Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Sunday - April 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-2   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-4   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(10/9/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-5   WIN (10/9/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/4/3)-(10/9/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/4/3)-(10/9/4/3/6)-(10/9/4/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/9/4/3)-(8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-6   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1)-(8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/1)-(8/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-7   WIN (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/6)-(8/2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/6)-(8/2/6/7)-(8/2/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/6)-(8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-8   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/1)-(8/1/5)-(8/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/1)-(8/11/7/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-9   WIN (8/11/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/11/7/10)-(8/11/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/11/7/10)-(8/11/7/10)-(8/11/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/11/7/10)-(1/11/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-10   WIN (1/11/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/11/9)-(1/11/9/12/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/11/9)-(1/11/9/12/10)-(1/11/9/12/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   04/23/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JETAROS Apr07         (pompay terri)SUTHERLAND C 118 4.00 8% 11.40    
  (by KANTHAROS out of JETBIRD by WILDCAT HEIR)
TWIRLING EXPRESS         (pletcher todd )REYES LEONEL 118 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RUTHVILLE by AFLEET ALEX)
MR. RHODIUM Apr06 Mar19 Feb10 Dec26 Oct15 (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00 18% 4.70    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CARESSIVE by A.P. INDY)
SOUTH SIDE         (pletcher a)JARAMILLO E 118 5.00    
  (by CURLIN out of OFTEN by GALILEO)
CONTINUE APACE (IRE) Mar31         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MISS BRIEF by BRIEF TRUCE)
SIDE EYE Mar19 Dec17       (maker )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00 5% 18.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of QUANAH COUNTY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
SCR  BALTIC MULE         (lerman michael)KRIGGER K 118 20.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SPELLKER by CITY ZIP)
SCR  FREE SMOKE Apr06 Mar09 Feb09     (david a)LEON SONNY 118 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of MISS PROPITIOUS by J P'S GUSTO)
GRAFT         (nagle sarah)PANICI LUCA 118 30.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of QUEEN DEL VALLE by BARYSHNIKOV (AUS))
 
GP-2   04/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEA D SECRET Mar12 Feb01 Dec30 Oct30 Oct09 (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
HOLY BERRIES Mar18 Feb19 Jan22 Dec23 Nov25 (gonzalez clau)MORALES ANGEL 119 3.50 39% 1.60    
TAPPLE CIDER Mar23 Feb16 Jan25 Nov06 Oct08 (lerman micha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 2.50    
KUKARO Apr07 Mar18 Mar02 Feb19 Jan19 (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 126 8.00    
ZEN (IRE) Mar29 Mar02 Feb09 Jan07 Dec09 (bayeh ed)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 126 5.00 9% 10.50    
BELLA MIURA Mar02 Feb04 Dec23 Dec02 Nov12 (croft barry)PANICI LUCA 126 6.00    
TRUE BLUE PEARL Mar29 Mar18 Mar02 Jan20 Dec09 (gonzalez claudi)PEREZ EDGAR 126 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
