Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - August 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMTHEPRINCE Aug18 Aug08 Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 (jones e)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
2  SAY HEY KID Aug18 Jul28 Jul19 Jul04 Jun02 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 116 12.00 5% 18.00    
3  KITCHI Aug16 Jul05 Jun26 May21 Apr12 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 13% 6.90    
4  KLAATU Aug16 Jul28 Jun13 May16 May03 (sondej amy)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00 11% 8.10    
5  ONLYATTHESHOE Aug16 Jul26 Jun28     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Aug16 Jul14 Jul04 Jun22 Jun08 (londono)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
7  ADANO Aug18 Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 Jun02 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 ★    
 
TDN-2   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORSESE Aug02 Jul07 Jun06 May07 Mar02 (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
2  AWESOME STEEL Aug18 Feb22 Feb01 Jan01   (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
3  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Aug18 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 May18 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
4  EXONERATED PREZ Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 (genovese richard)RIVERA R 123 6.00 ★    
5  GOD'S WILL BE DONE Aug18 Jul14 Jun20 Jun01 May16 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 ★    
6  WINWITHJIMMY Aug15 Jul28 May07 Feb01 Jan04 (inirio carlos)LOPEZ ALBERT 121 4.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON MOUSSE Aug15 Jul28 Jul05     (gorham m)DIAZ R 118 1.80 58% 0.70    
1A  EXPRESS FASHION Aug15 Aug01       (gorham ro)CORREA L 118 1.80 ★    
2  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Aug15 Jul28 Jun22     (radosevich s)YARANGA Y 118 12.00    
3  IN TROUBLED WATERS Aug15 Jul28 Jul05     (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 118 3.50 ★    
4  A LIL COWBOY LOVIN         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 5.00 6% 16.40    
5  SECRETS UNTOLD Aug15 Jul28 Jul05     (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 9% 10.20    
6  BOOKMASTER         (vazquez iva)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 10.00 6% 16.40    
7  SHESANOTHERSONG Jul28 Jul05       (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 113 15.00    
 
TDN-4   08/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BOSS BEAR Jul13 Jun30 Jun07 Feb19   (skerrett j)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00    
SCR  MAGICAL EXPRESS Aug09 Jul07 Jun27 Jun06 Apr25 (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 ★    
2  GIZMO JONES May18 May03 Mar26 Mar02 Feb18 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
2B  ITASCA Aug16 Jul14 Jun30 Jun11 Jan04 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  WARRIOR'S DREAM Aug09 Jun30 Jun14 May31 May09 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 8% 11.60    
4  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Jul21 Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr09 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 2.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  GRAND DEAL Aug16 Jul05 Jun22 May16 Apr11 (poole jeffrey )DIAZ I 121 12.00    
6  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Aug13 Jul27 Jul14 Jun25 Mar07 (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
7  DYRDEK Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 May25   (vecchio caryn)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-5   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEAR PERFECT Jul28 Jul05       (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 4.50 21% 3.70    
2  MOBIL MEMORY Aug15         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 ★    
4  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 8.00 ★    
5  VAMONOS PIACENTE Aug15         (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 118 15.00    
6  WAY OF THE WORLD         (gorham )PILARES P 118 3.00 17% 5.00    
7  GO GIRL Jul28 Jun22       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 10.00    
8  LOFTY COWTOWN Aug15         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
 
TDN-6   08/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCLOSURE Aug17 Aug04 Mar31 Feb28   (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 11% 8.10    
2  GRANDGRAN Aug04 Jul13       (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50    
3  YOUVESAIDITALL Aug16 Jul19 Jul12 May15 May05 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.00 ★    
4  LEVANTO (ARG) Jul07         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00 7% 13.30    
5  MAXIMIZER Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 Jan21   (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  FRANKIE BARONE Jul27 Jul07 Jun26 Jun11 May05 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.50 49% 1.10    
 
TDN-7   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIFTER Aug15 Feb11 Jan09     (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 4.00 ★    
2  ON HIS TOES Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 May30 May02 (londono odi)SEVERINO VICTOR 117 6.00 ★    
3  SPEIGHTY WAR Aug08 Jun16 May29 Mar17 Feb26 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 115 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  TEMPLE TITAN Aug15 May21       (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 9% 10.50    
5  CHACO SPIRIT Aug15 Jul05 Jun16 May17 Jan04 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  SHACK THE LIFE Aug17 Jul19 Jun02 May21   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
 
TDN-8   08/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRIKE MAGIC Aug16 Jun03 Apr24 Mar05 Feb12 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
2  SIMONA'S CHOICE Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 Jun14 May25 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
3  BOURBONWITHGINGER Aug03 Jul11 May23 Apr15 Jan25 (tooley jennife)GONZALEZ A 115 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  SABELLE Jul27 Jul04 Jun25 May31 May11 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 117 5.00 6% 16.20    
5  AFERDITA Aug10 Jul04 May11 Apr15 Mar19 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 ★    
6  PASATIME Aug04 Jul21 Jul05 Jun20 May04 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00    
7  SKY Aug09 Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 May25 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
8  CALTHA Jul11 May25       (gorham )PILARES P 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.