Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Tuesday - July 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   07/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELL ME A SECRET Jul04 Jun16 May11 Apr11   (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
POOLSIDE COCKTAILS Jul04 Jun16 Jun02 May21 Apr26 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 1.60 52% 0.90    
STREET OF JEWELS Jul04 Jun02       (vazquez)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 8% 11.70    
YAQUESITA Jun30         (lopez jacinto)GONZALEZ A 123 15.00    
JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL Jul04 Jun25 May11 Apr26 Apr13 (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 12% 7.00    
HUSH GORGEOUS Jul04 Jun16       (rettele r)CORREA L 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   07/19/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEL AVIV Jun06 May23       (romero jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 4.00    
SCR  CAROL'S ROYALTY Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 May17 May07 (romero jos)SMITH DIOGDINABI 113 8.00    
OPEONGO Jun15 Jun06 Feb24 Jan16   (patterson k)OLIVEROS CHARLE 133 1.60 46% 1.20    
GOLDEN NOLE Jun29 Jun08 May17 May03   (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 2.50 26% 2.80    
IMMACULATE HEART Jun28 Jun08 May17 May03 Apr11 (atala jos)CORREA L 120 3.50    
 
TDN-3   07/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  IMPERIAL BREW May31 May17 Mar16 Feb20 Jan21 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 123 4.00    
SCR  PROFESSIONAL Jun27 Jun06 May23 Mar05 Feb06 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 123 4.00    
FREDDY SOTO Jun30 Jun21 May30 Apr25 Jan22 (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50    
2B  FRONTLINER Jun30 Mar19 Feb15 Jan11   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
SMOKIN HOT ENERGY Jun30 Jun25 May26     (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
WIZARD WILLIE Jun27 May26 Apr25 Mar16 Mar07 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50    
SPINSTER ROAD Jun30 Jun21 Jun01 Feb28 Feb15 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00    
CUTLER Jul07 Jun16 May31 May16 Apr28 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
TDN-4   07/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KADESH Jun20 May31 May10 Apr11 Mar22 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  ROSAS WAY Jul05 Jun20 May21 May04 Apr11 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
LONGLIVEJUSTICE Jul12 Jun25 May31 May18 May09 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50    
2B  LAZARUS PROJECT Jul04 Jun25 Jun13 May23 May04 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 3.50 8% 10.80    
YOUVESAIDITALL Jul12 May15 May05 Mar19 Feb24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
DOCTOR LEE Jun20 May03 Apr15 Mar31 Mar15 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
FORTUNATE FRIENDS Jul04 Jun14 May31 May12 Apr13 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 63% 0.60    
CABERTOSS Jun30 May27 Feb03 Jan08   (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENETIAN DREAM Jul04 Jun25 Jun16 Jun07 May31 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00 9% 9.70    
ODDS ON Jun30 Jun08 Apr13 Mar16 Mar05 (atala j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 13% 6.80    
GALTERO Jul04 Jun21 Jun07 May26 Apr27 (inirio carlos)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00    
LEOMBRUNO Jun30 Jun07 May18     (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
IMTHEPRINCE Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 May24 Apr27 (jones e)HOUGHTON D 121 6.00    
ADANO Jul04 Jun02 May24 May09 Mar18 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
SAY HEY KID Jul04 Jun02 May16 Apr12 Apr02 (vazquez i)CORREA L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   07/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF Jun18 Apr30       (meyers sha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
SNOWSCAPE Jun08 Apr22 Mar03     (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.50    
KRAZY HAWK Jun02 May21       (cady khalil)CLEMENTE ALFRED 123 12.00 6% 16.00    
SOL DEL NORTE Jun30         (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50 13% 6.70    
SHACK THE LIFE Jun02 May21       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
JOE BRRRR Jun21 Jun08 May13 Mar20   (chapman j)CORREA L 119 6.00    
SCR  HEIR OF JUSTICE         (inirio )PILARES P 119 20.00    
ROJO TORO Jun02 Mar10 Feb18 Jan14   (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
TDN-7   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL'D Jul05 May21       (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
SUSIE'S KID Jun25 Jun08 May10     (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 8.00    
IT'S YOUR CALL Jul06 May21 May02     (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
DIAMOND DUST Jun21 Jun03 May03     (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
ARMADA Jun21 May03       (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00    
CLASSIC MO Jun21 Jun01 Jan12     (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
HANSENATION Jun30 Jun06 May18 May02 Apr16 (juarez lore)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00    
 
TDN-8   07/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R THREE ANGELS Jun30 Jun20 Jun03 May24 Mar26 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
MAOILIN Jun30 Jun22 Jun08 May27 May10 (cash l)FELICIANO R 121 4.50    
SHEZ SHACKED UP Jun22 Jun01       (skerrett je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S CRAFTY Jun30 Jun08 May26 May12 Apr09 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 121 6.00    
CANDLELIGHT HOURS Jun30 Jun03 May17 Apr28   (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 117 2.50 35% 1.80    
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Jul06 Jun06 May24 May09 Apr25 (madriga)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00    
NANCY'S LESLIE Jun22 Jan24       (cowans will)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  GRAY ROYALITY Jul04 Jun14 May23 Jan01   (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.