Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - April 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (1/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/4)-(3/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/4)-(3/2/9)-(5/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/9)-(3/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/9)-(3/2/9)-(3/2/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/9)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/9)-(5/4/6)-(4/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(4/7/6)-(6/11/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-5   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(6/11/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(6/11/4/1)-(6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-6   WIN (6/11/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/4/1)-(6/11/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/11/4/1)-(6/11/4/1)-(6/11/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/11/4/1)-(6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/11/4/1)-(6/8)-(5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-7   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8)-(6/8/2/7)-(6/8/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/8)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/8)-(5/3)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-8   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(6/2)-(7/4/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-9   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/10)-(6/2/10) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(7/4/9/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-10   WIN (7/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/1)-(7/4/9/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/1)-(7/4/9/1/5)-(7/4/9/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   04/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEPORT Mar12         (ashford ray)DIEGO V 122 1.80 34% 2.00    
2  MALIBU MENDELSSOHN Mar18 Oct13       (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 3.00    
3  HOPPY         (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
4  ROCKIN TAMIM         (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 20.00 10% 9.40    
5  ALL COUNTRY Feb01 Jan20 Dec20 Aug19   (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 30.00    
6  G B'S TURBO         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 20.00    
7  HERO TIME Oct21 Sep21 Aug27     (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 122 2.00 17% 5.00    
 
HOU-3   04/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POETIC UNION Mar26 Mar10 Jan22 Jan07 Dec09 (c)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
2  SUNNY SAN LEON Feb12 Jan16 Nov21 Nov02 Sep30 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 122 1.80 18% 4.60    
3  OH DOO DAH DAY Feb17         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  VIEWING TRAIL Feb25 Dec10 Nov11 Oct12 Sep23 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  DRENCHED Mar18 Feb12 Jan27 Jan15 Oct07 (clary jayla)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 9% 10.80    
6  DASHYNS DREAM Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 Dec14 Nov02 (gelner j)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00    
7  THE RAGE OF ART Mar23 Mar03 Feb04     (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 122 5.00    
8  CHA CHA DANCER Mar25 Feb12 Jan13 Dec15 Dec03 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 4.00    
9  LUCKY DEPUTY Mar18 Feb11 Jan16 Dec17 Nov19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 16% 5.10    
 
HOU-4   04/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL SET FREE Feb11 Jan06 Dec15 Nov26 Nov07 (tuley rhonda)SANCHEZ M 123 4.50    
2  SHACKLELACKALACKA Mar18 Mar10 Feb19 Feb11 Jan21 (g)DE CRUZ 123 1.80    
3  MISS M J Mar18 Mar10 Feb12 Jan13 Oct08 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00    
4  TAY TAY'S BABY Mar10 Feb19 Jan18 Dec10 Nov23 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
5  TIZ HOPPIN Mar12 Feb17 Nov11 Oct09 Sep17 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  IMAGINARY IMAGE Mar18 Feb26       (sayre d)BENAVIDES D 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
 
HOU-5   04/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LITTLE PRINCE Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 Jun05 May15 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 20.00    
SCR  PRETTY MACHO Mar04 Feb10 Jul23 Jun26   (diodoro robe)ALVAREZ L 122 30.00    
3  FORT HOOD Feb20 Jan21 Jan07 Dec07   (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00    
4  PHILOGYNY STREET Mar26 Mar04 Aug30     (love alan)DIEGO V 117 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  VILLAGE WAY Mar17 Feb10 Jan28 Jan08 Sep08 (asmu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 1.60 31% 2.30    
6  RED SUMMERBIRD Mar05         (willis mind)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 8% 11.20    
7  BLING BLING BLING Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Jul17 Jun19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
HOU-6   04/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 35 M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT ORB Mar03         (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  VA VOOM Oct22 Oct07       (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 115 6.00    
SCR  PHARME'S PHINALE Mar19 Feb11 Sep19 Sep09 Aug27 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
4  I'M ALL SHOOK UP Mar18 Jan20 Dec10     (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 4.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  BALI DOVE (FR) Feb11 Jan16 Dec22 Jul20 May29 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 ★    
6  BASKET CASE Feb18 Jan14       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  HAILEY'S JEWEL Mar19 Feb17 Jan15 Nov26 Oct24 (garza joaqu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 115 30.00    
8  LOCKSMITH LEAH         (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 115 10.00    
9  S S TURBINIA Feb26         (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 115 30.00    
10  BERING'S SPECIAL Mar03 Jan29 Jan06     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
11  BODEFIDE Feb19 Jan21 Jan07 Nov18 Oct26 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 13% 6.60    
 
