Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Remington Park
Monday - November 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RP-1   11/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIND NEW ROADS         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
GUILTY AFFAIR         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 4.50    
MIDNIGHT MONEY         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 121 4.00    
DOYOUKNOWMYNAME Nov05 Jun27       (lambert jo)MOLINA F 124 8.00    
UNBRIDLED JOY Oct13         (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 6.00    
MESSAGE DISCIPLINE Jun02         (martin steve)QUINONEZ S 121 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
RP-2   11/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYALLY Nov02 Oct15 Jul12 Jun07 May10 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 122 5.00    
WAVERUNNER Oct26 Oct06 Sep22 Sep08   (davis d)MORA GERARDO 120 6.00    
DEANOS CAPE Nov02 Oct15 Oct02 Sep19 Aug26 (houser megan)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
FREDONIAN Nov02 Oct15 Oct06 Sep24 Sep18 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 1.20 41% 1.40    
TARUCA Nov02 Oct15 Oct01 Sep22 Sep10 (bert byro)TRIANA JR 120 4.00    
AVAILABLE STAR Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 Jul24 Jun23 (jacks karen)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
 
RP-3   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNNY SAN LEON Nov02 Sep30 Sep09     (gelner j)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
OLIVIA TWIST Oct19         (fincher t)TORRES A 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
RIOBELLA Oct28 Oct05       (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
SISTER BLING Sep01 Jul21 Jul10     (esqueda r)MEDINA ANGEL 119 15.00    
JOKES ON BLUE Oct30 Sep25 Aug26     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.00    
MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM Oct28 Oct12 Sep03 Aug20   (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 119 5.00    
 
RP-4   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER WINGS Nov05 Oct15 Sep26 Aug30 Jul22 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 120 6.00    
WEST TEXAS RAIN Oct14 Sep28 Jul22 Jun25 May24 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 10.00 8% 11.10    
PUNCH EM Nov02 Oct07 Sep16 Apr13 Mar22 (luneack t)TRIANA JR 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
SUNDAY BLING Nov04 Oct15 Sep28 Aug27 Jul17 (pish danny)MONTALVO C 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
REVIVAL Oct15 Sep21 Sep01     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 120 3.50    
CARPE EROS Nov03 Jul16 Jun16 Feb23 Jan29 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 10.00    
PICO D'ORO Nov08 Oct15 Sep16 Aug13 Jul24 (davis s)GONCALVES R 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
RP-5   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFRAIDOFTHEBUNNY Oct14 Sep25 Aug29 Aug14 Jul29 (villafranco f)CABRERA DAVID 119 12.00    
JUST OKIE Nov11 Oct21 Aug27     (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00    
AMERICAN OUTLAW Oct15         (fincher todd)ALVAREZ L 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
MONEY RUN Oct28 Oct02 Aug19     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.50 8% 11.90    
LIL SWEET THANG Oct28 Oct01       (von donn)QUINONEZ S 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
PANDO Oct13 Sep02 Aug20     (trout r)HAMILTON WESTON 119 4.00    
MOR LANA SPIRIT Oct28 Sep02       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 6.00    
 
RP-6   11/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN FOR FUN Nov07 Oct02 Sep19 Aug29 Aug14 (gleason t)TRIANA JR 121 12.00    
CHARLIECANDO Nov14 Oct15 Sep24 Sep15 Sep07 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 3.00    
SECRETARY AT WAR Oct20 Sep23 Sep07 Aug16 Jul02 (cappellucci)HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  TOWN CHAMP Nov08 Oct20 Sep16 Jul04 Apr23 (hewitt mich)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
MONET'S DEVIL Oct13 Sep15 Sep03 Jul05 Jun07 (martin steve)QUINONEZ S 124 12.00    
COAL TRUTH Oct20 Sep23 Sep08 Aug19 Jul04 (petalino joe)ALVAREZ L 120 8.00    
CARL G Nov02 Oct07 Sep16 Sep08 Aug20 (flores oscar)DIEGO V 124 8.00    
RIVER RULER Oct12 Sep23 Jul24 Jun23 Jun05 (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 4.00 9% 9.50    
 
RP-7   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 3 F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILLAXIFICATION Nov03 Oct12 Sep21     (young s)GONCALVES R 116 4.50    
PLENTY OF VISION Oct21 Sep23 Sep09 Aug19 Jul22 (young sco)TRIANA JR 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
KACHINA Nov08 Oct21 Sep09 May23 May10 (craddock ka)MELANCON JANSEN 116 4.00 26% 2.80    
OUR BET Nov08 Oct21 Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 (chleborad lynn)QUINONEZ S 116 3.50 13% 6.90    
FIGHTINGTEMPTATION Nov08 Oct21 Sep28 Sep09 May23 (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 118 8.00    
SCR  STRONG WOMAN Nov12 Nov04 Oct21 Sep16 Sep10 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 120 12.00    
SMOKIN' OKIE Oct22 Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 May23 (padilla car)HAMILTON WESTON 120 6.00 5% 17.60    
 
RP-8   11/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DORITA'S HEART Nov12 Oct20 Oct06 Sep17 Sep02 (hewitt michael)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
CAMARADERIE Jun11 May22 May01 Apr22 Mar27 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00    
PALACEIN Oct22 Oct01 Aug26     (young sco)TRIANA JR 120 3.00    
AQUILA MOON Oct26 Sep24 Jul27     (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 6.00    
SUPER WONDER GIRL Oct19 Sep29 Aug29 Aug06 Jun23 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
MOCHA KISS May06 Apr29 Mar27 Mar13 Feb21 (stuart clinto)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00 8% 11.20    
LINGERING PROMISE         (nolen kennet)ALVAREZ L 121 10.00 10% 9.00    
COST A FORTUNE Nov02 Oct12 Sep17 Aug04 Jul03 (dixon tim)MELANCON JANSEN 118 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
RP-9   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEWSCASTER Oct27 Sep25       (craddock kar)ALVAREZ L 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
NUMBER ONE DUDE Oct21 Sep23 Jun11 May07 Apr12 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
HELLO HOT ROD Oct27 Oct15 Sep14 Jun24 Mar19 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.00    
GOLD MONEY May22 Mar17 Feb16     (castellanos)HAMILTON WESTON 120 15.00    
DRIFTING WEST Jun16 May23 Mar28 Mar11   (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 120 15.00    
MAN IN THE CAN Sep12 Aug02 Jun11 May07 Apr10 (moquett r)TORRES A 124 5.00 8% 11.70    
PALUXY Oct12 Sep25 Sep14 Aug19 Jul23 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.