Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/2)-(3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
FON-2   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
FON-3   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(4/3/2/5)-(5/1/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-5   WIN (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5)-(5/1/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-6   WIN (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST LUCK Apr16 Mar11 Feb17 Aug30 Jul25 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 ★    
2  TELLITTOTHEJUDGE Apr07 Mar11 Mar03 Feb17 Jun18 (bliss dean)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 1.80 34% 1.90    
3  SING CHARMER SING Apr16 Mar31 Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 2.00 38% 1.70    
4  SHES STEEL DREAMIN Apr15 Apr01 Mar19 Mar10 Feb24 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50    
5  P R GIRLFRIEND Apr16 Mar25 Mar03 Feb18 Jun10 (compton jess)BETHKE A 125 8.00    
 
FON-2   04/28/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UPTOWN DIVA Apr21 Aug11       (suter c)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 12.00    
SCR  PIE ALA MODE Mar18 Mar04 Jun11     (dolphus junior)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
3  GLORIOUSLY WICKED         (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 121 2.50 74% 0.30    
4  JOMAMA SASSY Apr22 Mar25 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 121 10.00    
5  WITT'S GRIS Apr21 Apr15 Mar26 Mar10 Feb25 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 121 1.00 ★    
6  SPITFIRE SUZIE Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 Sep03 Jul01 (peters de)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 ★    
 
FON-3   04/28/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO GET LOUD Apr22 Mar31 Mar17 Feb26 Feb12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00    
2  JAGGED ARROW Apr14 Mar26 Mar17 Feb10 Sep08 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 4.50    
3  SEGOVIANA Apr14 Mar31 Mar05 Feb18 Feb10 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.80 35% 1.90    
4  JAZZ BRUNCH Apr01 Mar18 Sep16 Aug20 Aug05 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 ★    
5  NEBRASKA RED Apr14 Apr07 Mar24 Mar18 Mar05 (mcclain stanley)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
6  LOTS OF GOLD Apr22 Mar31 Feb25 Feb17 Jan14 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
FON-4   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSICALLY WICKED Apr22 Mar10 Jan22     (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 121 15.00    
2  HAPPY QUEST Apr16 Apr02 Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 121 6.00 13% 6.40    
3  SMILIN JOSIE Apr16 Mar26 Mar17 Feb10 Jun17 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 6% 15.80    
4  FIRST RATE ROMANCE Apr22 Apr08 Mar11 Feb26 Feb17 (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 125 5.00    
5  MISS GRAND SLAM Apr16 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb22 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ A 121 8.00    
6  CHARACTER COUNTS Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 Mar05 Feb12 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 121 0.60 51% 1.00    
 
FON-5   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO MINER Apr11 Mar28 Mar14     (dunlap sh)MEDINA ANGEL 121 15.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of MINER'S TOMB by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
2  UNCLE SINGH         (donlin d)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 10% 8.80    
  (by SING BABY SING out of THUNDER AND BELLE by THUNDERELLO)
3  LEVEL Apr14 Mar31 Mar18 Feb19 Aug01 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50 13% 6.90    
  (by BAL A BALI out of TAPANEL by TAPIT)
4  KAL EL Aug25 Aug03 Jul09 Jun11   (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by LEA out of DEAR FAY by GHAZI)
5  MOJITO Apr21 Aug27       (compton jesse)RAMOS B 121 5.00 8% 11.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SOLANA WIND by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  R VOO'S TABOO Apr14 Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Sep08 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ A 125 2.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of R VOOVOO AFFAIR by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
7  BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Oct01         (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 8.00    
  (by ELMAZEED out of GARDEN GODDESS by BLAME)
 
FON-6   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OREGON COUNTY Apr15 Apr01 Mar26 Mar10 Feb24 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  RECKLESSNESS Apr15 Apr08 Mar26 Mar07 Jan08 (dunlap m)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 12% 7.10    
3  GENOMIC Apr13 Mar18 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 10% 9.40    
4  NEW STRIPE Apr15 Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Sep18 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
5  NUGGET OF GRACE Apr20 Feb16 Jan27 Jan11 Dec28 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  OH SNAP Apr22 Apr08 Mar10 Feb03 Nov16 (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
7  GERDY'S BOY Apr08 Mar26 Jun17 Jun12 May21 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
8  KEARNEY Apr16 Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 Feb10 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.