Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - February 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/2/3/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/2/3/1/4)-(5/2/3/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5)-(7/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5)-(7/4)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HOU-3   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/6/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/6/2/1)-(7/4/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(5/7/2)-(6/3/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/1/4)-(5/7/2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/9/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/1)-(6/9/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/1)-(6/9/3/4)-(3/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (6/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/4)-(6/9/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/4)-(6/9/3/4/5)-(6/9/3/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/3/4)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3/4)-(3/6/4)-(5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-7   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(5/3/6)-(8/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HOU-8   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(8/3/5)-(6/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HOU-9   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5/1/4)-(8/3/5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/5)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-10   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2/1/10)-(6/7/2/1/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   02/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GETONOUTTAHERE Jan14 Nov14 Nov02 Oct08 Jul16 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 2.50 ★    
2  MARIAH'S CANDY Dec20 Nov19 Oct15 Aug06 Jul06 (gelner j)MORA GERARDO 123 4.50 ★    
3  GET OUT TONIGHT Nov04 Sep16 Jun26 Feb23 Feb12 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 ★    
4  MRSG'S LIL DREAMER Jun28 Jun07 Apr27 Apr06 Mar21 (george wayne)LANDEROS C 123 20.00 ★    
5  GANGSTER RAP Jan27         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.60 62% 0.60    
6  EUROROSE Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04   (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 10.00    
 
HOU-3   02/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR TINK Jan07 Dec06 Nov01 Sep30 Aug20 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 20.00 ★    
2  AMERICAN XPERIMENT Dec10 Apr08 Feb27 Jan15   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.20 ★    
3  TWENTYONE N CHANGE Dec17 Dec03 Nov07 Sep22 Mar17 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
4  MISTER K Jan21 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Nov04 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.50 35% 1.90    
5  MIRANDEN Jan21 Dec17 Nov05 Oct08   (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00    
6  K C TIZ MORO Jan14 Jun19 May08 Mar26 Mar05 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 8.00 ★    
7  LAGOON Jan18 Jan07 Dec02 Oct29 Oct05 (grimaldo jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
HOU-4   02/05/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBY THE DESTROYER Dec14 Nov25 Nov04     (young e)LUZZI J 122 4.50 ★    
  (by DRAMEDY out of GET DOWN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  HAPPY IN HEELS Jan15 Nov03 Oct19 Sep26   (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 12.00 14% 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  CANDY DAY Jan27         (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TRIFOLIUM by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  ANNA B Jan06 Oct12 Sep23 Sep01 Jul10 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by EUROEARS out of FORMAL FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
5  IRISH WRIT         (a)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of COLM'S LADY by UNCLE MO)
6  CRAFTY CHARLIE         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of FINAL MESA by SKY MESA)
7  RULE EM ALL Nov11 Sep30 Sep03     (clary rena)DIEGO V 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HOUSE RULES by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  FLY CONDOR Jan07 Dec15 Nov03 Oct01 Sep05 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MOUNTAIN MAMBO by MT. LIVERMORE)
 
HOU-5   02/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEIRD YEAR Jan13 Nov19 Nov07 Sep29 Sep08 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 15.00 9% 10.20    
2  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Jan22 Jan13 Jul21 Jun24 May14 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 4.00    
3  ROMANCER Jan22 Dec09 Nov19 Nov02 Sep11 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 14% 6.10    
4  VAPORIZED Jan13 Dec06 Jul11 Jun22   (montano wilfrid)BENAVIDES D 123 6.00 12% 7.40    
5  EUROEAST Jan22 Jan13 Dec17 Dec03 Nov05 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 8.00    
6  TEXAS SKYWALKER Jan22 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Nov04 (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 123 1.40 39% 1.60    
7  MORO COOL Jan21 Oct27 Oct12 Sep19 Sep03 (payne danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
SCR  NOAH Jan21 Jul23 Jun24 May22 May01 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-6   02/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UTSIRA Jan07 Nov25       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50    
2  SPLITSECONDECISION Jan15 Dec15 Dec03 Nov19 Nov11 (davis ste)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00    
3  SKYSPEIGHT         (c)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 14% 6.20    
4  FABULOUS TALE         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 11% 8.50    
5  WATCH OUT NOW Dec14 Oct28 Aug19     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 ★    
6  BLOOMING HILLS Jan27 Nov02 Oct12 Sep09 Jul04 (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
7  CAT TALE SKY Jan07 Dec15 Nov25 Nov03 Oct22 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 5.00    
SCR  TALE OF ATREIDES Jun09         (davidson m )OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00    
9  STELLA G Jan07 Dec14 Nov25 Nov18 Nov04 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00 25% 3.10    
 
