Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - January 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(3/4/7)-(3/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-2   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(3/1/2)-(7/2/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(7/2/3/6)-(4/7/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (7/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/6)-(4/7/5/1)-(8/5/4/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-5   WIN (4/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/1)-(4/7/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/1)-(8/5/4/3)-(3/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-6   WIN (8/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/3)-(3/1)-(6/4/2/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6/4/2/5)-(3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (6/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/5)-(3/6/2)-(3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-10   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 45 ALL PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OPEN THE BOOKS Jan08 Dec30 Feb25     (buckle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 12.00    
SCR  SURF CITY GOLD Jan20         (buckley)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 12.00    
HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE Jan07 Dec10 Nov03     (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 19% 4.40    
LUIGI'S SPIRIT Dec30 Dec09       (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 3.00    
HERE AND NOFURTHER Dec30 Nov25       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.00 32% 2.20    
GIG         (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00    
CAPTAIN QUINT Dec09 Nov04 Oct08 Jul02 May01 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 126 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
LRL-2   01/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT-12:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOOT THEMESSENGER Jan15 Jan06 Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 123 6.00    
SCR  PRETTY GOOD YEAR Nov23 Oct22 Sep19 Aug13 Jul22 (rubley kelly)ALVELO C 123 12.00 12% 7.60    
CLOSER LOOK Dec20 Nov29 Oct21 Sep30 Aug27 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
CARTE BLANCHE Dec31 Dec18 Nov06 Oct29 Oct09 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.80 14% 6.30    
VIRGINIA FULLA Dec31 Dec18 Dec10 Nov07 Oct22 (mckenzie daniel )ACOSTA D 123 20.00    
CURLINGTON Dec20 Nov25 Oct11 Sep16 Aug27 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50    
ALBERTANO Jan06 Dec18 Nov19 Oct16 Sep29 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  BAPTIZE THE BOY Jan06 Oct08 Sep03 Jul29 Jul04 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 30.00 8% 11.70    
 
LRL-3   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3 F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ANGELOFCANTERBURY Jan07 Dec18 Nov25 Oct28 Sep25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  CLASSY NANCY Jan13 Dec12 Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00    
MUSICMANSANDY Jan07 Dec16 Nov19 Oct16 Sep02 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 4.50 12% 7.60    
MISS FUSSY PANTS Jan06 Dec16 Nov07 Oct16 Sep05 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.00 41% 1.50    
NEVER DONE Jan06 Oct21 Sep18 Sep05 Jul20 (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 121 8.00    
MO CO GOLD Jan07 Dec17 Nov14 Oct16 Sep15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.80    
 
LRL-4   01/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADNEEDSAHANDLER Jan01 Dec11 Nov04 Oct14 Sep25 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00    
BIGMANCAN Jan16 Dec31 Dec09 Nov20 Oct30 (magana j)ARAUJO DENIS 126 4.50 25% 3.00    
IT'S SIZZLING TIME Jan03 Nov15 Nov02 Oct22 Sep24 (smith valrie)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
TOP BOSS Jan20 Jan07 Jan01 Dec17 Nov03 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 126 6.00    
ROYAL SPY Jan11 Dec11 Nov21 Nov12 Oct15 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 10.00    
NASHVEGAS Jan18 Nov17 Sep18 Aug06 Jun24 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 20.00 8% 11.00    
ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Jan03 Dec17 Nov12 Nov05 Oct15 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 126 1.80 25% 3.00    
 
LRL-5   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYLIS STREET Jan08 Dec11 Nov19 Sep01 Aug13 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 6.00 5% 19.00    
LARAMORE Dec18 Nov25 Nov07 Oct13 Aug31 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 121 6.00    
OJITOS BELLOS Jan07 Dec30 Dec10 Nov18   (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 124 20.00    
BOSSYNESS Jan07 Dec02 Nov06 Oct16 Sep28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
GOLDEN NEVE Jan06 Aug13 Jul20 Jul01   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 10.00 8% 11.10    
ICE CUBE BABY Jan06 Dec16 Nov18 Nov04 Oct13 (frock charle)LEWIS M 114 10.00    
BOSSERATI Jan07 Dec18 Nov14 Oct22 Sep30 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
HAPPY CLOUDS Jan08 Dec09 Nov19 Nov03 Sep15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50    
HEARDITALL Oct13 Sep30 Aug27 Aug04   (dove kevin )PAREDES JHOVANY 111 30.00    
 
