Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - September 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/4/5)-(6/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTM-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-6   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(1/2/4/8)-(4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-7   WIN (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-8   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-9   WIN (6/7/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/9)-(6/7/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/9)-(6/7/1/9)-(6/7/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/9)-(10/2/4)-(11/9/2/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CTM-10   WIN (10/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/4)-(10/2/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/4)-(10/2/4/5/9)-(10/2/4/5/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/2/4)-(11/9/2/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CTM-11   WIN (11/9/2/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/9/2/6/4)-(11/9/2/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/9/2/6/4)-(11/9/2/6/4)-(11/9/2/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX SHOTS OF T Jul29 Jul16 Jun10 May27 Apr05 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
2  BOBS BUDDY Jul30         (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 12% 7.50    
3  KAPTAIN KOWBOY Jun30 Jun03 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 122 4.00    
4  BORN ON FIRE Jun10 Apr23 Mar19 Dec30   (bell ken)NATERA KEIHTON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  RYE TOAST Aug18         (petrowski )RIZO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
6  AL REICHERT Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 May13   (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50    
 
CTM-2   09/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL MESS Aug19 Jul07 Jun09 Apr18 Mar27 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 77% 0.30    
2  QUEEN RHONDA Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 (smith ron )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLDEN FORTYNINE Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 May26 (kettleson a)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
4  MISS MCBRIDE Aug11 Jul23 Jul09 Jan06 Dec09 (anderson)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.50    
5  NO MORE JO KING Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 May06 (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.50 ★    
6  I SAID QUIET Aug11 Jul28 Jul09     (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 8.00    
 
CTM-3   09/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12K) Purse ($11.5K) 2 ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISTORTED ROSE         (depew jim)RIZO ALEXIS 119 12.00    
2  CASSANO         (hedge)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 8.00    
3  DARE MIGHTY THINGS Aug19         (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 117 3.00 55% 0.80    
4  MORNING RAIN         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 119 3.50 12% 7.00    
5  SALTY CAT         (nicholson david)BRYAN D 119 10.00 5% 17.90    
6  EL PASO Aug19         (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 122 4.50    
7  CHICKS DIG CAPES Aug04 Jul21       (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 122 2.50    
 
CTM-4   09/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL JUSTICE Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 May27   (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
2  ZURI RISASI Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 May13 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 125 4.50 18% 4.50    
3  CAROSWAY Aug12 Jul23 Jun30     (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 122 3.50    
4  REMAIN CALM Jul30 Jun23 May26 May13 Nov04 (petrowski jo)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00    
5  JOKERS R WILD Aug27 Aug05 Jul22 May13 Oct29 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 12.00    
6  WIZARDOFMENLOPARK Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jun19 Jun09 (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 117 3.00 26% 2.90    
7  PUNCH PERFECT Aug19 Aug11 Jul29 Jul16 Jun23 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 122 10.00    
 
CTM-5   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISH ON A STAR Aug13 Jul23 May06     (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 61% 0.70    
2  DARLA'S FURY Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08   (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.50    
3  MILITARY SASS Aug13 Jul23 Jun09     (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 8.00    
4  HERE'S LEXIE Aug19 Jul29 Jul29 Jul08   (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 12.00    
5  STARMA Nov05 Sep23       (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 3.00    
6  SMOKIN JOY Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jul09 Nov05 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLAZING SUN         (kettle)STEADMAN LEON 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
CTM-6   09/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOT ON DUDE Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 Jun03 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  FROSTEDBIRD Aug19 Aug06 Jul30 Jul23 Jun30 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 8.00    
3  REMARKABLE ELI Aug06 Jul22 Oct29 Aug28 Aug20 (gilkyson ashley)BRYAN D 123 10.00    
4  MONEY MUNCHER Jul30 Jul01 Jun03 May13 Apr09 (nicholson d)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
5  ABOVE AND BEYOND Aug06 Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 Jun03 (payne)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 4.50 15% 5.50    
6  RUNNINFORCOVER Aug25 Jul22 Jul09 Jun23 May26 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 33% 2.10    
7  SPORTSCARR Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 Jun03 May26 (heggie rod)NATERA KEIHTON 123 6.00    
 
CTM-7   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTY WINDS Aug12 Jul23       (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by COUNTY RUCKUS out of SONORA WINDS by BEST MINISTER)
2  BRYNN'S DREAM Aug12 Jul23 Jun09 May26 May06 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 5.00 13% 6.40    
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
3  SMART DECISION Aug12 Jul23       (robertson j)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of SMILE AGAIN THETA by SMILE AGAIN)
4  MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA Aug19 Jul23 Jul07 Jun09   (leech william)ZENTENO EDGAR 119 12.00 11% 8.00    
  (by MIDNITE POPPA out of INSTANT STYLE by FORESTRY)
5  OUR SUNSHINE Aug12 Jul23 Jun10 May27 May06 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 2.00    
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
6  KISS ME HELLO Aug05 Jul23 May27 May06 Oct29 (kingston c)BRYAN D 122 6.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of KISS ME GOODBYE by GULCH)
7  SUNDROP (JPN) Aug26 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 May12 (mcken)GASKIN ZAVIER 114 25.00    
  (by SUNDAY SILENCE out of OENOTHERA (IRE) by NIGHT SHIFT)
8  ALBERTA BERBON Aug12 Jul16       (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
 