HOU-7   02/05/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACE GILFORD Jan16 Dec17 Nov25 Nov04 Oct15 (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
2  PEPPER JACK Jan22 Dec02 Nov16 Oct28 Sep20 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 6.00 ★    
3  QUARKY Jan22 Nov07 Oct21 Oct14 Sep23 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
4  POMEROY HAZE Jan12 Dec03 Nov02 Oct21 Oct05 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  SATURDAY'S GOLD Jan22 Aug17 Jun21 May14 Jan28 (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 123 2.50 39% 1.50    
6  SPECTROLITE Sep20 Aug27 Aug16 Jul17 Jun15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  AFFLUENT GENTLEMAN Jan16 Dec03 Nov02 Oct07 Sep23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
8  DRUM AND BASS Jan06 Dec07 Oct31 Oct07 Sep21 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 30.00    
9  BELEWS GOLD Dec03 Nov12 Oct14 Sep16 Sep03 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00    
10  JACKMAN'S RIDE Jan22 Nov05 Oct15 Sep15 Jun17 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 8.00    
 
HOU-8   02/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YANKEE INDIAN Jan22 Jan08 Dec15 Dec10 Nov12 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  DECLINED Jan15 Dec16 Dec03 Nov02 Oct01 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00 ★    
3  OPTIMAL COURAGE Dec31 Dec03 Nov19 Nov02 Oct14 (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  SECRET BLARNEY Jan22 Oct01 Sep26 Sep11 Aug21 (young e)ELLIOTT S 119 12.00    
5  KIERKEGAARD Jan16 Dec31 Nov26 Nov04 Oct23 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 119 1.80 29% 2.50    
6  MUNI MUNI SLEW Dec03 Nov14 Oct28 Oct12 Sep10 (davidson ni)DIEGO V 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  SAMURAI CAUSE Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov02 Oct20 (t)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
SCR  TEXAS GOLD RUSH Dec21 Dec09 Nov09 Oct08 Sep13 (butler w)JUDE JOHN 119 30.00    
9  HEROIC SONG Jan21 Dec09 Nov14 Nov07 Oct05 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 10.00    
 
HOU-9   02/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GOLDEN M Jan20 May29 May07 Mar26 Feb19 (eche)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 ★    
2  HAPPY ROMANCE (IRE) Jan08 Dec03 Nov03 Oct19 Sep17 (buehrer w)DIAZ RENE null      
3  CAIRAMA Jan08 Dec11 Apr30 Apr10 Feb26 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 21% 3.80    
4  IM THE MACHINE Nov08 Oct05 Jan20     (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 ★    
5  CONNORS OUTLAW Nov30 Oct21 Sep17     (craddoc)GONCALVES R 115 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  SCORE KEEPER Jan15 Nov22 Nov10 Oct27 Mar26 (love alan)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
7  DARYLSLITTLEDIABLO May21 May07 Mar25 Mar09 Feb11 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00    
8  GO WEST Jan07 May08 Apr23 Mar25 Mar04 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
HOU-10   02/05/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSES PER DIEM Jul17 Jun25       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50 ★    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of NEVERTOOMANYKISSES by CHECKLIST)
2  DAWSON CITY         (ashford ray)LUZZI J 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
  (by LAOBAN out of SWEET SARANNA by FOREST DANGER)
3  DREAMS ROCKETMAN Jan07         (bustamante )HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
  (by EAGLE out of DREAM DREAM by TOO MUCH BLING)
4  SWEET ALEX Nov03 Oct06 Aug27 Jul17   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 10.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SO SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
5  RODEO CHAMP Dec07         (davis shawn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of LADY LAPUMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  HALO CODE Jan14         (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by CODE WEST out of HALO AHEAD by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  KENTUCKY ICE Jan14 Sep07 Jul17     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of OX EYED DAISY by OXBOW)
8  MENDEL WARRIOR Sep22         (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of KISS MINE by MINESHAFT)
SCR  SEE YA BYE Dec16         (butler w)JUDE JOHN 117 30.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of ENTHALPY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
10  DOSE'S DREAM Nov03 Oct01       (baldillez a)WETHEY JR 122 4.00 ★    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DOUBLE DOSE by DEVON LANE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.