Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - February 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-2   WIN (8/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/2/4)-(9/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/4)-(9/5/4)-(4/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-3   WIN (9/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/4)-(9/5/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/4)-(9/5/4/8/7)-(9/5/4/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/5/4)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4)-(4/7/1)-(10/7/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-4   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(10/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
HOU-5   WIN (10/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/1/4)-(10/7/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/7/1/4)-(10/7/1/4/2)-(10/7/1/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
HOU-6   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
HOU-7   WIN (3/10/9/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/9/8/11)-(3/10/9/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/9/8/11)-(3/10/9/8/11)-(3/10/9/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/9/8/11)-(2/8/1/7/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/10/9/8/11)-(2/8/1/7/3)-(9/3/10/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-8   WIN (2/8/1/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/7/3)-(2/8/1/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/7/3)-(2/8/1/7/3)-(2/8/1/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/1/7/3)-(9/3/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-9   WIN (9/3/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/10/6)-(9/3/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/10/6)-(9/3/10/6)-(9/3/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-2   02/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREW CREW Nov22 Nov07 Oct07 Sep17 Aug26 (jacks karen)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
CARPE EROS Dec14 Nov21 Nov03 Jul16 Jun16 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 8.00 16% 5.20    
MR L B J Jan14 Nov14 Oct26 Oct15 Sep03 (pruitt m)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
PINKY RING BLING Jan14 Dec03 Feb19 Jan20   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.00 11% 8.40    
UNCORKED HUMOR Jan14 Dec03 Sep14 Aug27 Aug13 (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 10.00    
SCR  TALE TWISTER Sep17 Aug08 Jul10 Jun17 May08 (jacks karen )PIVARAL GERBER 123 4.50 14% 6.10    
DELIRIUM May08 Apr01 Mar16 Mar05 Feb23 (torrez jeren)EDISON JOCELYN 118 12.00    
HEPUTTHEACEINRACE Jun06 May17 Apr27 Apr06   (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 22% 3.70    
 
HOU-3   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARRY Apr23 Mar17 Mar04 Feb13 Jan28 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80    
A HUNK OF HEAVEN Jan21 Apr28 Apr09 Feb25 Feb11 (baldillez)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00    
PARABELLUM Jan21 Jan06 Dec19 Dec01 Nov08 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
MORO FLYBOY Jan21 Dec08 Oct27 Oct14 Sep23 (gustafson aust)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00 8% 11.20    
WILL THE THRILL Jan22 Sep08 Aug26 Jul22 Jul08 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
SHANGHAI GOLD Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jul02 Jun04 (echeverria hector)DIEGO V 123 30.00    
GET WITT GONE Jan20 Sep27 Sep13 Aug17 Aug01 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 8.00    
PLAY RULE Jan06 Oct20 Sep17 Sep08 Aug26 (dupuy allen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00    
FEARLESS PRINCE Jan21 Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 May29 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 46% 1.20    
 
HOU-4   02/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART CALL Sep15 Aug27 Jul31 Jun26 May28 (roberts joe )PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
GRAZEN IN THE PARK Jan07 Dec02 Nov18 Oct22 Oct14 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 10.00    
FULL DINNER JACKET Jan20 Dec08 Nov18 Nov07 Jun07 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.00    
RESOLVE NOW Jan08 Dec14 Nov18 Nov03 Oct14 (eoff terry)LUZZI J 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  KEESAWAH Jan01 Dec10 Oct27 Oct14 Sep03 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00    
SCR  SPORTS FAN Mar31 Mar17 Feb20 Jan16   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.20 52% 0.90    
SCHOENHARDT Jan14 Aug27 Jul17 Jul02 May22 (carrizale)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 12.00 5% 17.20    
PROUD TO SERVE Jan14 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Mar17 (c)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 123 20.00    
OH SNAP Nov16 Oct21 Jul04 Jun23 Jun16 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 30.00    
 