CTM-8   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABS DELIGHT Jul09 Jun09 May12 Nov05 Oct01 (grieves ro)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 12.00    
SCR  PRANCE May02 Apr10 Mar14 Feb26 Jan18 (brown ji)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Aug12 Jul30 Jul09 Jun16 Jun02 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 8.00 14% 6.40    
4  COUNT ON IT Aug04 Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 Sep30 (walper deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 16% 5.30    
5  EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Aug18 Aug04 Jul23 Jun03 May12 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 5.00 9% 10.50    
6  MISTY MATT Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul16 Jun24 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 20.00    
7  DAZZLING MIST Aug04 Jul30 Jul16 Jun03 May26 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 6.00    
8  SUDDENLY MISTY Aug12 Jul28 Jun16 May27 Oct08 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 15.00    
 
CTM-9   09/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY CINDERELLA Aug18 Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 Jun17 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  PAULINA'S STAR Aug11 Jul21 Jun17 Jun02 Apr18 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50    
3  SAVYSKYE Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 123 15.00    
4  SECRET HAVEN Aug11 Jul15 Jul02 May21 May07 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00    
5  PERPETUAL BLISS Aug06 May27 May13 Nov04 Oct15 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 10.00    
6  SWIFT SWALLOW Aug11 Jul21 May27 Oct21 Sep30 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 3.50 38% 1.70    
7  SHAKEITFORMEGIRL Aug18 Aug04 Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 (w)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 4.00 19% 4.40    
8  CUVEE TEE Aug13 Aug05 May27 Oct07 Sep24 (ward a)STEADMAN LEON 123 20.00    
9  VIVIEN'S CHARM Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 May13 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
CTM-10   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIZZLIN ROSE Aug19 Aug04 Jul21     (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 12.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
2  CAPE'S LEGACY Aug04 Jul21       (frey carson)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00 5% 18.60    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
3  E PAY ALL THE WAY Aug05         (laczo br)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of E LOOE by LURE)
4  SAWCHUK         (davies deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EDISON out of THE CAT'S AFFAIR by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  DERMOT'S DILEMMA         (payne)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 15.00 ★    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of WHINNY MAGOOGIN by LATENT HEAT)
6  BURNING UP Aug19         (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 119 20.00    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of MISS FIRE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  DESTIN TO BE GREAT         (kingston c)BRYAN D 119 20.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  KULSUM Aug19 Aug04 Jul21     (brown r)NATERA KEIHTON 119 8.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
9  SKY COMAND         (kettleson aliv)MARTIN ANDRE 122 25.00 ★    
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of CHARM'S BABY BLUE by CHARMING ASSASSIN)
10  BROKEN PROMISES Aug19         (kingston karl)ZENTENO EDGAR 119 3.00 72% 0.40    
  (by MATT'S BROKEN VOW out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
SCR  SADIE MY LADY         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
 
CTM-11   09/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG AL'S VISION Aug04 Jul23 Jun30 Jun23 Jun09 (frey carso)RIZO ALEXIS 125 20.00    
2  LITTLE CHICAGO Aug13 Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 Jun10 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 5.00 18% 4.70    
3  MR. KALYPSO Aug13 Jul21 Jul07 Oct01 Sep09 (buehler r)BRYAN D 123 10.00    
4  JUMEIRAH COAST Jul22 Jun16 Jun03 Oct22 Oct01 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 25.00 5% 19.00    
5  GIVE EM HECK BECK Aug18 Jul09 Jun03 Mar15 Mar06 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 25.00    
6  CASHLINGS Mar03 Feb04 Jan07     (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 4.50 12% 7.10    
7  CARSON'S LEGACY Aug25 Aug13 Jul28 Jul21 Jul09 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 12.00    
8  FROBISHER BAY Aug04 Jul22 Jun30 Jun24 Jun09 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 30.00    
9  HARD TO COME HOME Aug25 Aug12 Jun30 May26 May12 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 19% 4.10    
10  MAJESTIC CAFE Aug13 Jul23 Nov04 Oct21 Oct07 (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 25.00    
11  EXAMINER Aug18 Aug04 Jul28 Jun16 Jun03 (humbke che)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
12  LIL ZAPPER Aug19 Jul29 Jul22 Jul01 May27 (payne)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 15.00    
SCR  ENTITLED STAR Aug18 Jul23 Jun23 Jun09 May12 (mckenzie a)BRYAN D 122 40.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.