Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (3/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/6)-(7/5)-(7/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LRL-2   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/9/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    DD (7/5)-(7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(7/2)-(1/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LRL-3   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/1/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(1/6)-(9/6/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/2/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(9/6/7)-(3/5/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-5   WIN (9/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/7)-(9/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/6/7)-(3/5/7/10)-(5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-6   WIN (3/5/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/10)-(3/5/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/10)-(5/2)-(2/8/3/1/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/8/3/1/4)-(4/5/6/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/8/3/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/1/4)-(2/8/3/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   01/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET TALKED Dec20 Oct30 Sep02 Aug14 Jun12 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.00    
2  OH MRS. MAISEL Dec03 Nov13 Oct14 Sep16 Jun23 (de horacio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  VODKATINI Dec03 Nov04 Sep10 Aug24 Jul15 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 126 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  CLARA BELLE Nov13 Oct29 Sep16 Jul16 Jun19 (brion keri)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 12.00    
5  FLIMSY (GB) Nov18 Oct20 Sep30 Aug19 Jul28 (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  MARTHARITA Dec10 Nov27 Nov18 Oct28 Oct08 (horner elle)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 30.00 7% 13.30    
7  RED WINE TIME Jan01 Nov25 Oct22 Mar19 Mar05 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 122 5.00 ★    
 
LRL-2   01/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DYNAMITE DUKE Jan14 Nov27 Oct01 Sep03 May28 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 126 5.00    
SCR  BELIEVEINROCKNROLL Nov26 Nov06 Oct20 Oct08 Sep18 (frock charl)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 15.00    
3  ITS OVER Jan06 Dec02 Oct28 Oct15 Oct08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 2.50 ★    
4  DESPITE ODDS Dec30 Apr03       (tapscot)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 20.00    
5  JEBSTER Jan13 Nov21 Oct20 Oct08 Oct02 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  DEJOHN Dec29 Jul28 Jun30 Jun04 May12 (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00 ★    
7  THE LAST SCIP Dec29 Dec08 Oct29 Sep30 Sep09 (geralis eman)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00 39% 1.50    
8  TRIPLE TITOS Jan04 Dec20 Nov05 Oct22 Oct05 (allen fer)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00    
9  MOSLER SAFE Dec29 Dec10 Nov20 Oct29 Jun10 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.50 ★    
 
LRL-3   01/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUXTON ROCKS Dec11 Nov25       (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 ★    
2  COCKTAIL DREAMING Jan06 Dec16 Nov19 Oct22 Aug31 (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 121 1.40 9% 10.20    
3  DROPKICK QUEEN Jan06 Dec10 Nov19 Sep17 Sep09 (o'dwyer jeremi)ROSADO JOHAN 117 10.00    
4  NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE Dec28 Nov15 Oct12     (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 114 12.00    
5  PHARIBE Jan10 Oct22 Oct06 Sep28 Sep05 (lynch cathal)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 4.50 ★    
6  ONE LAS OLAS Nov19 Oct23 Oct13 Sep18 Aug20 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 12.00 ★    
7  DUNDER BOSS Dec29 Nov21 Nov12 Oct23   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
LRL-4   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME THE BOURBON Jan08 Dec11 Nov18 Sep03   (feliciano be)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  GRAND ESCAPE Dec17 Nov25 Nov02 Oct14 Sep10 (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 121 3.00 ★    
3  WYATT RIDGELY Nov20 Oct29       (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 15.00 ★    
4  GREAT DAYS AHEAD Dec11 Dec02 Nov11     (parram derrick)LOPEZ DERECK 111 12.00 ★    
5  EL TOLU Dec31 Dec11 Nov26     (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 124 4.00    
6  THE COLORA KID Dec17 Oct29 Oct02 Sep17 Sep03 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.80 17% 5.00    
 
LRL-5   01/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 45 ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLAVIAN Dec09 Oct30 Sep17 Aug12 Jul16 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 126 4.00 ★    
2  DIVIDED UNION         (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 5.00    
3  MOSES WATER Dec09 Nov21 Oct30     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 4.50 ★    
4  SURF CITY GOLD         (buckley)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
SCR  LUV YA BYE BYE Dec30 Dec09 Jun24 Jun10 May26 (peacoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 15.00    
6  SWIFT DANCER Aug24 Aug02 Apr27 Apr15 Mar26 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
7  CHASING STORMS         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 4.50 16% 5.40    
8  LOOTAH         (nazario pedro)CEDENO CAROL 126 15.00    
9  BOURBON ON THE BAY Jan07 Nov25 Nov05 Jun10 May19 (savoye jacqe)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
 
