Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   10/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE STAR TARGET Aug11         (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
ST PIERRE Aug11         (stemmans donal)BACA L 120 12.00    
LIFEASWEKNOWIT Aug11 Jul20 Jun18     (flint steve)THORNTON G 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
REAL ACTION Jun04 May19       (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
MOR BIG LEE Jul17 Jun25       (gelner j)POMPELL L 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
CLEMENT'S NOTE         (johnson hen)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00 9% 10.70    
CARLOS' BLAST         (gelner scott)STOKES A 120 10.00 11% 7.80    
FISHIN WITH PETE Aug19         (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 120 4.50    
 
DED-2   10/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAX PANDOWDY Aug29 Mar24 Feb24 Jan20 Jan08 (hirdes john)MORALES ROBERTO 120 15.00    
CARRIES MAN Jul30 Jul13 Apr21     (sturrock bil)MAGNON H 120 20.00    
NOW YOU RULES Sep11 Aug20 Aug10 Aug02 Jul23 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 53% 0.90    
HELIOCHROME Sep03 Aug20 Jul31 Jun14 May23 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
FALCON HEAVY Aug20 Jul26 Jun20 May23 Jan14 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 4.50    
CYBER GUN Aug27 Aug10 Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
SPHEROID Aug19 Jul31 Jun25 May16 Mar17 (charles keith)MELANCON G 120 2.50 15% 5.50    
BOURBON ST TAPPIN Aug18 Jun30 Jun16 May04 Apr08 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 10.00 9% 10.70    
OAK HILL SOLUTION Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jun29 Jun18 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00    
10  MACHO MARK Mar04 Feb04 Jan07     (melancon do)FLORES S 120 8.00    
 
DED-3   10/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECORATED LADY         (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
NEW DESTINY Jul17 Jun25       (gelner j)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
COUNTRY LADY Aug20         (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 120 12.00    
SUZY DOLL'S READY Sep20 Sep04 Jul04     (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOR KISSES         (landry r)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
FITZY Sep20         (ward ronnie)BACA L 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
WHERE'S AUNT J Sep20         (bruno j)COTTO L 120 12.00    
R T'S GEM Aug20         (sam w)STOKES A 120 12.00 20% 4.10    
STARSHIP JAMBALAYA         (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.00 23% 3.30    
10  ONECALLTHATSALL Sep17 Aug29 Aug10     (delahoussaye gl)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
 
DED-4   10/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAK HILL LG Jul27 Jul13 Jun30 Jun10 May14 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 109 8.00    
SCR  LEMON KICK Sep11 Aug14 Aug01 Jul24 Jun25 (govea cesar)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00    
GETCHA Aug10 Jul17 Jun30 Jun16 May28 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00 10% 8.70    
BASSETT Aug25 Jul26 Jun20 Jun05 May15 (pomier d)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
HOLY EMPEROR Sep11 Jul31 Jul12 Jun13 May30 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
BOATING PARTY Aug13 Jul23 Mar16 Feb23 Feb05 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 6.00 7% 12.40    
ALIGNED INTEREST Sep20 Sep04 Aug26 Jul27 Jul14 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 14% 6.10    
PA MA'S AMOS Aug29 Aug14 Apr10 Jan14   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
RITHMICALLEA Aug20 Aug05 Jun30 Jun11 May26 (g)DE CRUZ 117 6.00 8% 11.60    
MR B QUIET Sep20 Sep11 Aug14 Jul24 Jul09 (bryant a)POMPELL L 117 20.00    
10  FLASHBURN Aug11 Jul29 Jul13 Jun01 May18 (fuselier jon)MAGNON H 117 12.00    
SCR  OCTOBER SURPRISE Aug25 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May27 (zenon char)MARQUEZ L 120 20.00    
 
DED-5   10/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ THE BIG ONE Sep08 Jun26 Jun05 May15   (alberto antonio)FUSILIER C 117 10.00 7% 14.00    
BRAVE MAGIC Sep13 Aug16 Jul31 Jul03   (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 5.00 25% 3.10    
PERFECT PRANK Sep08 Aug06 Jul12 Jun02   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 13% 6.80    
MUSTAFA Jul30         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 117 15.00    
GALLANT BUCK Aug27 Aug03       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00    
RUNTODAY Sep17 Aug27 Jul31     (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 1.60 33% 2.00    
SCR  F J'S FLACO Aug03 Jul03       (maturin chad)THORNTON G 117 4.50    
 