GP-3   04/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S OUTTA HERE Mar26 Mar05 Feb15 Jan26 Dec30 (brownlee)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 126 6.00    
TESTED POSITIVE Jan18 Dec30 Dec07 Nov27 Nov06 (morzan javie)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 8.00    
SOUTH PACIFIC Mar26 Feb25 Jan22 Dec30 Dec04 (eppler e)LEON SONNY 126 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  DA JOURNEYGIRL Mar22 Feb22 Jan20 Jan01 Oct09 (minguet ramon)PEREZ EDGAR 120 8.00 9% 10.00    
TWIRLING GRACE Apr06 Dec21 Nov04 Sep23 Aug21 (richar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
GINGER SPARKLE Apr01 Mar19 Mar08 Feb24 Feb19 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 126 12.00    
ROCK ALONG Mar18 Feb01 Jan15 May22 Apr24 (jackson gary )MORALES ANGEL 119 8.00    
SHES A GIFT Apr07 Mar05 Feb15 Jan26 Jan13 (pinchin jose)REYES LEONEL 126 3.50    
 
GP-4   04/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLAR TAP Apr16 Mar25 Mar10 Oct16 Aug13 (rojas r)PEREZ EDGAR 126 2.50 15% 5.50    
EUPHORIA STAR Mar25 Mar10 Feb25 Jan15 Oct02 (morrison m)PIMENTEL JR 126 8.00    
READY ON THE LINE Mar15 Feb24 Jan12 Dec07 Oct22 (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
DREAM OF BLESSINGS Mar22 Mar10 Feb01 Jan12 Dec24 (mingue)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
BACH (IRE) Mar25 Feb22 Jan29 Jan07 Dec15 (alvarado jua)ZAYAS J 126 2.00 42% 1.40    
TAPATERM Apr08 Mar10 Sep25 Sep02 Aug12 (maragh shamir)MORALES ANGEL 119 10.00    
SEBARAY Apr08 Mar25 Feb22 Jan15 Dec03 (antonucci je)MORELOS E 126 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
GP-5   04/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAN DUSEN (GB) Apr07 Feb25 Jan27 Jan06 Dec03 (abreu fernan)MORELOS E 120 12.00    
CHAPALU Mar19         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 8.00    
ELUSIVE MISCHIEF Apr07 Mar08 Feb15 Jan05 Sep07 (delgado gustavo)LEON SONNY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHARLES CHROME Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 Dec14 Aug18 (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
DOMINATE THEMOMENT Feb15 Dec22 Oct27 Aug19 Jul23 (lee f)PANICI LUCA 122 8.00    
UNO TIGER Mar19 Feb09 Jan12 Nov06 Jul10 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
YOU TALKIN TO ME Oct01 Aug13 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 (o'connell kathl)PEREZ EDGAR 122 30.00    
CHEYENNE'S COLONEL Mar05 Jan21 Dec28 Nov11 Oct20 (david carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 20.00    
KINENOS Mar31 Dec17 Nov19 Aug21 Jul31 (maker )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
10  EVER DANGEROUS Mar15 Jan28 Jan01 Nov07 Jul31 (weaver george)REYES LEONEL 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
GP-6   04/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER UNCAPTURED Mar31 Mar16 Feb15 Jan18 Nov25 (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
IRON LOTUS Feb09 Jan06 Dec17 Dec01 Sep25 (bayeh edgar)PEREZ EDGAR 118 10.00    
MI CORAZON Mar23         (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00    
NOKIE         (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 125 12.00    
MIGHTY GIN GIN Mar16         (casse mark)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
SUNNYRIDGE JAIME         (mcburney )CAMACHO JR 125 12.00    
KAZILLION Aug03 Jul13 Apr29     (martin w)SUTHERLAND C 118 8.00    
MEGAN MAKIN MONEY Mar31 Mar03 Feb15 Jan18 Dec07 (potts g)PANICI LUCA 118 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
GP-7   04/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE KHOZAN ONE Mar22 Feb23 Jan20 Dec26 Dec02 (gonzalez clau)MORALES ANGEL 111 15.00    
MERLIN Sep03 Aug07 Jul09 Jun11 May07 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
PLUMA ROJA Apr07 Feb24 Feb09 Jan27 Jan06 (santillan)CAMACHO JR 118 30.00    
BOLD MAJESTIC Mar26 Mar10 Feb18 Feb04 Dec03 (dye steven)SUTHERLAND C 118 20.00    
