Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - August 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACTUM'S STAR         (kerr n)HALDAR J 120 6.00 6% 14.40    
2  SEGUE         (sullivan ellio)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 6% 14.40    
3  BUCKEYE SKY         (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 120 4.50 ★    
4  WILDCAT KING         (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
5  HIDDEN ACCESS         (hamm timothy)FELIX E 120 3.50 ★    
6  AINT NO BANDLEADER Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun01   (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
 
BTP-2   08/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGSONG BIRD Jul14 Jun09 May13 Apr22 Feb12 (pincins j)MCKEE J 120 4.00 13% 6.90    
2  SUPER TWENTY SEVEN Jun22 Jun01 May10 Mar27   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00    
3  LIVE IT UP Jul13 Jun28 May11 Apr01 Feb24 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 120 6.00    
4  TALK RADIO Aug09 Jun22 May20 Apr14 Mar19 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  RAGTIME DOLLY Aug10 Jul19 Jun22 Mar24 Mar05 (smith larry)REYES R 120 3.50 ★    
6  L. A. STAR Aug11 Aug03 Jun18 Jun03   (lucas wayne)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 6% 17.10    
7  MALIBU MARLEE Aug16 Jul24 Jul18 Jun24 Jun05 (king l)MILLER CHASE 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
BTP-3   08/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIZZY'S LURE Aug04 Jul13 Mar26 Jan16   (locker timot)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 12.00    
2  DANVILLE Aug05 Apr24 Apr13 Mar10 Feb05 (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 125 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  CALL PAPA Jul29 Jul12 Jun28 May25 Apr28 (feebeck thomas )MOJICA JR 125 20.00    
4  JIMMYS LIFESTYLE Aug05 Jul26 Jun30     (melancon paul)BUSH V 125 15.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  GRAY HOPE Jul14 Jun21 May24 May03 Mar25 (rhoden carlt)ROSARIO L 125 4.50 ★    
SCR  LONTANI Aug02         (contreras ci)HALDAR J 125 3.50    
7  EMPEROR'S GOLD Aug04 Jul20 Jun22 Jun08 May24 (lopez carlos )CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
8  WIND TWIST Jul13 Jun24 May24 May03 Apr06 (sandy s)MCKEE J 125 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
BTP-4   08/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPURT Jul29 Mar17       (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  KLIMT'S MUSE Aug09 Jul03       (humphries tho)BRACHO A 121 10.00 ★    
3  SHADES OF BLUE Jul14         (vaughan edward)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00    
4  REVERB Jul14 Jun03 Apr27     (colebrook )MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 15.00    
5  FILLYBUSTER         (powell dana)CANUTO THIAGO 125 15.00    
6  DREAM FLY Jul14 May27       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50 6% 14.70    
7  NOISE (IRE) Jul29         (dee)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 6.00 19% 4.30    
8  QUARIA BRAVA Jul29 Jun29 May30 May10   (lobo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 12.00    
9  TRICK HAT Jul14 Mar24 Feb16     (laugherty joe)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00    
SCR  CORNICE TRAVERSE Jul07 Jun13 May25 Feb12 Jan01 (colebrook ben)MOJICA JR 121 12.00    
11  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU Aug11         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 121 10.00    
12  ATHENAIS Jun30 Apr24 Jan30     (delgado gust)ROMERO GREGORY 121 8.00    
SCR  CINQ SOUERS Jul28 Jun23 May29 May09   (medina rob)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 12.00    
SCR  FRAGRANT Aug07 Jun23       (mccarthy michael )OUZTS W 121 5.00 7% 12.50    
 
BTP-5   08/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLORHIGHWATER Jul20 May14 Mar09 Jan15   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
2  JUST CHITU Aug19 Jul28 Jul21 Jul05 Jun10 (wilson jr)FELIX E 121 5.00    
3  KING'S MISCHIEF Aug11 Jul20 Jun04 May10 Apr20 (simms jr)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.00 ★    
4  UNCLE CHARMING Jul19 Jul05 Jun01 May10   (wilson j)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 ★    
5  TEQUILAS RANGER Jul21 Jul01 Jun12 Apr29 Apr10 (jones phill)PETERSON FERRIN 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  FIGHTVILLE Aug05 Jul20 Jul08 May30 May14 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 117 4.50 ★    
 
BTP-6   08/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEJEUNE Aug03 Jul22 Jul12 Jun23 Jun10 (melancon )BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
2  WACKER'S GIRL Aug05 Jul26 Jul12     (rodak geraldine)BRYAN KERRY 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LA LA ANGEL Aug12 Jul26 Jul12 Jun24 Feb28 (jordan rick)BUSH V 121 4.50 ★    
4  DISCREET ENERGY Aug10 Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 May17 (wilson david )CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50 ★    
5  GINGERMYSISTER Aug12 Jul12 May21     (melancon pau)HALDAR J 121 8.00    
6  APPEALING SENORITA Aug12 Aug03 Jul26 Jul12 Jun22 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 121 6.00    
7  SCOOBY ROO Aug17 Jul26 Jun24 Jun03 May10 (anderson l)FELIX E 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
BTP-7   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAST IRON ALEX         (patrick gary)MOJICA JR 120 12.00    
2  PRINCE OF LOGIC         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 120 10.00 18% 4.50    
3  OVER CALENDARED Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 May14 Mar10 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  SONGANDASTAR Aug19 Jul27 Jul20     (antonuik jerr)DE AZAEL 120 15.00    
5  THEJIGISUP Aug10 Jul26 Jul01 Jun21 Jun09 (torres r)FELIX E 120 5.00 ★    
6  BETTER DASHER Aug10 Jun21 Jun09 May13 Mar25 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 4.50 ★    
7  LEMON GO Aug03 Jul19 Jun24 May21   (laugherty joe)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 19% 4.30    
8  FOOT SACK Aug19 Jul20 Jul13     (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 8.00    
9  MISS SOVELIA Jul29 Jul19 Jun30 Jun09 May27 (edgell sharon)BUSH V 120 15.00    
 
BTP-8   08/25/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE ON OVER Mar22 Jan22 Jan01     (green troy)REYES R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  KITING Jul14 Jun30 May18     (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
3  MISS MARPLE Aug04 Jul27 Jul08 Jun30 Jun17 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 3.50 ★    
4  GREGS POSSE Aug18 Aug02 Jun30 Jun19 May27 (harris nancy)FELIX E 123 20.00    
5  BLUE GRASS ANNA         (fletcher kev)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 30.00    
6  LATTE DOLCE Jul19 Jun23 Apr10 Mar06   (heitzman eric)OUZTS W 123 2.50    
7  PONTIFFANY Aug04 Jul09 May30 May12 Apr15 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 118 6.00    
8  SILVER STICK STAIR Jul27 Jun19 May20 May03 Apr18 (acevedo isra)HALDAR J 118 8.00 27% 2.70    
9  CAIRO DRIVER Aug04 Jul06 Jun30 Jun10 May15 (dillion jimmy)BRACHO A 118 5.00 28% 2.60    
10  FIRST ROYAL Jul12 Jun08 May04 Mar31 Mar12 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.