Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - December 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   12/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARCTIC ICE Oct29         (hernandez ja)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 15.00    
KING ZION Nov18 Nov04 Oct23 Oct07 Oct02 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 6.00    
MORANT Nov18 Oct02 Sep15 Aug25   (garrett t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 5.00    
UNCLE DICK Nov20 Nov06 Jul19 Jul12 Jun29 (ramos )BAILON JADHIR 121 4.50 8% 12.00    
BON DEUX Nov27 Nov18 Nov04 Sep14 Aug21 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.00 9% 10.40    
KEEN RESPONSE Nov18 Nov04 Oct22 Sep04 Aug21 (sullivan ellio)COLON H 121 1.80 60% 0.70    
MEMPHIS THEPROPHET Nov18 Nov04 Sep25 Aug30 Aug16 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 124 12.00    
 
HAW-2   12/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASKEW Nov06 Sep16 Aug28 Jul07 Jun09 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
SHE TAKES FLIGHT Nov06 Oct02 Sep03 Aug19 Aug12 (butler gerald)HUGHES CARLY 121 3.50    
SENORITA AURORA Nov18 Oct30 Sep23 Aug19 Jul29 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 121 20.00    
BEZEL SET Nov20 Nov06 Oct21 Sep17 Sep06 (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 20.00    
SEQUAYA Nov11 Oct06 Sep22 Sep08 Aug22 (cook brian)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00    
SHE'S XTREMELY HOT Nov20 Nov11 Sep15 Sep01 Jul31 (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 124 1.60 25% 3.00    
HARD LIKE HOLLY Nov11 Oct23 Aug18 Aug10 Jul16 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 118 30.00    
CAIRO SUMMER Nov27 Nov18 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 10.00 9% 10.40    
 
HAW-3   12/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT DAME Nov23 Nov01 Oct23 Sep30 Aug06 (hernandez ja)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 6.00    
ROYA Nov20 Oct30 Oct02 Aug30 Aug16 (lopez elias)COLON H 118 5.00    
STACK SHACK Nov25 Nov13 Oct16 Sep23 Aug24 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
WAY TOO SMARTE Nov15 Oct25 Jul16 Jun28 Jun24 (pompell robert)ORM CORY 121 3.50    
SHE'S A BIG STAR Nov04 Oct16 Sep03 Aug05 Jul12 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00    
ON A TOUR Nov13 Oct28 Oct14 Oct02 Sep07 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
HAW-4   12/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACEDAY ATTIRE Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 Aug17 Aug06 (sanchez osca)TAVARES JAVIER 119 5.00 8% 10.80    
RUNNERS HEAT Nov18 Oct23 Sep23 Sep08 Aug21 (wilson l)FELIX E 119 15.00 5% 17.50    
HALLIE'S RAINBOW Nov18 Oct08 Aug20 Jul30   (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
MUD HUT Jun11 Jun03 May07     (kirby )BAILON JADHIR 121 10.00    
SUMMER BELLE Nov11 Oct15 Sep04 Jul28 Jun25 (mitchell )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 3.50    
IT'S GREEK TO ME Nov18 Jun11 May22 Apr17   (manley steve)BAIRD T 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
SWEET FRAULEIN Nov18 Nov04 Oct15 Oct08 Sep16 (hernandez ja)SERRANO KEIVAN 119 8.00    
 
HAW-5   12/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOWS N LACE Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul09 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
DAIGLE Nov13 Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 Aug24 (meraz ant)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50 11% 8.20    
WEEKEND PASS Nov25 Nov12 Oct16 Oct02 Aug20 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00    
SCR  COWGIRL KIMMIE Nov11 Oct25 Sep20 Jul21 Jun24 (sullivan ell)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 31% 2.30    
WATCHIN THE WHEELS Nov12 Sep17 Aug20 Aug02 Jun21 (quinonez max)COLON H 124 4.00    
SILVERA Nov13 Oct23 Oct02 Sep24 Sep07 (candelas blanca)ORM CORY 121 8.00    
KIMBERLY FRANCES Nov25 Nov12 Oct16 Sep03 Aug20 (sanchez osc)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 3.50 9% 10.70    
AUNT STELLA Nov11 Sep17 Sep02 Aug02 Jul12 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 27% 2.70    
LINDALOUIMAGE Nov06 Oct23 Sep30 Aug20 Jul22 (quinonez max)FELIX E 124 10.00    
 
HAW-6   12/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANVILLE Nov18 Oct28 Sep30 Sep23 Sep08 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
DYNABLUE Nov12 Nov04 Oct21 Sep24 Aug20 (poulos dee)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 12.00    
COWBOYS DREAM Oct28 Oct14 Sep23 Jun17 May20 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50 14% 6.20    
IRISH DECLARATION Nov16 Oct28 Oct17 Sep16 Sep02 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
LAVENDER EARL Nov26 Nov19 Oct08 Sep25 Aug22 (ramirez carl)TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00 11% 8.40    
IWILLPERSEVERE Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 Sep25 Aug16 (slager mike)ORM CORY 121 8.00    
SCR  ANDREW THE GIANT Nov13 Oct21 Oct01 Jun25   (ross s)FELIX E 121 10.00    
SCR  COMFORT ME NOW Oct02 Sep06 Aug19 Jul23 Jul01 (plasters lori)EMIGH A 121 5.00    
ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Nov20 Oct28 Oct07 Aug09 Jul20 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
 
HAW-7   12/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDNECKERTHANYOU Nov13 Oct30 Oct09 Oct02 Sep26 (riecken bru)ORTEGA O 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
LAKE MILLS Nov25 Oct30 Oct22 Oct02 Aug19 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00 24% 3.10    
GAME BOY BENNY Nov12 Oct23 Oct01 Aug28 Jul06 (winebaugh cheryl)BAIRD T 121 3.50    
FOLLOW THE SIGNS Nov13 Oct21 Sep30 Feb12   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
SWISHAWISH Nov06 Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 Aug16 (coontz a)FELIX E 122 4.00    
BEEALEA Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 Aug25   (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50    
HURTS SO BAD Nov19 Nov06 Oct22 Oct02 Sep15 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
 
HAW-8   12/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUN GUN Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Sep14 Aug24 (miller davi)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
TEA AFTER BALLET Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 Sep25 Sep13 (zawitz joel)COLON H 121 8.00    
BLOOMING GARDEN Nov20 Oct16 Oct01 Aug20 Aug02 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00    
OFF TO THE BEACH Nov20 Nov04 Oct16 Sep25 Aug20 (hughes)BAILON JADHIR 121 20.00    
MADELYNS HEAT Nov13 Oct16 Oct01 Aug31 Jun25 (cook brian)LOPEZ E 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
RIP IT RYAN Nov20 Aug02 Jul08 Jun11 Apr23 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
FUTURE VISION Nov12 Oct16 Oct07 Aug16 Jul16 (juarez blas)TAVARES JAVIER 121 1.60 31% 2.30    
CAPTAIN CARNEGIE Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 Sep25 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
DARE GOES DA DEVIL Nov20 Nov13 Oct16 Oct09 Sep25 (perez manny)ORTEGA O 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.