Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/03/2022 10890ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT TAPATINO (FR) Apr30         (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 153 6.00 ★    
SCR  THEOCRAT (IRE) Jul18         (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 159 10.00 8% 10.90    
3  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) May14         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 153 5.00    
4  LYDFORD (GB)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 153 4.50    
5  HOWYABUD (IRE)         (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 153 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  DECISIVE TRIUMPH May14 Apr30       (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 153 4.50 22% 3.60    
7  BURN THE EVIDENCE (GB) May14         (hendriks ric)WATTERS GRAHAM 146 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
SAR-2   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULIGNI Jun12         (bond harold )HARKIE K 119 2.50 ★    
1A  GLITTERING PRIZE (FR) May07 Mar25 Jan23     (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 19% 4.10    
2  LAUGHTER Jul04 Jun04 May07     (lerman r)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
3  YOGI         (antonucci jena )CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 10% 9.00    
4  ACE UP HER SLEEVE         (klesaris s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
5  MIKE'S LITTLE DIVA Jun16         (barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00    
6  FROSTY INVASION Jun24 May12 Feb26 Jan08   (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 ★    
7  DARN THAT SONG Jun25 May07 Apr14 Mar20 Feb19 (sciacca gary)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 13% 6.90    
8  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Jul04 Apr22 Mar25 Mar06 Jan13 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 38% 1.70    
 
SAR-3   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAW COURAGE Jul24 Jun23 May13 Apr29 Mar18 (toscano joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 ★    
2  PRINTRACK Jul18 Jun22 Mar13 Feb25 Jan27 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
3  READY TO MARCH Apr04 Mar13       (chapman jame)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
4  NOT YET CHARLIE Jun23 May29 Mar25 Feb21   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
5  NEVER EARLY Jul13 Jun20 May29 May08 Apr14 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.00 30% 2.40    
6  LEDDY         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL Jul13 Jun13 May20 Mar31 Jan22 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 ★    
 
SAR-4   08/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JASMINESQUE Jul01 Jun03 May12 Apr16 Feb18 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 ★    
2  SHADOLAMO Jun02 May13 Apr29 Apr08 Mar26 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 125 15.00    
3  WAR CANOE Jul01 May22 Apr16     (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 ★    
4  ADELAIDE MISS Jul10 Jun05 May20 Feb19 Jan22 (russell brittany )SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50    
5  GOLDEN VOICE Jun27 May21 Apr20 Apr02 Feb17 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 125 1.80 69% 0.40    
6  CHARGE ACCOUNT Jul01 Jun02 Apr29 Feb27 Jan23 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00    
7  CARRY ON Jun05 May20 Apr14 Jan19   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 15.00    
SCR  CHAYSENBRYN Jun02 Apr29 Mar18 Feb04   (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 2.00 ★    
SCR  INVALUABLE Jul15 Jun17 May26 May01 Apr01 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 123 1.60 ★    
 
SAR-5   08/03/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAVA BUZZ Jul03         (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
SCR  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR         (rice linda)RIDER TBA 119 1.80 ★    
2  UPPER LEVEL Jun26         (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.00 ★    
3  ROCKET'S RED GLARE         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★    
4  TRIUMPHANT ROAD         (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
5  SOSUA SUMMER Jul02 May15 Apr02 Mar05 Feb19 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  SUL PHAROAH Jun26 Jan30       (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
7  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Jul10 Jun12 May22 Apr24 Mar27 (seyler dougla)CARDENAS LUIS 124 30.00 ★    
 
SAR-6   08/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMANDA'S FOLLY Jun25         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BERNT AGAIN         (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  COLLABORATION         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
4  DREAM ON CARA Jul04         (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 ★    
5  LADY JASMINE         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
6  SWEETEST PRINCESS         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
7  SMOKIE EYES         (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80 34% 1.90    
SCR  LADY QUINN         (thomas jonathan)RIDER TBA 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
SAR-7   08/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Jun26 May29 Apr28 Mar27 Mar06 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
2  DADDY KNOWS Jul10 Jun21 Apr28 Apr01 Mar06 (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
3  TIERGAN Jun26 Jun16 Apr30 Mar26 Mar06 (giangiulio mi)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
4  TROUBLESHOOTER Jun26 May29       (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 ★    
5  BAR FOURTEEN Jul15 Jun19 May20 May01 Mar26 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 ★    
6  BLEWITT May06 Mar26 Mar06 Feb25   (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
SAR-8   08/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILIPO May20 Apr14 Feb25 Feb09 Jan27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
2  MUST BE LOVE Jun25 Jun09 May26 May13 Apr14 (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
3  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE Jun22 May07 Apr13 Mar12 Feb11 (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 ★    
4  FREE SQUARE Jul03 Jun19 May26 May07 Apr21 (robb j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
5  DOT'S DOLLAR Jun11 May19 Apr10 Feb17   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
6  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Jul09 Jun10 May05 Apr16 Mar20 (russell brittany )SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 45% 1.20    
7  IRON LION IN ZION         (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
8  HAGLER May26 Apr08 Feb06 Jan01   (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  SWIFT TAP Jul01 Jun19 May29 May06 Apr10 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 8% 11.20    
 
SAR-9   08/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKY SKY (IRE) May30 Mar12       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.00 19% 4.20    
1A  AMERICAN BRIDGE (GB) Jun05         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.00    
2  ANGEL PALM (GB) Jun12 May14 Apr08     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
SCR  MILLEFEUILLE Jul02 May03 Apr09 Feb12   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50    
3  PRINCESS FAWZIA Jul10 Jun12 Apr16     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
4  POCA MUCHA Jul10 Apr24 Mar19 Feb24 Jan29 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 7% 13.70    
5  MOVIE MOXY Jul20         (weaver george)ORTIZ L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BRAMBLE BAY Jul09 Jun05 May14 Mar20 Feb23 (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 126 12.00    
7  JUXTAPOSE Jul01 Jun01       (klesaris s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
SCR  PLAYED HARD Jun30 May21       (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
SCR  HALO CITY Jun23 May27 May06 Mar31   (lynch na)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
SCR  W W FITZY Jun12 May06 Apr01 Feb27 Jan23 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 124 1.60 22% 3.50    
SCR  FAMILY TIME Jun04 May06 Apr09 Mar09 Jan29 (romans dale)RIDER TBA 124 12.00    
SCR  FLASHNDYNAMITE Jul12 Jul04 Jun06 Apr29 Apr14 (moore michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
 
SAR-10   08/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIXTY THREE S Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 May21 Apr29 (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 124 12.00    
SCR  CENTAVO Jul08 Jun30 Jun05 May28 May08 (chatterpaul)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
SCR  HEADS OR TAILS Jun30 May20 Apr14 Mar25 Feb21 (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
SCR  BEZOS Jun18 Jun05 Apr15     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
4  GINNSU WARRIOR Jul28 Jun25 May27 Apr16 Feb21 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
5  PRINCE OF JOY Jul08 May06 Apr10 Mar11 Feb13 (legall ricard)CARDENAS LUIS 124 30.00    
SCR  REGALITY Jul19         (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 5% 18.30    
7  YONO Apr14 Mar19 Feb19 Jan09   (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 14% 6.30    
8  ARTHURIAN Jul12         (caramori caio)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00 7% 14.20    
9  BRACIOLE Jun16 Jun05 May08 Mar25 Feb25 (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 8.00    
10  FLIPPING FUN Jun22         (davis edmun)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
11  CATHEDRAL BEACH Jun03 May07 Mar20 Mar05 Feb03 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 11% 8.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.