Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   11/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM BORN Oct22 Sep25 Aug16 Jul08   (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 0.60 56% 0.80    
2  GRAND FESTIVAL Oct28 Mar19 Feb26     (perez man)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 30.00    
3  ANUNKA Nov06 Oct09 Aug30 Aug05 Jul08 (breaux danita)ORM CORY 121 20.00 ★    
4  AWESOME WILLY Oct28 Aug30       (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
5  MICHAEL GEORGE Nov01 Oct22 Oct09     (hernandez )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
SCR  CHARLIE'S BEACH Sep13 Jul23 Jun18 Jun03 Apr26 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 121 15.00 ★    
7  JACKPOT BOY Oct22 Mar17 Feb26     (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
8  I'M YOUR VALENTINE Oct28 Aug16 Jul29     (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00 ★    
 
HAW-2   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAWMAKER Oct29 Oct09 Aug24 Jul23 Jun02 (manley st)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 6% 15.70    
2  TAHKODHA KNIGHT Oct29 Oct09 Sep15 Sep08 Aug25 (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
3  VALIANTLY DISCREET         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
4  READY MADE Aug30 Aug16       (lynch e)HUGHES CARLY 122 30.00    
5  PERIPATETIC Oct28 Oct02 Sep03 Aug21 Aug06 (litfin nev)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 10.00    
6  BALADINE Oct28 Oct09 Sep13     (poulos dee)EMIGH A 122 6.00 ★    
7  BOONE'S PATH Oct28 Aug16 Jul01 Jun08   (young r)LOPEZ E 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
8  UNDEFEATED CHAMP         (bahena fernando)MOJICA O 124 20.00    
9  HURTS SO BAD Nov06 Oct22 Oct02 Sep15 Aug25 (meraz antonio)BAIRD T 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
10  CELLULOID HERO Oct08 Sep03 Aug18     (robertson hugh)FELIX E 124 5.00 ★    
 
HAW-3   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUN SQUALL Oct28 Oct14 Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 121 2.50 ★    
2  DARK HEDGES Oct28 Oct07 Sep25 Sep09 Aug26 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
3  BIG PINES SANDY Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Oct01 Sep12 (hernan)BAILON JADHIR 121 6.00    
4  STORMIN HONGKONG Oct09 Aug24 Aug03 Jun30 Jun18 (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 5.00 ★    
5  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Sep07 Aug20 (candelas blanc)LEZCANO ABEL 121 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  CHICKS FOR FREE Aug12 Jul19 Jul01     (manley st)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
HAW-4   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWGIRL FRANKIE Sep09 Aug12 Jun28 Jun17 May31 (rednour jr)ORM CORY 122 20.00    
2  AHH MAZING May04 Mar24 Feb24     (foley greg)MOJICA O 124 2.50 ★    
3  WHITE CASHEL Sep09 Aug27 Aug09 Jun28 Jun14 (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 124 30.00    
4  BELPERRON Oct23 Aug07 Jul16     (manley st)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  CHASING GHOST'S         (pompell robe)TAVARES JAVIER 122 20.00    
6  WILDWOOD BYE Oct23 Oct01       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
7  SURE SHOT ANNIE Oct30 Oct09 Sep24 Aug19 Apr30 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 30.00    
8  YANKEE AGATE Oct23         (miller m)LOPEZ E 124 8.00 13% 6.50    
9  AWESOME KITTY         (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
10  STEAL MY SUNSHINE Apr13 Mar18       (ward a)BAIRD T 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
HAW-5   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KRUELESS         (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 122 20.00    
2  SKIP AWAY CARTER Oct28 Sep24 Jun28 May07   (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
3  KISS N BIZ Oct01 Sep05       (spagnola i)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 8.00 9% 10.30    
4  J J'S SOLUTION Oct29 Oct09 Sep10 Jun24 Jun10 (rednour jr)BAIRD T 124 4.50 ★    
5  DASH TO THE CASH Oct28 Jun24 Jun03 May13   (lindsay rick)MOJICA O 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  SENOR MIKE Oct28 Oct09       (pompell robe)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 ★    
7  NAGY AND DA BEARS Sep13         (sanchez osc)ORTEGA O 122 30.00    
8  PUNISH KING         (slager mike)ORM CORY 122 30.00    
9  SMOOTH ATTACK Nov06 Sep24 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (childers vance)MOJICA JR 122 15.00    
10  INSIDE THE CIRCLE Nov06 Oct09 Sep24 May07 Apr23 (lynch e)HUGHES CARLY 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
HAW-6   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAHOE RUN Nov11 Oct22       (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 115 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  RIGHT ON RICHIE Oct21 Aug22 Aug01     (rivelli larry)FELIX E 117 8.00    
3  CHI TOWN HUSTLER Oct01 Jul18       (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 117 5.00 ★    
4  EL MUCHO         (rodriguez hugo)BOWEN ROCCO 115 15.00    
5  RIVZONAROLL Oct14 Sep25 Aug31 Jun11   (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  LOOKIN FOR BALA Oct21 Jul23       (essenpreis edward)EMIGH A 117 4.50 10% 9.30    
7  HIGHLY PERFECT Nov11 Oct14 Sep17 Sep06   (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 115 12.00    
8  FEVER NATION Oct14         (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 115 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-7   11/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOZAN'S VALENTINE Sep24 Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 (mosier haro)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 3.50 53% 0.90    
2  TWOKO BAY Nov04 Oct08 Sep17 Sep10 Aug13 (reavis l)FELIX E 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  SOUL COAXING Sep17 Jun19 Jun02 Mar17 Feb04 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 4.50 ★    
4  SEMINOLE BEACH Oct22 Oct07 Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 (randazzo frank)COLON H 124 8.00    
5  YOU'RE IN COREY Oct29 Oct15 Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
6  IWILLPERSEVERE Oct29 Oct09 Sep25 Aug16 Jun18 (slager mike)ORM CORY 121 20.00    
7  MR. SOLO Oct14 Sep19 Sep02 Aug13 Jul23 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 121 10.00    
8  FLATOUT WINNER Nov04 Aug21 Aug14 Jul27 Jun29 (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
9  HAPPY CAMPER Nov04 May07 Apr16 Apr01 Mar18 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00    
10  LAVENDER EARL Oct08 Sep25 Aug22 Aug06 Jun25 (ramirez carl)TAVARES JAVIER 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-8   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATCHET CREEK Nov04 Oct09 Sep07 Jul27 Jul17 (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 10.00    
2  BULLDOG OF BERGEN Nov12 Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 Sep12 (holsapple h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 15.00    
3  DAAHERS BULLY Oct28 Oct02 Sep18 Aug20 Jul24 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 121 5.00 13% 6.50    
4  SIR ACEALOT Nov04 Oct16 Sep30 Aug21 Jun24 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 4.50 ★    
5  PRINCE OF MAYHEM Nov06 Oct09 Sep17 Sep06 Aug20 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
SCR  EMOJI GUY Oct09 Sep23 Sep08 Jul28 Jul16 (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUBY'S RED DEVIL Nov04 Oct16 Oct02 Sep17 Sep04 (cook brian)MOJICA JR 121 30.00    
8  THE LAST OPTION Nov12 Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 (hernan)BAILON JADHIR 121 20.00    
9  IMPERIAL MOMENT Oct16 Sep23 Aug19 Jul23 Jun14 (childers vance)BAIRD T 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
10  PINSON Oct29 Oct21 Oct02 Aug01 Jul15 (clay pat)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  UNBROKEN SONG Nov06 Oct02 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 (litfin nev)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.