Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Black Foot
Friday - September 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BKF-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BKF-3   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
BKF-5   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
BKF-7   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
BKF-8   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BKF-2   09/08/2023 2850ft DIRT RC11 FAST EISF Thoroughbred Dash Purse ($4.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE BILLY'S BOY Jul24 Jun25 Jun12     (evans kash)WOOD DAKOTA 126 5.00    
  (by INDY EXPRESS out of SASSY BLEND by RICHLY BLENDED)
SPEED PASS Aug19 Mar20       (hanso)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 1.60 60% 0.70    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of JULIE NAPP by CURLIN)
MIDNIGHT DRAMA Sep01 May19 May06 Apr02 Mar11 (gray kirk)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00    
  (by BIG DRAMA out of ROYALTYATMIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
WRATH Aug19 Jul16 May27 May05 Apr15 (ecoffey )HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 11% 8.30    
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ROSAT Jul16 Jun25 May14 Mar19 Jan07 (crooked dale)ROCK ZACH 126 7.00    
  (by TRIBAL RULE out of AMAPOLA'S WISH by COZZENE)
 
BKF-3   09/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($2.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARBUCKLE OUTLAW Jul30 Jul23 Jul16 Jun16 May20 (birdrattler natha)ROCK ZACH 126 5.00 7% 12.60    
UNCLE JEFF Sep03 Jul22 Jun03 Apr12 Mar21 (meineke )HERNANDEZ J 126 1.60 52% 0.90    
SWEET BEAU ROLL Aug19 Aug12 Oct01 Sep25 Sep02 (jones darrin )DOMINGUEZ F 126 2.50 16% 5.10    
GRIEF Jul22 Jun17 May29 May07 Apr14 (birdrattler )JOHNSON SHANAE 126 3.50    
HOLIDAY JOKE Sep03 Aug19 Aug18 Aug12 Jul22 (ecoffey gilbert)WOOD DAKOTA 126 8.00    
AUSTIN'S ACE Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 Jun25 (gray kirk)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 12.00    
 
BKF-5   09/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Roger Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRTYMINUTEMASS Aug18 Aug05 Jul09 Jun24 Sep05 (simpson gary)ALAYA ERIC 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by HONOR CODE out of POPPY'S BABY GIRL by YANKEE VICTOR)
SMOKIN B Aug19 Oct02 Sep24 Sep04 Aug28 (jones darrin )DOMINGUEZ F 126 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by CONGRATS out of SQUALL CITY by CARSON CITY)
REDDISH Aug19 Jul30 Jul22 Jul16 Sep24 (meineke jessica)WOOD DAKOTA 126 5.00    
  (by RUNNING TAP out of D J'S STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCOOTER'S BOY Jul30 Jul23 Jul16 Jun25 Jun16 (ecoffey )HERNANDEZ J 126 2.00    
  (by FLATTER out of EK HASEENA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SHELBY TO Aug05 Jul21 Jul10 Jun17 Jun04 (ecoffey w)ROCK ZACH 123 7.00    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of CALL ME SHELBY by ALDEBARAN)
 
BKF-7   09/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST EISF Thoroughbred Derby Purse ($4.05K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY GRANDSON Aug19 Jul29 Jul23 Jul15 Jul01 (meineke jessica)WOOD DAKOTA 124 1.60    
  (by LINCHPIN out of JUDICATURE by TRIBUNAL)
IN THE FAST LANE Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 (simpson l)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 5.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of LITHE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  STAN THE CAMERAMAN Jul30 Jun25 Jun07 May21 May04 (ecoff)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 7.00    
  (by STANFORD (IRE) out of MS WAKAYA by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  CUTE RENEGADE Sep03 Aug18 Jul30 Jul01 Jun16 (ecoffey gilb)JOHNSON SHANAE 121 4.00    
  (by JERANIMO out of CAMEO CUTIE by SLEWDLEDO)
IMA CARPE DIEM Aug26 Jul30 Jul23 Jul15 May21 (warren k)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of KEG STAND by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
BKF-8   09/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jim Purse ($5.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET N SOUR Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 Jun17 (simpson l)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of LADY CARRINGTON by LEMON DROP KID)
CALLE DE BOYD Aug05 Jun09 May27 May12 Apr12 (ecoffey gil)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of TWISTED by TWINING)
BRITE TAN Jun18 Jun04 Apr01 Mar13 Feb21 (reevis narsi)JOHNSON SHANAE 123 10.00    
  (by TANNERSMYMAN out of HIGH BRITE CIELO by HIGH BRITE)
GOOD ONE Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 May20 Apr07 (ecoffey w)ROCK ZACH 126 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
GREY POINT Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 (evans kash)WOOD DAKOTA 126 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of CHAMPION ROSE by MACHO UNO)
SAN GIORGIO Sep03 Jul30 Jul23 Jul16 Jun25 (warren k)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by GIROLAMO out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
WESTON Jul02 Sep09 Aug21 Aug19 Jul16 (hanso)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 1.60 35% 1.90    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ELKE by DIXIE UNION)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.