sep18 Aug27 Aug20 Aug11 Jul30 (greiner g)MARTINEZ CATALINO 121 4.50 10% 8.70    
 
FNO-7   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOMI LACKEE Oct07 Sep25 Sep17 Sep10 Aug26 (gabriel lu)CRUZ DIAZ 122 12.00    
SCR  LADY GREGORY Oct07 Sep11 Aug25 Aug18 Jul23 (tamayo isidro)FLORES P 125 2.50    
3  NAN ELIZABETH Oct06 Sep10 Aug26 Aug13 Aug04 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 125 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  YOUNG LIFE LAURA Sep17 Sep10 Aug20 Aug13 Jul23 (perez s)ALVARADO T 122 10.00 12% 7.10    
5  TIP TOP GAL Sep23 Aug11 Jul30 Jun17 May07 (miller quen)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 8.00    
6  TAMARA MINE Sep17 Aug04 Jul09 Jun24 May19 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 127 1.80 40% 1.50    
7  CITY GLITTER Sep17 Aug11 Jul22 Jul08 Jun16 (ruvalcab)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00    
 
FNO-8   10/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKES A VILLAGE Aug26 Aug20 Aug06 Mar18 Feb26 (rubin i)HERRERA HUGO 121 6.00    
2  COASTAL STARLITE Oct06 Sep11 Aug27 Aug20 May21 (mcdonald m)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
3  TWO TWELVE Oct06 Sep10 Aug05 Jul29 Jun18 (greiner gar)GARCIA EPIFANIO 121 3.00 16% 5.50    
4  HOW ABOUT A FRESCA Oct06 Sep11 Sep02 Aug12 Jun09 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 118 6.00 9% 10.30    
5  LAKER JET Oct07 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Aug06 (bean a)CRUZ M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISCHIEF MAMA Oct06 Sep17 Sep09 Aug27 Aug11 (bean robe)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 121 10.00    
7  SEVEN SISTERS Oct06 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul03 (morgan dan)OROZCO E 121 3.50 54% 0.80    
8  ALESHA Feb26 Feb11 Jan22 Jan06 Dec02 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 121 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.