LRL-6   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIQUIDATOR Jan07 Dec03 Nov25 Nov07 Oct13 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 121 3.50    
GENIEINABRIDLE Dec18 Nov14 Oct16 Sep25 Aug09 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 15.00    
CATS INTHE TIMBER Jan13 Oct28 Sep23     (russell t)ROSE J 121 8.00 10% 9.00    
MO MARTHA Dec17 Nov08 Oct06     (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 117 10.00 17% 4.90    
GORMLEY'S GABRIELA Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 Sep30 Sep07 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.00 24% 3.10    
SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Nov27 Oct28 Aug05 Jul13   (viands grego)BATISTA A 121 12.00    
ANGEL ART Jan13 Dec03 Nov19     (shuman mark)KARAMANOS A 121 15.00    
COVER THE SPREAD Nov24         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
LRL-7   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAST OR FAMINE Jan11 Feb06       (padilla-precia)ROSADO JOHAN 126 8.00 17% 5.00    
PRACTICAL SENSE Jan22 Dec10 Nov02 Sep24 Aug30 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 3.00    
CENTER MID MADDIE Jan13 Dec17 Dec06 Nov14 Oct03 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
FORTH Jan13 Dec29 Nov27 Oct30 Oct08 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 122 6.00    
SCR  HIGHLAND DREAM Jan13 Dec11 Nov21 Nov04 Sep25 (lawrence jame)KARAMANOS A 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
DIVINE LAW Jan11 Dec10 Nov20 Oct15 Sep10 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00    
 
LRL-8   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIKING QUEEN Jan08 Dec02 Oct26 Oct01 Sep16 (mcmahon th)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 5.00    
BESS Jan02 Jul02 Jun01 Apr12 Mar08 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
WITTY BANTER Jan07 Dec17 Nov19 Oct30 Oct06 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.50    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Jan20 Dec17 Dec02 Oct23 Oct14 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
FOLLY Sep17 Sep02 Jul30 Jul12 Jun22 (maldonado jona)LOPEZ DERECK 113 20.00 10% 9.20    
MISS DILLINGHAM Jan07 Nov28 Nov01 Oct01 Sep04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
UNADULTERATED Jan01 Dec18 Nov19 Oct29 Oct01 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 3.00    
 
LRL-9   01/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMAGINE A CURE Jan14 Dec11 Nov20 Nov13   (capuano phill)ALVELO C 121 30.00    
NOAH CHANCE Dec17 Oct27 Sep24 Sep05 Aug06 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 2.50 14% 6.10    
LOST WEEKEND Dec31 Dec11 Oct22 Sep29 Sep05 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
LANDON JACK Dec30 Nov27 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00    
DREW'S GOLD May12         (chapman jame)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 6.00    
R B'S THE BOSS Dec11 Nov19 Oct14 Sep05 Jul15 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 117 2.00 18% 4.60    
 
LRL-10   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 45 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. COWBOY BRADLEY         (deiter kell)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUN AWAY EMPIRE Jan13 Nov25 Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
SEE OUT Jan14 Dec31 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 (meister s)DELGADO A 126 3.50 49% 1.00    
SECRET SANCTUARY Jan14 Dec31 Dec10 Nov20 Oct29 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 122 5.00    
NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Jan07 Dec16 Dec09 Nov18 Oct15 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.50    
ESPRESSO LUNGO Jan07 Dec09 Nov11 Oct15 Oct02 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 126 5.00    
GRAND MANNER Jan07 Dec09 Nov21 Oct13 Sep30 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.