Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Arizona Downs
Monday - August 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AZD-3   08/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL FINAL Jul23 Jun25 Jun03 Apr30 Mar27 (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
2  PAYNTER'S BOY Aug01 Jul23 May06 Apr27 Apr06 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 122 8.00 10% 8.60    
3  AVALON KING Jul18 Jul02 May06 Apr27 Jan03 (o'brien debbie)LEON A 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
4  GO FOR A RIDE Jul23 Jul11 May06 Mar23 Feb18 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00 ★    
5  CALIBOGEE Jul16 Jun27 May21 Apr30 Apr12 (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00    
6  BUTTERED NOODLES Jul02 May03 Apr18 Feb20 Jan17 (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 1.80 ★    
 
AZD-4   08/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIGGER THAN YOU Jul18 Jul04       (monteverde a)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 ★    
2  SATURNCLOUD Jun04 May22       (de cruz)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.50    
3  THECHAMPISFLORING Apr27 Apr08 Mar22 Feb28 Jan24 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  SONGOFTHEDESERT Apr28 Mar31 Mar16 Mar07 Feb03 (reyes norma)GARCIA F 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  WRIGHT WINGED Jun25 Jan17       (gutierrez)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 ★    
6  MOUNTAIN PASS Jul04 Mar30 Mar10 Feb25 Jan28 (sereno william)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
 
AZD-5   08/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTSIDE THE LAW Jan19         (campo stacy)BARBER R 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
2  WITH THATBEINGSAID Jul09 Apr19 Mar11 Feb15 Jan21 (nelson amy)GARCIA F 122 1.80 12% 7.30    
SCR  TWIRLY GIRL Jul04 Apr27 Apr14 Apr02 Mar28 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00    
4  MAINLINE         (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 5.00 ★    
5  LAST PUNCH Jul16 Jun27 Apr21 Mar31 Mar04 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 2.50 27% 2.60    
6  FIRST PROMISE Jul11 Mar28 Mar04 Feb16 Jan28 (george cynthia)VERGARA P 118 8.00 ★    
 
AZD-6   08/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAT'S HITMAN Jul18 Jun06 May03 Apr20 Mar21 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 10.00 ★    
2  ROUGE SUNSET Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 Apr26 Mar10 (nelson amy)LEON A 124 3.00 ★    
3  SMILING MATT Feb17 Jan18       (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
SCR  ROYAL TAP Jul19 May17 Apr29 Mar31 Mar16 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  MI MALDITO AMOR Mar20 Mar12 Jan11     (o'brien danny)ELLIS DEVON 124 15.00    
6  CRYIN' CHUCK Jul18 Jun27 Apr26 Mar08 Feb15 (soto antonio)VERGARA P 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
7  TOX Jul09 May28 Apr30     (urias p)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 9% 9.70    
 
AZD-7   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDACTION Apr18 Apr01 Feb11 Jan18   (campo sta)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.50 ★    
2  GOT EVEN SMARTER Jul18 Jul09 Jun27 May21 Apr25 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
3  FIGHT ME Jul18 Jun27 Apr24 Apr01 Mar26 (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 6.00    
4  RED CHARGER Apr27 Mar19 Feb27 Jan11   (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00    
5  SHANE ZAIN Jul23 Jul08 Jan09     (evans justin)LEON A 122 1.40 45% 1.20    
SCR  OSTINI Jul23 Jul04 May07 Apr19 Mar16 (weaver gordo)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00 6% 14.90    
7  THE PUBLIC HALO Jul09 May02 Mar08 Feb14 Jan26 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00 9% 10.80    
 
AZD-8   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG AL'S PRINCESS Apr10 Feb20       (garcia jesus)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 10.00    
2  LOW DOSE Jul23 Jul11 May07 Mar04 Feb04 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 ★    
3  MACLEAN'S BELLA Jul11 May02 Apr07 Mar21 Feb07 (gutierrez juan )LEON A 118 12.00    
4  WAY TO FIRE Jun25 May07       (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 ★    
5  GO GO SADIE Jul11 May07       (guerra ja)KELLENBERGER KODY 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
6  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Apr19 Apr06 Mar11     (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 11% 8.10    
7  WHISTLING HOME Jul11 Apr28 Mar28 Feb07   (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
AZD-9   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MS SALLY May03 Feb22 Jan27 Jan11   (o'brien debb)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 12.00    
SCR  PALACE STAR Jul18 Jun25 Apr25 Mar18 Mar10 (perkins frances)LEON A 122 8.00    
3  REIGN OF FIRE Jan06         (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00    
4  BURNADEBT Jul09 Apr21 Mar31 Mar04 Jan21 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 ★    
5  SEVEN POINTS Jul16 Jun25 Apr28 Apr08 Mar25 (gleason m)VERGARA P 124 8.00 ★    
6  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Jun27 Apr26 Apr07 Mar15 Feb17 (kereluk edwa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 12.00    
7  DISCERNMENT Apr02 Feb27 Feb04     (whitehouse wilton )GARCIA F 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Jul09 May07 Apr20 Apr06 Mar07 (whitehous)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00 51% 0.90    
9  STORM THE PALACE Jun25 May13 Apr29 Mar24 Mar08 (sereno will)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 21% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.