Handicappers' Racing Form

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Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - March 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

WRD-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
WRD-2   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
WRD-3   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
WRD-4   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
WRD-5   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
WRD-6   Win (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
WRD-7   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
WRD-8   Win (5/1/7/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
WRD-9   Win (9/10/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
WRD-10   Win (7/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
WRD-1   03/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEANO Dec03 Jul19 Jun28 Apr04 Mar22 (brooks jimm)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 12.00    
WELDON G Jan20 Oct21 Aug27 May20   (gustafson austi)CABRERA DAVID 118 3.00    
HES BIG CHIEF Mar07 Oct26 Sep24 Sep01 Jul18 (espiritu lucio)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 12.00    
BLUESKIESANDANGELS Dec17 Dec03 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.00 50% 1.00    
IRA CHAMP Mar07 Jan16 Dec08 Nov15 Nov05 (buehrer mark )WETHEY JR 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
WRD-2   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNET AND STEEL Jan02         (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
NORTHERN ORBIT Feb17 Jan20 Nov12 Oct13 Sep22 (pruitt m)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 6% 16.90    
MESSAGE DISCIPLINE Feb10 Jan15 Nov21 Jun02   (martin steve)ERAMIA E 124 3.00    
CRAFTY SWORD Mar07 Oct12       (espiritu lucio)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00    
MASTER RED Mar07 Feb17 Jan16 Sep30 Sep15 (roberts blai)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50    
MR GYPSY         (gladd andy)KIMES C 124 8.00 18% 4.50    
WHAT ABOUT JIMMY Dec09 Nov11 Jun14 May16   (brooks jimmy )HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 15.00    
 
WRD-3   03/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST PATRICKS SWORD Dec08 Dec01 Nov05 Oct12 Sep22 (moreno carlos)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.00    
CRYPTO MINER         (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00 30% 2.30    
SERVICEMAN Oct08         (bravo francisc)JORDAN R 118 4.00    
LUCKY MCCOY Feb26 Feb12 Dec08 Nov19 Nov05 (merrick d)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00 6% 17.10    
EASTER JIM Mar07 Dec16 Nov19     (oberlander jess)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00    
CAMANCHE RIVER Mar07 Dec16 Nov19     (gladd andy)KIMES C 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
MR. SMOKEY Mar07 Oct20 Oct07 Sep17 Sep03 (espiritu lucio)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00    
 
WRD-4   03/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY BRAVE Mar07 Feb16 Jan21 Dec14 Nov25 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
PRINCE CAROLINA J Dec07 Oct28 Sep28 Sep08   (lee mark)JORDAN R 124 5.00    
GOSPEL BUZZ Jan20 Dec17 Dec07 Nov22 Oct25 (williams steve )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
DENS DEVILLE Nov14 Oct20 Oct08 Sep17   (young e)MORA GERARDO 118 8.00    
DOMINANT OKIE Mar04 Jan20 Dec16 Dec07 Nov14 (young e)WETHEY JR 118 3.50 9% 10.40    
EARS TO ME Mar07 Dec17 Dec07 Nov14 Oct26 (swan e)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
WRD-5   03/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKIE FRONT Dec17 Nov22 Oct21 Sep14 Aug20 (young e)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 14% 5.90    
COST A FORTUNE Feb12 Jan15 Nov21 Nov02 Oct12 (dixon tim)KIMES C 121 5.00    
LIGHTNING HART Feb17 Feb01 Dec17 Nov19 Oct28 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 6.00    
TAYLOR'S VISION Dec17 Dec03 Nov03 Oct07 Jul24 (padilla jua)TRIANA JR 121 3.50 12% 7.40    
BENDELENE Feb11 Jan22 Oct14 Sep17 Jul24 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 124 1.80 51% 1.00    
ADRIA Feb12 Jul22 Jun11 May29 May14 (chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 121 8.00    
 
WRD-6   03/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROWDY GALE Dec08 Nov19 Nov05 Oct20 Sep24 (oberlander jes)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
BIRD TALK Mar07         (padilla carlo)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 4.00 8% 11.40    
CAT NAMED HERCULES Dec07 Nov05 Oct12     (espiritu luci)STILLION BROOKE 124 20.00    
KICK IT AGAIN BOB Jun14 May24       (corderman scott)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG NORTHERN RIVER Dec01 Nov05       (gladd andy)BIRZER E 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
BLAKE FROM TISH Feb26 Feb04       (buehrer mar)TRIANA JR 118 2.50    
 
