Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(3/5/4)-(4/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(4/1/5)-(2/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(2/6/1)-(3/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(3/7/1)-(4/5/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(4/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(4/5/6/3)-(4/2/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3)-(4/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/3)-(4/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/3)-(4/2/8/6)-(1/7/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/6)-(1/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISYPHUS Aug25 Aug02       (rose j)CULLUM W 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
  (by WEST COAST out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  HEY BOOTS         (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50 7% 13.40    
  (by BUCCHERO out of WINNING FOR SARAH by GRAEME HALL)
3  ONE WAY FARRIOR Sep02         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by RACE DAY out of MORE STORMYWEATHER by MORE THAN READY)
4  HAMMER         (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AURORA'S RIDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  P B FOXY         (venham d)BATISTA A 119 12.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of POSEIDON'S BLUFF by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  GOLD DILEMMA         (pickett c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MY KINDA DEVIL by LEMON DROP KID)
7  TECH DUINN Jul14 Jun16 May12     (venham d)BATISTA C 122 6.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SEAHAG by CASHEL CASTLE)
 
CT-2   09/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EISELE Jul13 Jun22 May05 Apr20 Mar16 (hummer richar)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
2  FORT FORTITUDE Aug17 Aug05 Jun15 Jun02 May13 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00    
3  MOON OVER MONTANA Aug26 May06 Apr15 Mar01 Jan19 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 1.60 51% 0.90    
4  CHARLIE POTATOES Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun02 May13 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 8% 11.60    
5  NO FOOLING DUDE Aug17 Jul20 Jul07 Jun09 May19 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 16% 5.30    
6  SUPERHIGHWAY Aug17 Aug05 May09 Mar16   (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
SCR  ENVISION SUCCESS Jul14 Aug18 Jul28 May26 Mar24 (hummer richa)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00    
 
CT-3   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINBOW RHYTHM Jul20 Jun22 Apr29 Jun24   (runco c)BOCACHICA O 120 2.50 11% 8.20    
2  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Jul15 May12 May06 Apr20 Mar25 (aylor natasha)ADAMS L 117 20.00    
3  MARQUET CLASSIC Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 May04   (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 ★    
4  MOONTAP Aug25 May21 Mar30     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 62% 0.60    
5  JERSEY COAST Aug10 Jun03 Mar19 Jan23 Nov09 (romero rafael)RODRIGUEZ V 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Aug24 Aug03 May12 Apr08 Mar17 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
7  WAVERLEY Aug27 Aug13 Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 4.50    
8  SCARLETT STRONG Sep02 Aug06 Jul06 Oct28   (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
 
CT-4   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARGENT KOBE Sep01 Aug19 Jul27 Jun24 May27 (lane j)ADAMS L 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLUE N GOLD Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.40 40% 1.50    
3  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Aug19 Aug03 Jul07 Jun16 May26 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00    
4  DANNY'S WINKSTER Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 Jun22 May04 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
5  LIL MR MATT Nov24 Oct18 Sep27 Jul14 Jun13 (collins tim)BATISTA A 124 12.00    
6  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Aug31 Jul21 Jun22 May06 Apr20 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Aug24 Jul21 Jul13 Jun22 May26 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50    
 
CT-5   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAGLER Aug25 Aug18 Aug05 Jul27 Jul06 (ginter )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Aug13 Jul31 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
3  JAYJAYDEE Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 May20 May05 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.00 66% 0.50    
4  MONTAUK DADDY Sep01 Jul28 Jul15 May13 May07 (spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
5  DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Jul06 Jun03 Mar31 Mar05 Feb20 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00    
6  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Jun24 May22 May05 Apr08 Mar01 (pickett c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
7  RIDICULOUS Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 Jun24 Apr22 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 7% 12.50    
8  UNCAPTURED KING Aug18 Aug04 Jul01 Jun02 May20 (murdock ste)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
 
CT-6   09/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERTURTLE Sep02 Jul22 Jun17 Feb10 Jan13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
2  TIZBIT Aug26 Aug05 Jul20 Jul01 May20 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 122 10.00    
3  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jul29 Jul13 Jun17 Apr13 Mar24 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CENTERFOLD ANGEL Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May06 Apr15 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 56% 0.80    
5  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Aug24 Aug05 Jun16 Jun05 May04 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50 8% 11.20    
6  CHINA CAT Aug19 May27 May06 Apr08 Mar04 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 7% 12.40    
7  SHERIFF'S KID Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 May27 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
8  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Aug19 Jul29 Jun16 Apr29 Apr13 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 124 15.00    
 
CT-7   09/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTLE TOY Aug30 Aug24 Jul30 Jul06 Jun02 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
2  MUSIC LASS Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 Jun30 May12 (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.80 21% 3.80    
3  MYGIDGETMARIE Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 Jun10 May26 (huet k)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
4  CAJUN COUSIN Aug24 Jul12 Jun18 May23 Apr04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  CHURCH KEY Aug19 Jul14 Jul03 Jun19 May21 (harrison )BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
6  SHUTUPN'KISSME Jul27 Apr29 Mar23 Feb11 Jan25 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 8% 11.80    
7  GOT ANY Aug15 Aug05 Jun19 May14 Nov19 (pearson)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
8  AIM'S JUBILEE Sep02 Aug12 Jul27 Jul07 Mar09 (reggetts s)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 8% 11.70    
 
CT-8   09/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALENTED CORINNA Aug24 Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 May25 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  AMERICAS WOMAN Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 Jan05 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
3  CURLIN'S DOVE Aug24 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May27 (sterling )BOCACHICA J 115 3.50 5% 17.80    
4  GREAT DEVOTION Aug24 Aug03 Jul14 Jun22 Jun01 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 7% 13.40    
SCR  DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS Aug26 Aug18 Aug03 Jul15 Apr20 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00    
6  EXCLUSIVE ROSE Sep02 Jul08 Jun18 May14 Apr08 (juarez calixto)ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
7  SPUNKY ZOEY Aug16 Jul29 Jul13 Jun17 May27 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
8  MIDNIGHT PASS Aug03 Jul14 Jul08 Jun24 May12 (racanelli mar)BATISTA C 120 20.00    
9  TAKE CHARGE LISA Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.