Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - June 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVALUABLE May26 May01 Apr01 Jan30 Jan23 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
2  COPPER CHARM May26 Apr26 Mar31 Mar11 Feb11 (ham)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00 23% 3.30    
3  DELTA GAMMA CATS May26 Apr30 Apr13 Mar19 Mar04 (west w)BEJARANO R 120 1.40    
4  FRILLS Apr30 Apr13 Mar26     (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.20 50% 1.00    
5  DULCIMER DAME May26 May10 Apr27 Mar26 Mar02 (miller kenny)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
 
CD-2   06/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIS BOOM BOB May06 Apr15 Mar10 Feb16   (gon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.50 8% 11.40    
2  MARGARITA TIME May22 May03       (medina robe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00    
3  ARNEIS         (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
4  MISSIONARY WORK         (caramori cai)MAYTA J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHRIMPIE May20         (luce ni)DE CRUZ 118 10.00    
6  RUFA RED KNOT May20 Feb16       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 65% 0.50    
7  MAMBO KITTEN Jun03         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 111 8.00    
8  MONOCACY May27 May05 Apr02     (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 ★    
 
CD-3   06/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EPICUREAN Jun02 Apr22 Mar25 Mar06 Jan21 (west eth)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
2  LEGERITY Apr14 Jan23       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00    
SCR  FLORIS May26 May03 Apr10     (duvall e)COURT K 123 8.00    
4  BELIEVING (IRE) Jun02 May26 Apr16 Feb12   (shorter a)LEPAROUX R 123 5.00    
5  CRIMSON ROSE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.40 55% 0.80    
6  SHANIAH Jan20 Jan01       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123 6.00    
 
CD-4   06/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREEDOM FOR ALL         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
2  JUST AN ANGEL         (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 ★    
3  DOT MARIE         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LADY SQUARED         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
5  SPIRIT AND FIRE         (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  KISS ME ON OCONEE         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
7  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Jun03 May20 Apr21     (leonard geo)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00    
8  EAST SHORE         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
9  TOWHEAD May26         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
CD-5   06/17/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KOOLHAUS May12 Mar24 Feb28 Jan23   (cox brad)SANTANA JR 124 1.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  KITTANSETT May07         (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 1.00    
2  BLANKET OF ROSES May21 Apr22 Apr02 Mar18 Feb23 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00    
3  KEYSTONE FIELD May07 Mar19 Feb13 Jan07   (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00    
4  HOZIER May03 Apr16       (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 16% 5.30    
5  CELERITY May03 Apr22 Apr02 Jan16   (cundiff way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00    
6  RODERICK May20 Apr20       (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   06/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL IMPACT May20 Jan02       (cox brad)SANTANA JR 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  O CIGANO May28 May13 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 (roberson denni)CASTANON L 123 20.00    
3  RIDGEPOINTE May22 May06 Apr15     (habeeb do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.00    
4  ZOFFA May28 Mar18 Feb20 Feb04 Jan08 (short willa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00    
5  ATTA BOY ANTHONY May29 May18 Apr29 Mar17 Feb23 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 113 8.00 6% 17.10    
6  SPACE ODESSEY May09 Apr02 Mar11 Jan22 Jan01 (diodoro ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00    
7  CATIPARI         (huffman g)COURT K 123 8.00    
8  RUNWAY MAGIC Apr16         (drury tho)LEPAROUX R 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
CD-7   06/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORNINGSTONE         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  RECEIVE A GIFT         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  SONG OF STORMS         (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 112 15.00    
4  CHAMPAGNE CALLING         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
5  CATHERINE BLAZE May26         (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
6  JUST CINDY         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00    
SCR  ARAYA Jun02 May11       (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 10.00    
8  JUST LIKE MAGIC         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
9  AMERICAN APPLE May05         (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 8% 11.10    
10  C C CRUISE CONTROL         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 8.00    
 
CD-8   06/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMEDY ACT May19 Mar20 Jan23     (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  MY SWEET KAT May31 Apr19       (werre danny)COURT K 123 20.00    
3  PATHETIQUE May21 Jan29       (bauer a)BEJARANO R 123 6.00    
4  GIVERNY May15 Feb03       (mott i)GRAHAM J 123 8.00    
5  ANGITUDE May06         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
6  MY MY MUNNY Jun09 May23 Feb25 Jan14   (stuart she)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  WINGS OF AN ANGEL May21 May05 Mar06 Feb12 Jan07 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 5.00    
8  TWO SIXTYONE Jun08 May07       (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 10.00 22% 3.50    
9  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS         (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00    
 
CD-9   06/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT'S UP DOC         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
2  G FLAT May30 Apr24       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
3  HIPPODROME Jun08 May28 Apr14     (cash l)COURT K 118 4.00 60% 0.70    
4  ARCH EGO         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
5  HEIR TO GREATNESS         (stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAILOR'S RETURN May30 May05 Mar18 Feb20 Jan21 (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00    
7  AMERICAN MAYHEM May28         (divito j)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 ★    
8  PAID TWICE May20         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 13% 6.90    
9  SILVER BLUR May22         (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  PREDOMINATE May20         (catalano wayne)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
SCR  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) May20         (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.