Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - September 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNY JUDE Sep03 Aug09 Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00    
2  SASSARIFFIC         (burkes bobby)BARRERA J 117 15.00    
3  WAR ZONG Sep10         (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50    
4  TRIPLE         (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  VALERIE LOUISE Aug26 Feb16       (zeno benjam)FLORES S 121 5.00    
6  CHIEFWEAVE Sep05 Aug13 Jul25 May22 May14 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
LAD-2   09/24/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELMAR BEAUTY Jul05 Jun18 May28 Mar20 Mar01 (hirdes john)BARRERA J 117 20.00    
2  ACTION POTENTIAL Jul21 May27 May12 Apr08 Mar19 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 120 3.00    
3  TUGBOAT Aug26 Jul15 Jul01 Jun15 May26 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
4  FIRINGTOTHEFRONT Jul30 May28 Mar19 Feb13   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00    
5  SCAMPERING GRAYCE Aug20 Jul12 Jun18     (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  HARRIET'S DREAM Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 May16 Feb24 (landry ray)STOKES J 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
7  ANGEL OF VERDUN Sep10 Aug13 Jul20 Jun24 May18 (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
LAD-3   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($11K) 2 ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOKINGS         (foster m)BOREL H 117 1.80 39% 1.50    
1A  JARED THE WARRIOR         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 1.80    
2  REDSON Aug27 Jul30       (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.40 ★    
3  COMPETITIVE SLEW Jun26         (johns)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  REMORSE (IRE)         (mckellar joe )VARGAS P null      
5  KING CHROME Aug13 Jul23       (dandridge cour)BACA L 117 12.00    
6  MORO MAFIA Sep13 Jul23 Jun19 May15   (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00    
 
LAD-4   09/24/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TINCAN MAN Aug20 Aug06       (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LUCK OF THE STARS Sep11 Aug18 Jul27 Jul16 Jul07 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 11% 8.50    
SCR  OUR CITY Aug09         (balderas alfon)BACA L 122 8.00    
4  LANE Aug26 Jul15 Jun17     (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
5  CLASSIC'S OMEGA Aug01 Jun07 May28 Mar20 Mar03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00    
6  PRINCE PERFECTA Sep05 Aug20       (johnson b)HEBERT J 124 1.60 67% 0.50    
7  WAR TROLLEY Sep05 Aug01 Jun18     (west g)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00    
8  WILD T RANGER Aug20 Jul26 Jul02     (gomez c)BOREL H 122 12.00    
9  FLAT OUT FABIO Sep03         (gomez c)VARGAS P 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   09/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RODESSA FLASH Sep05 Jul24 Jun19 May17 Mar03 (gomez rafae)FLORES S 122 3.50    
2  OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW Mar09 Jan30 Jan08     (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00    
3  ROCK STAR ALEX Sep11 Aug20 Jul09 May13 Apr15 (dandridge cour)BACA L 122 15.00    
4  JUST PLAIN MAD Aug13 Jul02 Jun12     (thomas lee)COTTO L 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  HALF A DOODLE Sep12 Aug27 Jun12 May22 Mar24 (mouton patric)VARGAS P 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY HEAVY SON Sep12 Mar06 Feb17 Jan14   (mouton patri)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
7  SUNSET WAR Aug30         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 57% 0.70    
 
LAD-6   09/24/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYNTED LOVER Aug27 Aug14 Jul16 Jun26 May28 (garza joaquin )BACA L 122 30.00    
2  C. F. CONGRESS Aug30 Aug15 Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 (c)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIG RESULTS Sep05 Aug25 Aug13 Jul15 Jul02 (washington richard)STOKES J 120 3.00    
4  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Sep05 Jul09 Jun18 May24 May14 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
5  HEARTTHROB HALO Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jun13 May31 (duke steven)FLORES S 120 20.00    
6  CROOKS REBEL Aug30 Aug15       (jarvis r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  DUDE DROP KID Aug20 Jul26 Jul05 Jun11 May21 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50    
8  CANDY SHOPPER Sep05 Jul09 May26 Mar10 Feb25 (reeves jeffery )TORRES HUGO 117 6.00 42% 1.40    
9  JUDGMENTAL Aug30 Aug06 Jul16 Jun19 Feb11 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 8.00    
SCR  LOWER CRETACEOUS Aug20 Aug06 Jul26 Jun13   (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00    
 
LAD-7   09/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE BRAD Aug01 Jun21       (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 118 2.00    
1A  KELLYS THE BOSS Aug14 Jul16 Jul05 May23 May14 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  I LOVE YOU MORE Aug27 Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun05 (reeves a)STOKES J 117 15.00    
3  BOBBY JR. Mar02 Jan28       (reeves jeffery)BACA L 122 3.50    
SCR  PINTLALA Aug21 Aug08 Jul05 Jun25 Jun07 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 6.00    
5  FIRED UP TIGER Aug09 Jun29 Jun13 May14 Mar10 (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 1.00 42% 1.40    
 
LAD-8   09/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASANT VISION Sep11 Aug20 Jun05 May15 Apr28 (hirdes john)MORALES ROBERTO 119 30.00    
2  LILRASCALMAN Sep11 Jul23 Jun26 May17 Feb04 (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 119 15.00 7% 13.60    
3  TROPHY DADDY Aug29 Jul31 Jul04 Jun14 May24 (antwine mic)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  NO KA OI Aug02 Jun18 Feb17     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00    
5  ANICLUDE Jul12 Jun20 May09 Mar13 Feb20 (wilson shane)BOREL H 122 3.00    
6  WEDINGTON Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 Jun19 Jun07 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
7  ONEFORVIVI Sep11 Jul26 May14 Jan30 Jan06 (klanfer alan)COTTO L 117 4.00 70% 0.40    
8  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Sep06 Aug25 Aug08 Jul10 Jun25 (govea cesar)STOKES J 124 3.50 ★    
9  OBVIOUSLY TOO Aug27 Aug08 Jul02 Jun18 May01 (h)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
10  LUCKY CRUSADER Aug27 Aug07 Jul05 Jun20 May22 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
11  ROOSTER RUN Aug27 Aug15 Jul18 Jun26 Jun04 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 120 6.00 ★    
12  OKUDAH Aug15 Aug02 Jul05 Jun07 Mar13 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 122 12.00    
SCR  SHADY GRADY Sep11 Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 May28 (romero gerald )BACA L 119 30.00    
SCR  MAX PANDOWDY Aug29 Mar24 Feb24 Jan20 Jan08 (hirdes john)HEBERT J 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.