Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Friday - November 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   11/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVIE JEAN Oct21 Oct01 Sep19 Aug09 Jul11 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BALIMOS Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 Jul28   (rosin w)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
3  PRETTY IN PRADO Oct21 Sep30       (boyce michele)LOPEZ E 122 3.50 ★    
4  SURE WASN'T ME Aug20 Jul30 Jun25 Jun12 Apr24 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  LALUCHADORA Oct21 Oct01 Jun25 Jun11 Apr26 (ryan chri)ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00 ★    
6  HAPPY SAILS Oct21 Oct01 Aug06 Jul21   (boyce michele)EMIGH A 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
HAW-2   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIND YOUR OWN BIZ Oct02 Sep13 Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 (butler gera)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
2  PACHI Oct30 Sep20 Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 3.50 13% 6.70    
3  OSCAR WINNER WALLY Oct15 Sep26 Sep19 Aug20 Aug01 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 121 4.00    
4  KREWE CHIEF Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Sep01 Aug09 (reid r)COLON H 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  KING TITO Oct30 Oct21 Sep30 Sep13 Jul30 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 ★    
6  RIDE RICHIE RIDE Oct16 Sep24 Sep04 Aug15 Jul29 (clay pat)FELIX E 121 2.50 ★    
 
HAW-3   11/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHT ON May24 Apr26 Mar26 Mar12 Jan21 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 8.00    
2  JACK VAN BERG Nov06 Oct07 Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 (poulos dee)MOJICA JR 121 6.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  NEVER HAVE I EVER (IRE) Oct20 Oct07 Aug23 May15 Mar12 (vanden britt)FELIX E 124 4.00 7% 13.20    
4  STALLONE Oct22 Oct02 Sep16 Aug30 Aug16 (retana ga)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00    
5  TALKTOEACHOTHER Oct30 Oct08 Sep07 Jun17 May21 (candel)BAILON JADHIR 121 20.00    
SCR  INFINITE (ARG) Sep05 Apr09       (ward a)BAIRD T 121 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  SIERRA HOTEL Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 Sep17 Sep07 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 8.00    
8  MISTER KELLY Sep25 Aug22 Aug02 Jun30 May16 (winebaugh c)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 15.00    
9  AZRAEL Oct22 Jul01 Jun24 May24 May10 (bahena fernand)LEZCANO ABEL 121 10.00    
SCR  ALIEN SEASON Sep09         (ward a)PEDROZA A 121 15.00 7% 14.30    
11  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Oct30 Oct08 Aug11 Jul13 Jul02 (broberg k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 12.00    
SCR  HURTS SO GOOD Sep30 Sep17 Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 121 5.00 10% 9.20    
13  MEDAL OF FACT Oct16 Sep25 Sep03 Aug16 Jul19 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 10.00    
 
HAW-4   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE MAGIC Oct30 Sep26 Sep04 Aug12 Jul10 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00    
2  SHEZA SAVAGE Apr23 Mar18 Jan07     (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  CAIRO SUMMER Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Sep10 Aug22 (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 6.00 6% 14.70    
4  DOLLY'S LINE Oct23 Sep23 Aug31 Aug20 Jul22 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
5  SENORITA AURORA Oct30 Sep23 Aug19 Jul29 Jun25 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 121 20.00 5% 17.60    
6  VOODOO FIRE Oct30 Oct08 Sep15 Sep07 Aug27 (litfin nevada)MOJICA JR 119 10.00 ★    
7  IRISH HALO Nov12 Oct30 Oct16 Oct09 Oct02 (perez manny)FELIX E 121 8.00    
8  RUNAWAY A. TRAIN Oct30 Oct16 Sep14 Sep03 Aug25 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 2.50    
 
HAW-5   11/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORANT Oct02 Sep15 Aug25     (garrett j)TAVARES JAVIER 121 12.00    
SCR  I'M YOUR VALENTINE Oct28 Aug16 Jul29     (kirby j)MOJICA O 121 8.00    
SCR  WILDCAT HAGRID Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 Sep03 Aug24 (litfin nev)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00    
4  MEMPHIS THEPROPHET Nov04 Sep25 Aug30 Aug16 Aug05 (hernan)BAILON JADHIR 124 30.00    
5  OPTION Oct22 Oct07 Sep17 Aug21 Aug03 (berndt joel)COLON H 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
6  KEEN RESPONSE Nov04 Oct22 Sep04 Aug21 Jun18 (johns jus)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.00 43% 1.30    
7  BON DEUX Nov04 Sep14 Aug21 Aug06 Jul09 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00 ★    
8  KING ZION Nov04 Oct23 Oct07 Oct02 Jun17 (perez manny)EMIGH A 124 6.00    
9  GRUMPA Oct23 Oct02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun18 (matthews )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
10  TOWN CRIER Oct23 Sep13 Aug27 Aug13 Jun07 (heinen h)MOJICA JR 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Aug05         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00 ★    
 