HOU-7   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICKY CARLA Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Jan27 Jun05 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
2  PURRFECT MOON Mar11 Feb19 Jan13 Dec14   (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 4.50 ★    
3  TALE OF ATREIDES Mar11 Feb19 Jun09     (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
4  SLIM CAUSEWAY Mar19         (mitchell stephe)SANCHEZ M 122 30.00    
5  BOBBIE O Mar17 Jul09       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
6  TENDER LOVE Mar11         (ashford ray)DIEGO V 122 1.20 65% 0.50    
7  EMMYLOU SQUALL Mar11 Mar03       (jacks karen )PIVARAL GERBER 122 6.00 ★    
8  TRICKSKI'S GOLD Feb19 Jan15 Dec14     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
HOU-8   04/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOMBER COMMAND         (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 115 10.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of THE BLONDE PEQUE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  STASIS Feb10 Mar12       (b)DE CRUZ 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of WELLOFAPRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
3  LOUISIANA FLASH Feb10 Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 Sep18 (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by FLASHPOINT out of FORTY NINE ALPHA by TIRADE)
4  SOMEBODY IN TEXAS         (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of JIMINI'S CRICKET by PIONEERING)
5  WITHOUT A SONG Feb10 Jan15 Dec17 Nov19   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 43% 1.30    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SERENA'S CAT by STORM CAT)
6  CINCO DE MO         (ashford)GONCALVES R 115 8.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SMARTY MO by SMARTY JONES)
7  BLACKHEATH Feb20 Feb04 Jan15 Jun03 May22 (castellanos jai)SANCHEZ M 123 50.00    
  (by JUST A COINCIDENCE out of KATOOMBA by LONHRO (AUS))
8  WAGON TRAIN Mar04         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 ★    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of DEVILISH LADY by TEXAS CITY)
 
HOU-9   04/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MODOC         (dodson clifford)SANCHEZ M 115 20.00    
  (by ETESAAL out of FATED LOVE by KAREN'S CAT)
2  IBERIAN RUNNER Mar24 Apr01 Mar23     (g)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL KINGDOM out of LIL PRECIOUS by FORESTRY)
SCR  BAY BE GONE Mar19 Feb26 Feb12 Feb03 Jan13 (garza joaqu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 115 2.50 10% 8.70    
  (by KLIMT out of O'HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  JUST WHISKEY Mar05 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07   (mayfield randy)MORA GERARDO 115 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by BRADESTER out of WHISKEY EYES by SPECIAL RATE)
5  NIGHT GUARD Feb20 Jan21 Jan07     (castellan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 115 30.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of WAKE UP by MORE THAN READY)
6  TEXAS CLUBMAN Mar19 Mar05 Jan28 Nov12   (gust)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of QUEENLAND by TASTE OF PARADISE)
7  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Mar12 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Dec02 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
8  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Mar19 Feb25 Feb19 Feb04 Jan20 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 123 6.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of WRITE WHEN READY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  PUNTO RAFFA VOLO Mar11 Feb11 Jan21 Jan07   (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 115 20.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SERGEANT SUE by PROUD CITIZEN)
10  GOD'S GOLD Feb19 Feb03 Sep07 Aug19 Jul21 (martin jame)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 ★    
  (by MIRACULOUSMO out of GOLDEN LEGS by GOULDINGS GREEN)
 
HOU-10   04/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 35 ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLIM JIMMY Mar12 Feb11 Jan16 Dec14 Nov26 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  EAGLEFORD Mar11 Feb20 Jan27     (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 115 12.00    
3  HOLIDAY RUN Feb26 Jul08       (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 115 20.00    
4  GJALLARHORN Mar12 Feb19 Nov22 Aug09 Jun29 (love alan)DIEGO V 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
5  RED DRAW Mar11 Feb20 Jan21 Nov03 Sep24 (young scott )PIVARAL GERBER 115 10.00 ★    
6  GOLD CAPO Feb17 Jan13 Jul09 Jun18 Jun10 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 12.00    
7  OH SEAN Mar05 Jan14 Dec19     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 115 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  JOHN LOUIS' BEVO Mar24 Mar12 Mar03 Nov03 Oct22 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.50    
9  LITTLE JOHN HENRY Mar11 Feb26 Feb11 Jan16   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 115 6.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  SPARRA Mar19 Mar05 Jan28     (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 115 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.