Handicappers' Racing Form

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Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - November 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
IND-1   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LARRY'S LUNCHBOX         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
NEW ART Oct18 Sep07       (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
SATURN BOY Oct13 Sep21 Aug17     (asmussen m)PARKER L 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
GO FOR IT Nov09 Sep26       (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
SCR  PREMIUM Oct27 Sep24 Aug19     (claire alex)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
STEEL HAWK Oct01         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
TOP NOTE Oct20 Sep26 Jul30     (claire alexis)RAMOS D 122 12.00    
NOBLE CREEKER Sep30 Aug18       (reavis l)PRESCOTT R 122 12.00    
 
IND-2   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAMELITO Oct20 Oct08 Sep23 Aug25 Jul21 (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
CLASSIC MAX Nov08 Oct20 Oct06 Sep14 Aug22 (richardville tiann)PRESCOTT R 117 2.50 13% 6.60    
A FEW TOO MANY Nov08 Oct27 Oct17 Sep13 Aug18 (elliott mic)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 48% 1.10    
WHITE PIGEON Nov08 Oct11 Sep20 Aug30   (sanchez jim)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00    
AKAMAI Oct04 Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jun11 (dobbsjr rob)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00    
D'ORO'S WISH Nov08 Oct25 Sep27 Sep08 Aug15 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 119 3.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  MATERS N TATERS Oct20 Sep27 Sep15 Sep08 Aug23 (cunningham )BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00    
 
IND-3   11/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCK THE RED Oct29 Oct06       (gorham m)SANJUR SANTO 122 5.00    
DOUBLEDOGJUSTICE         (paquette )DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
CHARMING VICTORY Sep07 Aug18 Jul21     (haran john)HOLMES GAGE 117 30.00    
CAMALEON Oct17         (holden jay )BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00    
SAN RONIN Oct29 Oct06 Sep26 Sep13   (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 30.00    
SECRET'S IMAGE         (brown andy)RAMOS D 122 10.00    
MYSTERY IMPACT Oct29 Oct17 Oct06 Sep26 Sep13 (duran antonio)MORALES JOSHUA 122 12.00    
BACKYARD JUSTICE Oct29 Sep26 Sep13     (granitz)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
HE B READY Nov08 Oct29 Oct06     (lauer micha)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50    
10  SECOND TO NO ONE         (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
IND-4   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEXI SUN Jun20 May18 May03 Apr20   (smith m)PARKER L 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
BOTOX KATIE Oct31 Oct19 Sep19 Sep09 Aug18 (richardvill)BERMUDEZ E 123 4.50 11% 8.00    
SCR  LOVE DRUNK Oct31 Oct06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 (matthews randy)SANJUR SANTO 123 12.00 8% 12.20    
GOT SPIRIT Aug24 Aug10 Jul09     (herrell d)PEREZ E 123 10.00    
VALSHEBA Oct31 Oct19 Sep01 May24   (mcbride b)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
STARLET EXPRESS Oct31 Oct12 Sep14 Sep01 Aug08 (leonard ii)HOLMES GAGE 118 15.00    
BREAKUP WITH TITOS Oct17 Sep01 Aug10 Jul14 Jun22 (richardville t)RAMOS D 123 4.00    
EXPRESS LADY Nov03 Oct17 Sep29 Sep01 Aug10 (elliott l)PRESCOTT R 125 3.50 22% 3.60    
AMAZINGNESS Oct29 Oct19 Oct12 Sep19 Aug30 (patrick g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
IND-5   11/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SELF RULE Nov02 Oct06 Sep21 Sep12 May16 (preston randy)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
SCR  GROOM LAKE Oct11 Sep28 Aug27 Jun22 Feb20 (barnett c)SANJUR SANTO 123 5.00    
ALTERNATE NIGHTS Nov02 Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 Jul19 (lauer micha)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
SCR  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Oct26 Aug17 Jul24 Jun01 May19 (corrigan jim)PRESCOTT R 120 10.00    
SARGEANT BARGER Nov03 Sep22 Sep12 Sep01 Aug18 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 6.00    
BOURBON TRAFFIC         (nance jonat)BERMUDEZ E 123 8.00 5% 18.50    
NOMADIC FIGHTER Oct26 Oct11 Sep07 Aug23 Aug15 (asmussen steve)RAMOS D 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  SON OF GRACE Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jan23 Jan09 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 123 2.00 11% 7.80    
INGERSOLL Oct19 Sep21 Aug18 Jul06 May12 (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 12% 7.10    
10  BEAR FORCE Nov03 Oct20 Sep22 Aug23 Aug03 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 117 5.00    
 
