Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(8/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3)-(8/7)-(2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-2   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/7)-(2/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7)-(2/1/3)-(1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(1/6)-(6/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/6)-(6/2/1/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(6/2/1/4)-(2/7/1/10/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
SA-5   WIN (6/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/4)-(2/7/1/10/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/4)-(2/7/1/10/5)-(1/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SA-6   WIN (2/7/1/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/10/5)-(2/7/1/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/10/5)-(2/7/1/10/5)-(2/7/1/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/1/10/5)-(1/2/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/10/5)-(1/2/8)-(1/11/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SA-7   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/8/4/3)-(1/2/8/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/8)-(1/11/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8)-(1/11/6/2)-(2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-8   WIN (1/11/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/11/6/2)-(1/11/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/11/6/2)-(1/11/6/2/4)-(1/11/6/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/11/6/2)-(2/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/11/6/2)-(2/3)-(9/8/3/1/10) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
SA-9   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/6/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/6/5/1)-(2/3/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3)-(9/8/3/1/10) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
SA-10   WIN (9/8/3/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/3/1/10)-(9/8/3/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/3/1/10)-(9/8/3/1/10)-(9/8/3/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALKLESSWORKMORE Jan08 Jun05 May08 Mar25 Feb20 (ruis shelbe)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
BOTTLE OF SMOKE Nov11 Oct09 Sep11 Aug12 Jul24 (jauregui j)FREY KYLE 124 5.00 11% 8.20    
BANG FOR YOUR BUCK Jan07 Nov26 Oct08 Sep10 Aug06 (heap r)CEDILLO ABEL 124 5.00 8% 12.00    
BIG TALKER Jan07 Dec16 Nov11 Oct16 Oct07 (pineda milton)CURATOLO RYAN 124 6.00    
SCR  PRAYER OF JABEZ Jan07 Dec20 Nov19 Nov05 Oct07 (azcarate da)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Jul30 Jul04 Jun05 May15 Apr30 (wong jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.50    
SCR  DONNER LAKE Jan07 Nov04 Oct09 Aug28 Aug04 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00    
DOC ADAMS Jan07 Dec17 Nov19 Nov05 Aug28 (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.60 54% 0.80    
 
SA-2   02/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLAM DIEGO Nov13 Sep02 Aug04 Jun25 Jun09 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.00    
SCR  GYPSY LYNN Jan13 Nov26 Sep02 Aug21 Jul03 (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 124 12.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  GOLD DRAGON QUEEN Dec26 Oct30 Sep22 Aug20 Jul23 (barocio libr)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 20.00    
AWESOME TAYLOR Nov26 Oct23 Jan14     (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
CARPE FORTUNA Nov19 Oct02 Jan23     (eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50    
GLENALL (IRE) Dec26 Nov12 Oct28 Sep13 Aug21 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 124 3.50    
WEEMISSGRAMMY Nov13 Oct08 Sep09 Jul22   (eurton pet)VAN DRAYDEN 124 4.00 10% 8.90    
VERY SCARY Dec19 Nov29 Nov06 Oct08 Sep02 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 124 5.00 54% 0.90    
 
SA-3   02/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARABIAN LION Dec17 Nov04 Oct09     (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.40 25% 3.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNBOUND by DISTORTED HUMOR)
NEWGATE Jan08 Nov20 Oct08 Sep11 Jul30 (baffert b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAJESTIC PRESENCE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
WORCESTER Jan15 Dec26       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 18% 4.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LIL SUPER BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
HARD TO FIGURE Nov20 Sep25 Aug26 Jul30   (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANI LA by MR. GREELEY)
 
SA-4   02/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY STORM Dec31 Sep10 Aug07 Jul08 Apr30 (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  HAMWOOD FLIER (IRE) Dec04 Oct09 Jul23 May29   (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by KODIAC out of FONDA by QUIET AMERICAN)
NADETTE (FR) Oct29         (drysdale ne)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
  (by OUTSTRIP out of CIBOULETTE by PIVOTAL (GB))
CLOSING REMARKS Dec31 Mar26 Mar05 Jan17   (gaines carla)BRAVO J 122 3.50    
  (by VRONSKY out of ORANGE COVE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
ONE SILK STOCKING Dec30 Nov18 Oct15 Sep04 Aug04 (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of KEEP RIGHT by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCHOOL DANCE Dec26 Nov12 Oct15 May20 Apr24 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of ANN OF THE DANCE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
QUATTROELLE (IRE) Dec31 Nov24 Oct15 Aug20 Jul23 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 8.00    
  (by MEHMAS out of HEAVENLY RIVER by HEAVENLY CHORUS)
OAKHURST Dec26 Oct28 Sep06 Aug07 Jun25 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HAPPINESS IS by DYNAFORMER)
 
SA-5   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATALINA EDDY         (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 10.00 10% 9.30    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of FREGE by JOHAR)
UPWARD MOBILITY         (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ALLSHEWROTE by MONARCHOS)
GHOSTLY ACT Jan06         (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of DEBBIES CUTE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
BUS BUZZ         (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 122 6.00 10% 9.30    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of LOST BUS by BRING THE HEAT)
SEATTLE SURF Jan06         (headley k)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00    
  (by SURF CAT out of BOSS CHICK by STREET BOSS)
RHYTHEM ON STAGE Jan06 Nov27 Nov06 Sep11   (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.80 27% 2.80    
  (by UPTOWN RYTHEM out of IT'SALLYOURSBABY by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  MONTANA Jan06 Nov27 Oct16 Aug27 Jul23 (hess b)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SUNNY OAK by GIANT OAK)
 