DED-6   10/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHO ROCCO Sep17 Aug31 Aug17 May30 May07 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 5.00    
SABER RUN Jul09 Jun09 May15 Feb20   (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 15.00    
FORTY THREE Sep05 Jul23 Jul05 Jun18 May08 (balderas alfo)VARGAS P 112 6.00 15% 5.50    
MILITARY BEARING Sep05 Aug07 Jul16 Jun25   (dixon tim)FLORES S 120 15.00    
BLUE CHEESE Aug20 Feb05 Jan05     (breaux samuel)KENNEDY TY 112 15.00    
RUMOHR REIGNS Aug27 Jan27 Jan08     (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
WISE GUY Sep05 Aug12 Jul23 Jul06 Jun15 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 10.00    
FORTUITY Aug26 Jul23 Jun22 May25 Apr22 (faucheux r)ALBERT S 113 3.50 38% 1.60    
SHIPPINGPORT Jul02 May19 May04 Mar20 Feb19 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
10  CITIZEN WEST Jul31 Jul09 May24 May08 Apr14 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-7   10/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARLIE'S PEAK Aug08 Jun04 Jan30 Jan07   (thomas lee)BACA L 115 5.00 7% 13.80    
YOUNMEHONEYBUNNY Aug11 Jul13 Jun24 May25 May04 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 8.00    
SATISFY U Aug14 Jul03 Jan28 Jan09   (tracy greg)BIRZER E 115 15.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE STAR Aug25 Jul27       (calhoun william )PARKER L 115 10.00    
NOT SO SWEET Aug25 Jul23       (pomier)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 115 12.00    
HALF PAGE Sep12 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 Jun09 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 4.50    
GOODNIGHT GRACIE Jul29 May26 May05 Apr09 Mar17 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 118 20.00    
SCR  APRIL MIST Sep16 Jul01       (thomas lee)KENNEDY TY 115 2.50 21% 3.80    
MADAME JANE Jul29 Jul09 Jun24 May21 Apr27 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 115 8.00 6% 17.00    
10  WON DAY Apr14 Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 Jan20 (landry r)THORNTON G 115 6.00    
11  LONESHILOHSPECIAL Sep13 Jul23 Jun13 May26 Apr08 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.00 8% 10.90    
12  MALFORMED Aug13 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05   (faucheux ro)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
DED-8   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VODKA GIMLET Aug06 Jul02 Jun04 Apr16 Mar26 (landry ray)STOKES J 113 10.00    
LANGS DAY Mar05 Feb05 Jan12     (thomas lee)KENNEDY TY 116 5.00 5% 18.50    
SPEAKTOMEOFLOVE Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 Mar27 Feb05 (chatters benard)BIRZER E 116 8.00    
SCR  GRAND LUWEGEE Jan06         (perron gerard)POMPELL L 116 10.00    
SCHNELL Sep05 Aug20 Jul09 Mar27 Feb28 (faucheux ron)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
BLACK SWORD Aug06 Jun04 Apr27 Mar27 Feb19 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 15.00    
BRIAN'S IRON MIKE Aug06 Jul22 Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 (landry r)THORNTON G 113 15.00    
RELENTLESS DANCER Jun22 Jun04 May07 Apr23 Mar10 (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 116 5.00 9% 9.60    
HIGHLAND CREEK May07 Mar27 Feb28 Jan27   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 116 4.00 11% 7.70    
10  WHO TOOK THE MONEY May07 Mar27 Jan06     (calhoun william )PARKER L 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  MAGEEZ Aug20 Jul08 May26 Mar27 Jan27 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 12.00    
SCR  JUSTA BUSTER Aug03 Jun18 Jun03 May18 Apr29 (cormier hou)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 20.00    
 
DED-9   10/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODEE BODEE Sep13 Aug15 Jul18 Jun12 May24 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 10% 8.90    
CRIMSON STORM Aug13 Jun16 Apr29 Feb09   (g)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
HOMELAND MESSA May28 May14 Apr30 Jan21 Jan07 (toups )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 15.00    
LOOKIN GOOD SO FAR Sep27 Jul22 Jun25 Jun19 Jun03 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
MY LITTLE JUNIOR Aug11 Jul15 Jun30 Jun11 May25 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00    
TEXAS GOLD RUSH Sep13 Aug30       (butler w)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00    
J C'S IN TOWN Jun11 May18       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 4.00 13% 6.40    
VEGAS GUY Sep03 Aug11 Jul09 Jun16   (diodoro robertin)KENNEDY TY 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
PAT ME DOWN Jun24 May26 May14 Apr30 Apr15 (west henry)FLORES S 117 20.00    
10  MARVELOUS RED Sep13 Jul14 Jun24 Feb24 Jan22 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 117 15.00    
SCR  BAYOU BEAUX Sep13 Sep03 May14 Apr15 Feb24 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
SCR  GETTINHOT'NHERE Sep16 Sep03 Jul16 Jun11 Mar23 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.