HOU-5   02/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY BE GONE Jan13 Nov25 Oct28 Sep17 Sep03 (garza joaqu)WETHEY JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of O'HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
KODALINE Jan14         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 6.00    
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
COSMIC SOUL Dec26 Nov04 Sep11 Jul31   (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 3.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of SHE'LL DO IT by BADGE OF SILVER)
GRANDSONSAM Dec14         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of MISS HOCKADAY by GREENWOOD LAKE)
VICKIE'S GOLD         (asmussen steve)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of DIAMONDINTHESTREAM by SMART STRIKE)
SUPER PROSPECTOR Jan14 Dec15       (a)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of BODIE'S VALENTINE by BODEMEISTER)
FREE MAKER Jan13 Dec09 Nov03 Oct01   (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CAMILLI by TAPIT)
I AM GRODD Jan14 Dec12 Nov14 Oct24   (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 10.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of BALTIC NATIONS by SEATTLE SLEW)
PRINCE CURLIN Jan13         (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 122 30.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MIZ STRAWBERRY DEE by ATTICUS)
10  TAPADINE Jan13 Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 Jul24 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by TAPIT out of ONDINE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
HOU-6   02/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD DECLARATION Nov19 Oct15 Feb18 Jan30 Jan06 (eoff terry)LUZZI J 123 5.00    
SCR  CAPETOWN CANDY Nov09 Oct11 Sep27 Aug14 May29 (montano wilfrido)MONTALVO C 118 8.00    
C. F. CONGRESS Jan15 Dec19 Nov25 Nov09 Sep24 (west henry)JUDE JOHN 123 30.00    
SWEET TAPIN MORO Jan15 Aug13 Jul09 Jun18   (whitton m)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 15.00    
LARIDAE Dec17 Nov15 Oct28 Oct13 Sep22 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
GOLIATH RIDGE Jan06 Sep19 Sep06 Aug08 Jul24 (kotara ro)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 30.00    
SCR  DRAKON Jan15 Nov13 Oct21 Aug24 Jul24 (diodoro robert)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.80 72% 0.40    
AIR FORCE ANGEL Jan20 Sep10 Aug16 Jul26 Jul04 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 4.00    
SHAMAYIM Jan15 Dec08 Nov18 Oct22 Oct15 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
SCR  HEMPSTEAD Jan15 Sep26 Aug16 Jul16 Jul02 (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
 
HOU-7   02/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE BUFF Jan13 Nov01 Oct03 Jun08 May30 (love alan)ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
  (by HAKASSAN (CHI) out of SANTERRA by TEJABO)
KING ARTHUR RIDGE Jan13 Dec02 Sep26 Aug16 Jul21 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 123 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
TAPITS KASH Apr01 Feb19 Jan30     (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of GABBY WEARS GUCCI by MONTREAL RED)
MOROLICIOUS Jan13 Sep30 Sep21 Sep02 Aug20 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of GORGELICIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
TEXAS HOLDEM Jan13 Oct22       (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of LIL SWEET SEA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
CANATLAN Jan13         (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00    
  (by FIFTEEN LOVE out of THUNDEROUSLY by WILD AGAIN)
SCR  TITO Jan13 Jul22       (chaparro gay)EDISON JOCELYN 118 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
VALDINA DREAMS Jan13 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep26 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 6% 16.30    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
GOD'S GOLD Sep07 Aug19 Jul21 Jul02 Jun16 (martin b)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.50 9% 10.70    
  (by MIRACULOUSMO out of GOLDEN LEGS by GOULDINGS GREEN)
10  MORO'S BULL CREEK         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00 12% 7.60    
  (by MORO TAP out of MARRYBELLANIGHT by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
11  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Jan13 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug01 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PICK SIX out of DELLA FOX LADY by EASTERN ECHO)
 
HOU-8   02/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING HAPPY Jan20 Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 Jun03 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 3.50 12% 7.40    
WATERWORKS Dec18 Nov11 Oct22 Sep24 Sep03 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00 25% 3.10    
LEMON ROSES Jan14 Nov10 Oct19 Sep09 Aug25 (love alan)DIEGO V 123 6.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  JAGO Jul22 Jul02 Jun05 May14 Feb04 (hunt jame)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
MRS. KRINKLES Jan08 Dec15 Nov26 Nov15 Oct19 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 12.00    
BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Jan13 Nov14 Oct01 Sep14 Aug26 (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.50    
BRODIE BABY Jan07 Dec05 Nov15 Oct24 Sep25 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00 11% 8.10    
TEMPLAR RED Dec10 Oct22 Sep24 Sep07 Jun24 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 3.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  PAYDIEM Jan13 Sep15 Sep07 Jun23 Apr29 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
 
HOU-9   02/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEER UP Dec09 Nov19 Nov07 Oct14 Sep14 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  ANGEL WHISPER Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 Oct06 (pruitt m)LANDEROS C 123 30.00    
SUPER EMPIRE Dec14 Nov18 Oct14 Feb04 Jan21 (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 12% 7.60    
C J 'S CAT FIVE Nov29 Nov14 Oct31 Oct11 Sep24 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00    
FEARLESS DIXIE         (johnson leonard)SANCHEZ M 123 30.00    
CAMARADERIE Jan01 Nov21 Jun11 May22 May01 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  ALL AFLUTTER Dec10 Nov30 Nov18 Nov07 Oct27 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
SCR  STAR FASHION Dec29 Nov26 Nov18     (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 20.00 6% 16.90    
MAINLINE Nov07 Oct12 Sep11 Aug08   (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
10  CASHMERE DANCER Nov07 Sep24 Sep07 Jul10 May19 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  GET OUT TONIGHT Nov04 Sep16 Jun26 Feb23 Feb12 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00    
12  VICENZA GOLD Dec16 Dec09 Nov18 May27 May06 (willis mi)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.