Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Tuesday - February 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (6/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2/1)-(6/4/5/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/5/2)-(2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/2)-(2/1/7)-(4/2/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-2   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(4/2/1/5)-(6/3/1/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-3   WIN (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5/3)-(4/2/1/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/1/5)-(6/3/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/5)-(6/3/1/4/9)-(6/4/8/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-4   WIN (6/3/1/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4/9)-(6/3/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4/9)-(6/3/1/4/9)-(6/3/1/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/1/4/9)-(6/4/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/4/9)-(6/4/8/7)-(6/4/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-5   WIN (6/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/7)-(6/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/7)-(6/4/8/7)-(6/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/8/7)-(6/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/8/7)-(6/4/2/3)-(4/1/6/8/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-6   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/1/3)-(6/4/2/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(4/1/6/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(4/1/6/8/3)-(1/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PRX-7   WIN (4/1/6/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/8/3)-(4/1/6/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/8/3)-(4/1/6/8/3)-(4/1/6/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/6/8/3)-(1/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/8/3)-(1/7)-(6/7/8/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PRX-8   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/7)-(6/7/8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(6/7/8/2)-(4/7/9/6/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PRX-9   WIN (6/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2/4)-(6/7/8/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/8/2)-(4/7/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PRX-10   WIN (4/7/9/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/6/2)-(4/7/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/6/2)-(4/7/9/6/2)-(4/7/9/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   02/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT-11:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEARLBDANCING Feb14 Jan16 Dec19 Dec05 Nov01 (bullock jorda)PEREZ M 124 6.00    
MAZAL EIGHTEEN Feb08 Sep14 Aug20 May25 Mar18 (soto c)OCASIO M 121 12.00 7% 12.80    
SEVEN YEARS LATER Feb01 Jan10 Dec21 Nov25 Oct11 (nicholson jun)RANGEL JOEZER 121 4.50    
DEBBIE'S SURPRISE Dec14 Nov07 Sep27 Aug31 Aug03 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
GOD STILL LOVES ME Jan16 Nov28 Nov02 Oct10 Sep21 (flores-cob)SANCHEZ J 121 1.80 13% 6.90    
CRAZY SERENA Feb13 Feb01 Jan16 May23 May03 (farro patricia)CASTILLO A 121 4.00 34% 2.00    
 
PRX-2   02/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOM BOOM GIRL Feb06 Jan11 Dec20 Dec13 Nov16 (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
ELUSIVE RYDER Feb06 Jan11 Sep19 Aug30 Aug11 (velazquez dani)MOYA F 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
ABHAILE Feb06 Jan30 Jan11 Dec20 Dec05 (romero alexis)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
SCR  BOCA ROYALTY Feb07 Jan30 Jan11 Dec14 Nov29 (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
GAVICHI Feb07 Jan30 Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 111 6.00    
BEYOND A MILLION Oct24 Oct12 Sep07 Aug26 Aug04 (mosco robert)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 5.00    
SMOOTH AS GLASS Feb14 Jan30 Jun27 Apr23 Mar09 (flores)GONZALEZ JR 121 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  LET'S CELEBRATE Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Dec21 Nov21 (perez ruperto)RANGEL JOEZER 121 15.00    
 
PRX-3   02/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT-12:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY MISS Feb08 Nov30 Nov15 Nov01 Sep27 (perez ruperto)MILAN GERARDO 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
PURRFECT MISTRESS Feb08 Jan30 Jan06 Nov01 Oct04 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
WITHOUT A VIEW Feb01 Jan18 Nov28 Nov01 Oct12 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 5.00    
SCARF Feb01 Jan16 Jan04 Dec13 Nov22 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
RAINBOW TROUT Feb08 Jan10 Dec05 Nov07 Oct25 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50 11% 8.30    
POP THE CLUTCH Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 Dec05 Nov22 (farro patri)RAMOS C 119 6.00    
 
PRX-4   02/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JET FORCE Feb08 Jan25 Jan10 Dec12 Nov23 (hogan j)RUIZ ELISEO 111 8.00 15% 5.80    
SEA FRET Jan30 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Nov08 (perez ruperto)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 20.00    
HALLIGIRL Jan10 Dec13 Nov08 Oct11 Sep13 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.00 15% 5.50    
SWEET LILLY FACTUM Feb08 Jan30 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 (nicholson jun)PEREZ M 121 5.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  WHAT A BEAUT Feb15 Jan11 Dec12 Nov29 Sep09 (linder)GONZALEZ JR 121 15.00    
SPIRIT OR SPITE Jan30 Jan16 Jan09 Dec21 Nov16 (rodriguez mig)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
CALL THE PO PO Feb09 Feb01 Jan11 Dec19 Nov30 (perez ruperto)RANGEL JOEZER 124 6.00    
POWWA OF LOVE Jan30 Jan17 Dec21 Nov28 Oct11 (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00    
QUASAR Jan30 Jan04 Dec21 Nov29 Aug01 (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 10.00 9% 10.50    
 