IND-6   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 F PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISHIN' IT OUT Nov10 Oct31 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 (patrick gar)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 12.00    
ITZFOREVER Oct19 Sep28       (granitz a)DE CRUZ 121 6.00    
PUMPITUPJUSTICE Oct31 Oct05 Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 121 4.00 8% 11.50    
MEAN ELENITA Oct31 Oct17 Oct05 Sep28 Sep16 (garcia isra)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00    
FOREVER NOTED         (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 4.50 15% 5.80    
KNOCKNEREA Oct31 Oct17       (haran john)HOLMES GAGE 116 8.00    
MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Nov10 Oct31 Oct05     (platt noah)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 15.00    
JANTIVA Nov01         (wisner j)SANJUR SANTO 121 20.00    
RHYTHM FOREVER Oct31 Aug31 Aug02 Jul04   (fontenot da)BERMUDEZ E 121 20.00    
10  D' KITTEN Oct31 Oct05 Sep21 Aug22 Aug02 (leonard iii)PARKER L 121 3.00 53% 0.90    
11  LEGS FOR DAYS Oct31 Aug31       (fosdick steve)PRESCOTT R 121 30.00    
12  MISS COMPRESSOR         (cluley dennis)RAMOS D 121 15.00    
SCR  HERE KITTY KITTY         (gorham m)SANJUR SANTO 121 12.00    
 
IND-7   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HITCHPIN Nov09 Oct18 Sep26 Aug25 Jul07 (klopp randy)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.50 10% 9.00    
SHA KON O HEY Nov08 Oct18 Sep26     (mcbride i)PRESCOTT R 122 15.00    
EASY OPERATOR Sep15         (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 125 5.00 40% 1.50    
SMILE LIKE KYLE Sep09 May31 May10 Apr19   (gorham robert )MORALES JOSHUA 119 10.00    
TAP TAP COMIN THRU Nov09 Oct27 Oct18 Sep26 Sep12 (douglass devarus)PARKER L 122 8.00    
JACK OF ALL TRADES Oct19 Sep26       (sanchez)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 30.00    
CIRCLE INDY Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 Jul07 Jun21 (wisner tr)DE CRUZ 125 15.00    
HAYWES         (green ray)BAYS BROOKE 109 30.00    
BARN STORMER Oct27 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04   (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
10  JACK D Sep28         (bland greg)HISBY RONALD 122 30.00    
11  WHOSFORJUSTICE         (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 122 5.00 5% 17.50    
 
IND-8   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH JUSTICE Oct27 Aug25 Jul18 May26 May03 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
LOOKIN ROYAL         (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00    
SECRET SADIE Oct03 Sep15 Aug10 Jul09   (brown andy)BERMUDEZ E 120 5.00    
RUSSIAN INFLUENCE Oct03 Sep15 Aug16 Jul21 May23 (granitz)ULLOA PATRICIO 123 12.00    
UNBRIDLED VICTORY Oct27 Sep21 Aug25 Jul09 Jun08 (leonard iii)PARKER L 117 12.00    
TRAFALGAR SHORE Oct27 Oct05 Sep15 Sep01 Aug16 (silva carlo)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
SPEEDY DELIVERY Oct26 Oct12 Jul09 Jun22 May19 (elliott michelle )HOLMES GAGE 117 4.00 30% 2.40    
VERRY AMELIA Oct27 Aug03 Jun29 May23   (duran antonio)SANJUR SANTO 123 4.50    
CACTUS FLOWER Oct27 Oct12 Sep19 Aug04 Jul09 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.