WRD-7   03/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOLEN KISSES Dec07 Nov04       (williams )GONCALVES R 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
DODGEBALL Nov19         (luneack theres)JORDAN R 122 4.00    
RUN DOTTIE RUN Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 Oct19 Oct07 (padilla juan)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
THE VEGAS BOMB Dec14 Nov25 Nov04     (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 5.00    
EURA NORTHERN SKY Dec15         (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 122 12.00    
SAENGER STAR Feb26 Feb17 Dec30 Nov03 Oct20 (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 122 5.00    
GOSPEL SISTER Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 Sep30   (williams f)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00    
 
WRD-8   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUGHTY NATALIE Feb26 Feb04 Dec14 Nov03 Oct07 (buehrer mar)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
COLD AS YOU Feb22 Jan25 Dec29 Dec02 Nov12 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 15.00 5% 18.50    
SMOKING GUITAR Feb26 Feb04 Jan14 Dec10 Dec02 (buehrer mark )WETHEY JR 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
OUTWORKTHEOKIEGIRL Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct07 Sep23 (gamez jose)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00    
NOSTALGIA Feb26 Feb03 Jan07 Dec09 Nov20 (johnston lane )JORDAN R 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
PAYDIEM Mar06 Feb26 Feb11 Jan13 Sep15 (caldwell r)COLLIER T 124 6.00    
ITSONLYMONEYHONEY Dec17 Nov19 Nov04 Oct14 Sep14 (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  SHE'S AN ANGEL Feb10 Dec15 Nov19 Oct27 Oct14 (gomez juan )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00    
 
WRD-9   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN CANNON Mar04 Feb19 Jan27 Jan14 Nov15 (williams steve )CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 6% 16.20    
LASTCALLFORALCOHOL Mar06 Aug20 Jul19 Jun20 Jun07 (camillo angel)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 20.00    
SCR  BAOZUN Feb11 Dec15 Oct12 Mar28   (gomez juan )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 30.00 6% 17.10    
PROUD MOMENTS Dec03 Nov22 Nov03 Oct19 Oct07 (corderman scott)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00    
CANEY'S GHOST Dec17 Dec08 Nov22 Oct21 Sep25 (moreno carl)TRIANA JR 121 15.00    
RIVER RULER Feb11 Jan08 Dec09 Nov21 Oct12 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 121 5.00    
MORO MERICA Nov22 Nov08 Oct26 Sep28 Sep15 (gladd andy)KIMES C 121 20.00    
GONNA GETCHA Jun27 Jun06 May18 Apr27 Apr13 (stephens jerry )PUSAC ALBERTO 121 10.00 10% 8.80    
HEROIC SONG Feb05 Jan21 Dec09 Nov14 Nov07 (young e)WETHEY JR 124 1.40 44% 1.30    
10  HE'S MUNNIE Oct07 Sep21 Sep01 Jul11 May23 (hartman alex)JORDAN R 121 3.00 11% 8.10    
 
WRD-10   03/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIGERATOR Dec15 Nov25 Nov04 Oct21 Jun06 (hunt s)TRIANA JR 124 12.00    
HUNTER QUICK Jan14 Dec17 Nov11 Oct25 Sep26 (williams ste)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
CINCO STEVE Dec17 Nov25 Nov03 Oct06 Sep17 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00 7% 13.30    
I'M CRENSHAW Dec14 Nov25 Sep29 Sep10 Jun29 (bravo francisco)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 8% 11.10    
KWONTRO Dec15 Nov04 May11 Apr19 Mar29 (swan e)JORDAN R 124 6.00    
GHOST HERO Feb18 Dec17 Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 (gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 118 2.50 12% 7.50    
CONNORS OUTLAW Feb05 Nov30 Oct21 Sep17   (craddock )GONCALVES R 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
DANCING DEVIL Dec17 Dec07 Nov25 Oct28 Oct05 (hale vict)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.