SA-6   02/04/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY JET GO Nov20 Oct21 Aug28 Jun11 May27 (cunningham bria)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
TOM'S BEAUTY Nov20 Oct30 Aug27     (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
BRIEFCASE GIRL Dec30 Oct30 Oct01 Sep04 Aug12 (gaines carla)SMITH E 122 3.00    
ANNIE'S SONG (IRE) Nov20 Sep04 Jul24 Jun18 May29 (sadler john )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 12.00    
RIVENDELL Feb25         (drysdale ne)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPEED LANE Dec02 Oct28 Oct02 Jul31   (cerin vladimi)CURATOLO RYAN 122 6.00    
REBEL GIRL Jan02 Oct30 Oct10 Aug06 Jun17 (powell leonar)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
PEARL GLORY (IRE) Sep04         (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 8.00    
SHE'S GOT A WAY Dec30 Nov27 Sep22 Aug21 Jul24 (eurton pet)VAN DRAYDEN 122 6.00    
10  CARMEN MIRANDA Dec17 Nov25 May20 Apr09 Feb13 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 7% 13.30    
 
SA-7   02/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROWTHEGREAT Jul30         (blacker daniel)ESPINOZA V 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
HENRY Q Jan06 Jun12       (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 4.00 32% 2.20    
BIG HAT WILLIE Jan06 Nov24 Oct30     (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00    
SNAPP DADDY Jan06         (eurton pet)VAN DRAYDEN 123 12.00    
LOOK SHARP         (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 123 8.00    
SOLDATNA Jul17         (glatt mark)HERRERA A 118 20.00    
STREET MOGUL Dec31         (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 15.00    
MOTORCADE Jan06         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 9% 10.50    
BLUEGRASS GO GO Dec26 Nov19       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 123 12.00    
 
SA-8   02/04/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN ANTON (IRE) Dec30         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by FAST COMPANY out of ANGEL STEVENS by HAWK WING)
ESCAPE ARTIST Dec26         (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 9% 9.60    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of GLORY by KNIGHT)
FAST CHAD Jan02         (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of AWESOME BELLA by AWESOME AGAIN)
MALTESE FALCON (IRE) Dec26         (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of ISABELLA by GALILEO (ARG))
EXCEL CALCULATOR Jan02 Dec10       (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SIERRA ELECTRICA by TAPIT)
SINGLE TRACK MIND (IRE) Dec30 Dec04 Oct29 Sep11   (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
  (by MEHMAS out of SINGLE THOUGHT by TEOFILO (PER))
SHADOW CREEK (IRE) Dec30 Dec04       (gallag)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EKLEEL by DANEHILL)
KEEN TO GO Dec30 Dec04 Nov12 Oct23 Sep11 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 30.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SWITCHING GEARS by TAPIT)
BOLT SUPREMACY Jan02 Dec04 Oct30     (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SAVVY SUPREME by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  GENIUS JIMMY Dec30 Dec04 Oct30     (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MS GIAVONNA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  EASTBOUND Nov25 Oct29 Aug20     (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SURF LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
 
SA-9   02/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANACAPA Dec31 Dec02 Oct30 Oct01 Sep04 (gaines carla)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of SOOT Z by EMPIRE MAKER)
FUN TO DREAM Dec26 Nov13 Oct01 Sep04 Jul28 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by ARROGATE out of LUTESS by MARIA'S MON)
SAMURAI CHARM Dec31 Nov22 Oct31 Oct02 Sep05 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of BACK SEAT CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
ANGEL NADESHIKO Jan15 Dec03 Oct30 Oct01 Sep11 (gallagher patrick)SMITH E 120 8.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of CIANCHETTA by ARCH)
AWAKE AT MIDNYTE Dec26 Nov05 Oct02 Sep04 May06 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 2.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of MIDNIGHT UNION by UNION RAGS)
LADY T Dec31 Nov27 Aug20 Jul23 Jun12 (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RED CARPET MISS by MALIBU MOON)
 
SA-10   02/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARLS ROCK (IRE) Dec04 Nov05       (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 9% 10.40    
  (by FASCINATING ROCK out of AJAADAT by SHAMARDAL)
DU JOUR         (baffert bob)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 15.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GUILTLESS by BERNARDINI)
ANACONDA Nov25 Nov07 Sep29 Sep08 Jul29 (sharp joe)MALDONADO E 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LAWN PARTY by SLEWVESCENT)
BOB AND JACKIE Dec26 Mar05 Jan30     (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 124 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FATEER by ESKENDEREYA)
KISS TODAY GOODBYE Dec31 Feb05       (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 124 30.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SAVVY HESTER by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
IRIDEO (ARG) Dec31 Nov26 Oct01 Sep03 Jul24 (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 15.00    
  (by EASING ALONG out of INFILTRADA by ALL AMERICAN (AUS))
THERE GOES HARVARD Jul30 May30 May14 Apr17 Mar19 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of SOUL CRUSADER by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
AIR FORCE RED Dec31 Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Aug05 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 21% 3.90    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MESANA by MIZZEN MAST)
HIT THE ROAD Dec31 Jan29       (blacker dani)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HIGHWAY MARY by U S RANGER)
10  DARK SHIFT (GB) Oct23         (murphy co)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00 7% 13.10    
  (by DARK ANGEL (IRE) out of MOSUO by OASIS DREAM (GB))
12  CABO SPIRIT Dec03 Oct29 Sep03 Aug07 Jun04 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 124 6.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
SCR  BEAUDACIOUS Jan08 Dec02       ( )TBA null      
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHE'S STRIKING by GOLDLUST)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.