PRX-5   02/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS JONES Feb15 Jan23 Dec28 Nov08 Jun15 (farro patrici)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 12.00    
SCR  BEAST OR FAMINE Jan28 Jan11 Feb06     (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.00 15% 5.80    
DADASHEV Feb13 Jan25 Jan16 Jan04 Dec19 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 124 10.00    
TANKINATOR Jan23 Jan10 Dec19 Nov16 Oct11 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
ROCKIN FREEBEE Feb21 Dec20 Nov22 Nov14 Oct24 (romero alexis)RUIZ ELISEO 111 20.00    
PENSAMIENTO Feb06 Nov29 Nov01 Oct07 Aug26 (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 121 1.60 26% 2.80    
CAUSES TROUBLE Feb01 Jan23 Jan02 Dec14 Nov29 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 121 6.00 7% 13.90    
LUCKY AS A SEVEN Feb15 Aug05 Jul09 Jun26 May28 (farro patricia)PENNINGTON F 121 8.00 13% 6.70    
 
PRX-6   02/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE KING CHEEK Dec13 Nov22 Nov07 Oct12 Sep20 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.00    
TYCOON (GB) Feb06 Jan17 Nov26 Nov06 Oct23 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 10.00 12% 7.40    
VASARIANO Jan30 Jan14 Jan05 Dec02 Nov23 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 10.00 5% 17.40    
COLONEL JUAN Jan24 Dec14 Nov08 Oct31 Oct05 (guerrero gu)RIVERA D 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  COBBLE ROAD Feb07 Dec13 Nov22 Sep24 Aug05 (allen randy)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00    
PLAMEN Feb07 Jan09 Dec10 Apr03 Jan30 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
PRX-7   02/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTISTIC REASON Feb06 Jan14 Dec18 Nov23 Oct27 (abrams ron)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  TRIPLE JEOPARDY Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 Dec06 Oct15 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
MELINA'S DREAM Feb21 Jan18 Dec31 Sep30 Sep18 (diaz jorge)BOWMAN ADAM 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
ACKER Feb08 Jan10 Jan03 Nov23 Oct22 (abrams rona)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
RELISHMENT Feb22 Feb06 Jan20 Jan09 Dec05 (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 4.50    
JARLIAN Jan31 Dec21 Nov28 Nov02 Oct17 (domi)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 4.00 11% 8.20    
WEEKEND IN COURT Feb22 Feb06 Jan23 Jan12 Jan03 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 114 10.00    
CALL FITZROY Feb01 Jan23 Dec21 Nov23 Oct31 (guerrero g)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 10.00 8% 11.80    
 
PRX-8   02/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARLEY'S CHARLY Feb07 Nov16 Oct12 Sep12 Aug22 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 1.20 45% 1.20    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of HARLEY GO LIGHTLY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
NINJA PRIZE Feb15 Jan24       (curry dee)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 2.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LEMON STRUDEL by RIMROD)
SCR  LUCKILY LEYTON Jan24         (padilla hugo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LUCKY NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
LIDIA'S PRAYER Jan02 Nov16       (avila )GONZALEZ JR 121 10.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of WITH SPRINKLES by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
T'WAS THE NIGHT Feb08 Jan24 Jan03     (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00    
  (by JUMP START out of CHRISTMAS EVE by EXCHANGE RATE)
RETWEET Jul26 Jul09       (cole)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 8.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of TWEET by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GOLDEN TREASURE Jan24 Dec02 Nov09     (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LADY SILVERROD by MARQUETRY)
 
PRX-9   02/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE READY Feb01 Jan04 Dec19 Dec06 Nov22 (pere)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 15.00    
SNEAKINESS Feb13 Jan30 Nov28 Nov15 Nov01 (perez flores )MILAN GERARDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JW'S THIRD MISCHIE Jan09 Dec19 Nov21 Oct31 Sep28 (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 121 12.00    
FEDERAL CASE Feb20 Jan25 Jan16 Jan09 Nov28 (arce josue)RAMOS C 116 8.00    
SUIGU STAR Jan30 Jan03 Nov18 Oct29 Oct17 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00    
HE HATE ME Feb13 Jan17 Oct12 Sep18 Aug13 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
FOX RED Jan31 Jan11 Dec14 Nov15 Oct31 (mosco robert)OCASIO M 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
TROPHY CHASER Jan31 Dec21 Dec14 Nov29 Nov01 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 10% 9.30    
 
PRX-10   02/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST NOD AND SMILE Feb02 Jan16 Dec20 Nov30 Nov02 (bedard a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 12.00    
DECKOLOGY Feb08 Jan31 Jan10 Jan03 Dec14 (crowell susa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 6.00 8% 11.40    
GRIT'N'GRIND Feb08 Jan18 Jan09 Dec20 Dec06 (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 4.00    
RUNNINGFORHOME Jan31 Jan18 Jan02 Dec13 Nov30 (hawthorne bo)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 5.00 26% 2.90    
STAY HYDRATED Feb13 Jan10 Dec06 Nov01 Oct11 (romero alexis)RANGEL JOEZER 121 12.00    
SOUTHERN BRIDGE Jan27 Jan09 Oct31 Oct10 Sep02 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 12% 7.50    
WIZARD SERRAT Feb13 Jan18 Dec19 Dec05 Nov02 (velazquez alfredo)BISONO J 121 4.50 15% 5.80    
BUFFALO SHUFFLE Feb13 Jan23 Jan09 Dec19 Nov22 (flores-coba f)MILAN GERARDO 121 12.00    
CAUSALISTIC Feb20 Jan19 Dec30 Nov18 Nov11 (arce josue)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 6.00 14% 6.10    
10  AMOUNT Feb08 Jan02 Dec20 Nov28 Nov17 (correnti armand)BOWMAN ADAM 121 12.00    
11  MISSISSIPPI Jan31 Jan18 Oct31 Oct12 Sep26 (perez ruperto)PEREZ M 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.