LRL-6   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BOSS LADY Jan06 Dec29 Dec02 Nov06 Oct26 (nazario pedro)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00    
2  LITTLE MS SCARLET Dec29 Sep21 Aug08 Jul10 Jul02 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 123 8.00    
3  STAY OUT Dec16 Nov24 Nov12 Oct09 Sep18 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  HONOR YOUR MOTHER Dec29 Dec03 Nov14 Oct07 Sep17 (smith d)ALVELO C 126 6.00 11% 8.00    
5  KASHAN Nov29 Sep17 Aug06 Jun25 Mar19 (perkins ben)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00 24% 3.20    
6  NO MORE MASK Nov21 Nov12 Oct21 Sep25 Sep10 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 4.50    
7  LADY JEAN Nov11 Oct27 Oct13 Oct01 Jul28 (sepulveda)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 6.00 9% 9.80    
8  GOLD TIME VIXEN Dec17 Dec02 Oct23 Oct14 Oct01 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 12.00    
9  MY SUPER SALLY Dec03 Nov14 Oct07 Sep16 Aug14 (clagett christi)MONTERREY R 123 20.00    
10  MERAVIGLIOSO Dec29 Dec03 Nov07 Oct21 Sep24 (gonzalez claud)PEREZ XAVIER 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   01/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEMPER FI Dec17 Nov06 Oct09 Sep23 Apr03 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00    
2  ARISTOCRATIC Dec17 Nov27 Oct27 Sep06 Jul20 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 3.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  ROMINSKI Dec10 Oct08 Sep18 Aug14 Jun10 (howard c)CEDENO CAROL 126 4.00 ★    
SCR  PYEONG CHANG Nov17 Sep25 Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 (runco c)LEWIS M 116 15.00 ★    
5  QUICK TEMPO Dec31 Dec04 Oct15 Oct06 Sep10 (pickett crystal )CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.00 63% 0.60    
6  TOP BOSS Jan07 Jan01 Dec17 Nov03 Oct15 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 119 12.00 ★    
7  BOWIE TWO STEP Dec29 Dec11 Dec04 Nov06 Oct20 (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 123 30.00    
 
LRL-8   01/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVISIBILITY Dec31 Dec06 Nov02 Oct13   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 8.00 12% 7.20    
2  TAPPIN JOSIE Dec30 Nov14 Sep30 Aug31 Aug10 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 1.80 24% 3.10    
3  COAL MINE Jan13 Nov25 Oct19 Sep02 Aug04 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 121 3.50 17% 5.10    
4  BLOWTHRUYELOWLITES Dec18 Nov07 Oct21 Sep11 Aug20 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 6.00 9% 9.80    
5  NAVAL EMPIRE Sep07 Aug09 Jul12     (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 20.00    
6  MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Dec17 Nov02 Oct01 Sep02 Jul08 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 12.00    
SCR  BLOME Jan03 Nov29 Oct22 Sep28 Sep14 (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 121 12.00    
8  TRIBAL QUEEN Dec03 Oct27 Aug07 Jul02   (dutrow anthony)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00 18% 4.70    
 
LRL-9   01/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENAX Jan13 Dec18 Nov21 Nov04 Apr23 (burdick)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 2.50 8% 12.00    
2  PRESSING CONCERN Jan13 Jan01 Dec18 Dec10 Nov07 (mohan r)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
3  NEVER SILENCED Dec29 Dec04 Nov14 Nov07 Sep04 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 20.00    
4  SUPERSTITIEUX Dec29 Nov26 Nov14 Oct02 Sep09 (cox kenneth )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00 44% 1.30    
5  TOTAL EFFORT Jun11 Apr02 Mar19 Feb18 Feb03 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.00 12% 7.20    
6  STRONGER THAN DEX Dec29 Dec10 Mar18     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 3.00 10% 8.60    
7  THRUSTER Dec29 Jun04 May13 Apr01 Feb03 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 6.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING LAD Nov26 Oct29 Oct13 Jun25 May15 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NOTION TO TAPIT Jan13 Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 Oct22 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.