Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED QUEEN Jun09 May27 Feb26 Jan30 Jan08 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 113 2.00 11% 8.20    
1A  HASHTAG WINNER Mar20 Feb20       (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 116 2.00 ★    
2  MURGATROYD May29 May03 Feb12     (macias ado)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 6.00 ★    
3  MOHAYLADY May21 May03 Apr08 Feb20 Jan22 (danner dou)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 12% 7.50    
4  LA TOURISTA Jun05 May22 May12 Apr30 Apr21 (vasquez german )BRYAN KERRY 123 8.00 ★    
5  NANA'S GRAY May27 Apr28 Mar27 Feb18   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.60 51% 1.00    
 
CD-2   06/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OILER May19 Apr09 Mar05 Jan28   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 1.60 36% 1.80    
2  BANDIMERE Apr30 Apr02 Jan30     (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 9% 9.90    
3  VERSATILE Jun03 Apr22 Feb19     (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 111 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  ANAHEIM May30 May07       (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 2.50 ★    
5  MR GHOST Jun05 Apr30 Apr20     (navarrete)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOCO May28 Apr22 Mar18 Jan16   (cano juan )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00    
7  RERALLY May26 Mar31 Feb16     (martinez ma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
 
CD-3   06/22/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT-11:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORT ROYAL Jun09 Mar18 Feb19     (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00    
2  TWIRLING BLUES May05 Mar26 Feb12 Jan02   (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 3.50 25% 2.90    
3  DECLARE THE MOON Jun03 Apr07 Mar17 Feb21 Jan28 (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 ★    
4  BUCKEYE JIMMY         (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BAD DECISIONS May28         (bauer a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
6  BLUE BONZAI Jun05 Mar18 Feb19 Jan22   (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
7  MIDNIGHT RAID Mar04         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 ★    
 
CD-4   06/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT-11:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIREMAN DAN May27 Apr30 Mar25 Mar02 Feb11 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 4.50 ★    
2  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE May07 Apr13 Mar12 Feb11   (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 ★    
3  STELLAR TAP Jun04 Apr23 Apr01 Feb26 Jan22 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 ★    
4  RED LABEL May29 Apr23 Feb11 Jan08   (demeritte )VILLASANA CARLOS 118 6.00    
5  BABY QUINN May19 May03       (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 111 3.50 60% 0.70    
6  DOCTOR LOVE (FR) May19 Mar25 Jan16     (stewart dalla)GILLIGAN JACK 118 8.00 ★    
 
CD-5   06/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT-12:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN SMOOTH May27 Apr20 Mar17 Feb18 Jan23 (walden w)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 8% 12.10    
2  EL FRANCO May30 May12 Apr21 Mar04 Feb12 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  PLEMMONSTON May30 May22 Feb28 Feb17 Feb04 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 ★    
4  LOVING LUCKY Jun03 May14 Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  CARILLO May27 Apr15 Feb19 Feb03 Jan08 (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 117 1.40 28% 2.60    
6  GROOM LAKE Feb20 Jan29 Jan08     (barnett bobby)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 10.00    
SCR  GUARD Jun07 May26 Mar20 Mar12   (lauer mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00    
 
CD-6   06/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIST OF FAITH Apr13         (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
2  BAYTOWN GET IT ON Jun14 May27 Apr28 Apr20 Apr08 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  SABURO'S GRACE         (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 ★    
4  SPIRITIST         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
5  READY RUMOR Jun11         (martin da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 7% 14.20    
6  STEELE MONEY         (holsapple )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
SCR  GIANT AWAKENING         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
8  KBCYA LATER May29         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
CD-7   06/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE'S WILL Jun03 May27 Apr29 Apr15 Mar27 (barrett ro)ANDERSON MCKENNA 111 15.00    
2  BEL ARIA Jun03 May12 Mar24 Mar11   (howard j)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
3  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC May27         (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 118 8.00 ★    
4  PURRFECT MISTRESS May08 Mar13 Feb19 Jan30   (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00 9% 9.50    
5  VILLAREGGIA         (cash l)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 38% 1.60    
6  VERDANDI Jun03 Apr26 Feb24 Jan20 Jan01 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
7  OUTLAW QUEEN May27 May06 Apr16     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
8  SONADOR May19 May04 Mar31     (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 3.50 7% 13.20    
 
CD-8   06/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROB THE RICH May06 Apr09 Mar18     (hernandez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 ★    
2  IMPRESSED Jun05 May12 Jan01     (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 7% 13.20    
3  DIGITAL May06 Mar18 Jan28     (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  QUICK RETURN May12 Apr28 Mar18     (diodoro )SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
5  LOST IN LIMBO May29 May12 Apr26 Apr09 Jan08 (lauer mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  SAMURAI PRINCE May29 May05 Mar18 Feb11 Jan07 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
7  OURNATIONONPARADE May15 Apr29 Mar01 Feb05 Jan01 (cano juan )HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★    
 
CD-9   06/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T FORGET May29 Apr23 Mar27 Mar05 Jan29 (shorter )SANTANA JR 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT May05 Mar10 Feb10 Jan09   (habeeb dona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
3  FLAMINGO HAWK Jun12 Apr16       (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 ★    
4  DEVIL'S TOWER May30 Apr30 Mar20 Feb25 Feb13 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
5  ROLLING FORK May29 Apr30 Apr09 Mar20 Feb26 (ortiz john)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
6  THE QUEENS JULES May29 May05 Mar27 Feb20 Jan29 (van berg )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
7  DIVINE LEADER May29 May15 May05 Feb12 Jan23 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
8  WILD BEHAVIOR May29 Apr29 Mar27 Jan29 Jan07 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
9  DAVID'S GEM May22 May05 Mar31 Feb20 Jan23 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.