GENTLEMAN GERRY Apr06 Mar01 Jan27 Dec03 Sep18 (hurtak danie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00    
COSMIC SPECULATION Mar22 Feb17 Dec22 Oct02 Aug26 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 120 2.50 11% 7.80    
THE MAR Mar12 Feb08 Jan12 Nov05 Oct08 (nunez eduardo)RIOS M 124 6.00    
VALIANT AVENGER Feb19 Dec16 Nov05 Aug27 Jun30 (nicks ralph )ZAYAS J 126 1.80 47% 1.10    
 
GP-8   04/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEM A WONDER Mar24 Feb17 Dec08 Sep16 Aug12 (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
SIMPLIFY (ARG) Mar05 Feb24 Feb05 Jan04 Dec08 (duco luis)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 113 10.00    
YOUR INHERITANCE Mar24 Mar05 Feb05 Dec16 Nov18 (gonzalez claudi)PEREZ EDGAR 122 6.00    
SCR  NO DECAF Mar24 Feb11 Jan27 Jan11 Dec26 (christ)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
PENS STREET Feb05 Dec26 Dec11 Feb12   (crichton )CAMACHO JR 122 6.00    
SCR  AMERICAN OF COURSE Mar24 Feb24 Jan27 Jan04 Dec10 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50    
MACHTENHAIRONFIRE Feb23 Jan26 Dec28 Dec07 Nov18 (bayeh edgar)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
BATTLE CRY Feb24 Dec11 Oct07 Sep17 Jul21 (barboza victo)MORALES ANGEL 113 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
GP-9   04/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABUSE OF POWER Mar11 Jan11 Dec18 Sep25 Aug28 (lerman michael)SUTHERLAND C 120 6.00    
TOWSER Mar26 Nov19 Oct07 Aug19   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 3.50    
ANAFELI (PER)         (sanchez amador)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
GUNESH Mar15 Jan28 Dec26 Nov18 Oct07 (sancal murat)JARAMILLO E 120 12.00    
COCOA ICING Sep10 Jul01 Jun10 Apr15 Feb26 (orseno joseph)MORALES ANGEL 113 20.00    
IKO IKO Mar18 May20 Apr03     (proctor thom)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
UNA LUNA Apr02 Mar09 Dec11 Jul12 Jun12 (gallegos jos)MORELOS E 120 4.50 12% 7.40    
GOLDEN VOICE Mar08 Jan29 Dec31 Nov20 Aug03 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  MARIA'S REVENGE Mar23 Dec04 Oct14 Sep10 Aug12 (sancal murat)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
10  LENTEN ROSE Feb25 Feb11 Jan25 Dec31 Dec02 (potts g)PANICI LUCA 122 12.00 11% 8.50    
11  FRENCH KISSING Mar15 Oct28 Sep18 Aug06   (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
12  MANDY GREEN Mar24 Feb25 Feb08 Jan05 Dec09 (bayeh edgar)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 8.00    
SCR  LUCKY PERIDOT Mar23 Feb08 Jan05 Dec02 Oct28 (walder peter)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
 
GP-10   04/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTY DESTINY Mar31 Feb03 Jan07     (meah m)PEREZ EDGAR 118 5.00 48% 1.10    
I LOVE IRELAND Mar05 Feb17 Jan21 Dec15 Nov27 (hurtak da)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00    
SUBTLE SENORITA Mar19 Feb23       (palmer nichola)RIOS M 118 20.00    
WITCHING HOUR (FR) Apr06 Jan14 Nov25     (danner kelse)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 10.00    
CONSTITUTIONALIST Apr02 Mar08 Feb12 Jan25 Nov18 (braddy david)JARAMILLO E 118 12.00    
AMOR SALVAJE Mar26 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Dec15 (garoff)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
MY JO JO         (davis christophe)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
HOOCHIE COO Mar08 Jan05 Dec11     (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 118 20.00    
KILKENNY BELLA Mar22 Feb04 Dec23 Dec02 Oct29 (mcgoey monica)SUTHERLAND C 125 8.00 8% 11.80    
10  APPLE LOVER Mar31 Mar02 Jan26 Jan06   (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
11  ARMONIA Mar23 Jan08 Sep05     (garcia rodolfo)REYES LEONEL 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
12  CONNECTING FLIGHT Mar31 Feb23 Jan26     (abrams jack)MORALES ANGEL 111 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.