HAW-6   11/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAMA Y DINERO May27 May14 May01 Apr17 Apr03 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 119 15.00    
2  WILDWOOD'S GAMBLE Oct30 Oct08 Aug06 Jul08 Jun25 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 121 15.00    
3  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Nov11 Oct15 Sep30 Aug12 Jun24 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 2.50 25% 3.10    
4  JUST RIGHT MIKE Oct30 Sep30 Sep07 Aug10 Jun30 (candelas blanc)LEZCANO ABEL 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  ART HEIST Oct30 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug19 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  VALLEY VISTA Oct09 Sep25 Aug28 Aug04 Jul14 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 121 4.50 20% 3.90    
7  NATURAL CHILL Oct15 Sep14 Aug18 Jul02 Jun09 (robertson hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00 ★    
8  PO BOY Oct30 Oct09 Jul01 Jun24 May13 (hughes earl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 109 20.00    
 
HAW-7   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT'S GIRL Oct22 Sep11 Aug04 Jun18 Mar12 (rosin w)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 2.50 10% 9.00    
2  PEACH COBBLER Oct27 Oct03 Sep08 Aug24 Jul13 (winebaugh cheryl)BAIRD T 119 6.00    
3  RUNNERS HEAT Oct23 Sep23 Sep08 Aug21 Aug14 (wilson l)FELIX E 119 15.00 ★    
4  MORNING LINE NEWS Nov08 Oct23 Sep16 Sep02 Aug23 (hernan)BAILON JADHIR 119 20.00    
5  BEG BORROW N STEAL Oct21 Sep30 Sep08 Aug18   (block chris)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
SCR  WILDWOOD POSSE Jul05 Jun14       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 5.00 41% 1.40    
7  HALLIE'S RAINBOW Oct08 Aug20 Jul30     (becker scott)EMIGH A 119 4.00 9% 10.60    
8  IT'S GREEK TO ME Jun11 May22 Apr17     (manley st)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
HAW-8   11/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'FEVER Oct29 Oct09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul24 (rodriguez hugo)BAIRD T 121 8.00    
2  LAUDA SPEED Nov06 Oct15 Jul16 Jun18 May31 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
3  C F V WICKED RED Oct29 Sep20 Aug30 Aug12 Jul19 (gonzalez lil)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 10.00    
4  D' YANK Nov06 Oct15 Sep25 Jul16 Jun17 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00 8% 12.20    
5  WILD FOX Oct28 Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 Jul23 (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 8.00    
6  PROMISING SHOES Nov04 Oct14 Sep18 Aug19 Jul03 (broberg karl)FELIX E 121 5.00 8% 12.20    
7  DANVILLE Oct28 Sep30 Sep23 Sep08 Aug25 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
8  PISTOL BOX Nov06 Oct14 Sep30 Aug19 Jul16 (kirby j)MOJICA O 121 6.00 11% 8.10    
9  DIAMOND DAVE Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Jun10 May01 (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00    
 
HAW-9   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Oct21 Oct07 Jul19 Jun24 Jun11 (cook brian)MOJICA JR 121 20.00    
2  CANDY'S LITTLE TIP Oct30 Aug27 Jul25 Jul11 Jul02 (wiese john)LOPEZ E 121 20.00    
3  BEL BIMBO Oct30 Oct09 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
4  RICHIESGOTSWAGGER Nov04 Aug17 Aug03 May27 Jan27 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50    
5  EASTER MUSIC Oct15 Sep24       (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00    
6  HIGH HERO Oct30 Oct01 Jun18 May21 May08 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 30.00    
7  W W KAN DO Oct30 Oct09 Oct01 Sep24 Jul15 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 124 3.00 10% 9.40    
8  BORN AGAIN GEORGE Aug26 Jun27 May28 May06 Apr23 (clay pat)FELIX E 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  CHOPPER Oct16 Oct02 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 (cook brian)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 30.00    
10  AGAVE KID Oct16 Oct01 Aug30 Aug05 Jul08 (slager m)BAIRD T 121 15.00    
SCR  OUTRUN THE POSSE Oct30 Oct01 Sep07 Aug04 Jul14 (riecken b)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  LITTLE MIGHTY MAN Oct30 Oct11 Sep23 Sep09 Aug23 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 3.50 55% 0.80    
13  D'ARCHER Sep23 Sep09 Aug23 Aug12 Jul01 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 10.00 6% 16.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.