Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Friday - May 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREDETERMINATION Apr13 Mar22 Mar09 Feb21 Jan25 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
CRIMINAL RECORD Apr26 Mar16 Feb24     (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
NAVARONES SPARKLE Apr11 Mar21       (woolley ben)SCRIVER L 122 10.00    
AUTISM PRISM Apr28 Apr18 Feb16 Jan10   (wong jonathan)LEAHEY HANNAH 111 3.00 8% 12.10    
MICHELLE WHO Apr25 Apr11 Feb15 Jan30 Jan11 (crotts ji)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 46% 1.20    
TRINNI SUNSET Apr19 Mar31 Mar22 Mar08 Feb09 (fearon johna)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00    
INGLENOOK Mar22 Feb08       (urias soto )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00    
EARLYNTHEMORN Apr08 Mar31 Mar07 Feb11 Jan19 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 122 8.00    
 
TUP-2   05/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.74K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOONLITE GRAHAM Apr21 Mar28 Mar04 Feb21 Jan18 (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
PAYNTER'S BOY Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Mar07 Feb21 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00    
COMPLICATE Apr20 Mar07 Feb18 Feb02 Jan06 (person a)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 15% 5.90    
VINTAGE KITTEN Mar28 Mar07 Jan06     (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  HEIR (FR) Mar28 Mar07 Jan28 Jan12   (belvoir vann)MAWING A 122 4.50    
JACKS OUTLAW Apr18 Apr01 Mar10 Jan14   (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 7% 13.70    
RAIL HUGGER Apr01 Mar14 Feb14     (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 122 8.00    
 
TUP-3   05/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.612K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY CHANCE Apr18 Apr07 Mar07 Jan28 Jan20 (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 8.00    
ON ICE Apr01 Mar20 Feb21     (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.20 32% 2.10    
SCR  LUVTHEONEURWITH Apr26 Mar27 Mar18 Mar07 Feb15 (silva juan )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 113 5.00 19% 4.40    
HIGH FLYIN TIGER Apr18 Mar21 Mar07 Feb14 Jan10 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 4.00    
LUCKY CHAMP Apr14 Apr07 Mar14 Feb21 Jan07 (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
MONTANA JACK Apr21 Apr06 Mar21 Feb25 Feb10 (macdonald jacki)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
CROSS TOWN Mar22         (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  RI' PIN SNAP Apr28 Apr18 Mar22 Feb08   (soto antoni)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
 
TUP-4   05/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENISSIMO Apr19 Apr06 Mar13 Feb27 Jan30 (hone bart)ZUNINO L 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
MONARCH WOODS         (chattong vi)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
MR FREEBIE Apr26 Mar11 Feb22 Jan29 Jan13 (dillenbec)VALENZUELA A 118 6.00    
WESTPHAL         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 5.00    
DALE'S ADDICTION         (essex charles)MAWING A 124 12.00    
CHAMPESSA         (barraza sos)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 114 8.00    
COASTAL KING Apr11 Mar18 Feb24 Feb07   (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
DUBRONSKY         (barraza ra)VERGARA P 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
MYBESTISYETTOCOME Apr21 Apr08 Feb24 Feb01 Jan17 (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
10  D P TARGET         (urias soto )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118 15.00    
 
TUP-5   05/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WUMPMUG Apr18 Mar11 Feb07 Jan17   (barrio sergio)CARTER KYLE 118 15.00    
PAYNT THE KITTY Apr18 Apr08 Mar09 Feb04   (belvoir vann)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 2.50 71% 0.40    
DOGWOOD COVE Apr05         (buechler si)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 20.00    
SKY HIGH VERONIKA Apr01 Mar17 Feb15     (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
COME CORRECT Apr13 Apr05 Feb21     (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 118 5.00    
SCR  SEENEVA THE CAT Apr13 Apr05 Mar17 Feb24 Feb09 (mcdaniel w )MORALES ALLYSSA 118 20.00    
SCR  O SHUGAH MINT Mar28 Mar09 Jan25 Jan06   (gleason tim)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 8% 11.40    
LIP'S OF WINE Apr13 Apr01 Mar15 Feb28 Jan31 (salas eliazar)DEONAUTH P 118 15.00    
MAGIC START Apr13 Mar24 Feb24 Feb14 Jan12 (brown r)NEGRON LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  MISYA GIRL Apr18 Apr01       (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00    
11  BLACK BELT GINNY Apr21         (bratcher ry)SCRIVER L 118 10.00    
12  SUCH A LADY Apr18 Jan30       (heinen h)MAWING A 124 15.00    
 
TUP-6   05/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD AT MONEY Apr04 Mar21 Mar04 Feb16 Feb01 (gangidino l)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00    
SCR  LEADING SCORE Mar31 Mar17 Feb14     (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
SWAY ROAD Mar31         (chattong vichi)DEONAUTH P 124 8.00    
POPPY'S C NOTE Apr19 Apr02 Mar19 Mar07 Feb22 (madrigal )VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
TEN CARAT ROCK Apr06 Mar18 Feb16 Jan24   (gangidino lisa)VERGARA P 124 12.00    
TOP ROCKET Apr19 Apr11 Mar17 Feb28 Feb07 (bratcher ry)SCRIVER L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALBANY FRONT Apr06 Mar07 Feb16 Feb08 Jan26 (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 5.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  EL BORRACHO Apr18 Apr04 Mar25 Mar04 Jan31 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50    
PRICE TO PAY Apr19 Apr05 Feb22 Feb10 Jan17 (barrio sergio)CARTER KYLE 124 15.00    
10  MARDEN Apr06 Mar11 Feb14 Jan31 Jan14 (woolley ben)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 45% 1.20    
11  ROWDYROOSTER Apr19 Apr04 Mar16 Feb24 Jan12 (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   05/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARICOPA COUNTY Apr21 Feb18 Feb02 Jan06   (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
AVALON KING Apr27 Jan03       (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
SCR  DILLON ROCKS Mar21 Feb21 Jan19     (gutierrez j)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 12.00 8% 11.80    
GO FOR A RIDE Mar23 Feb18 Feb03     (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00    
PERFECT DUDE Apr06 Mar03 Jan21     (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 51% 1.00    
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Apr14 Mar16 Mar04 Feb18 Jan11 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
SCR  REDACTION Apr18 Apr01 Feb11 Jan18   (ortiz frank)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 20.00    
PERFECT WAGER Apr18 Mar16 Feb21 Jan11   (wong jonathan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 13% 6.50    
BEDROCK (GB) Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 (christian b)SCRIVER L 122 4.00    
10  FAMILY BIZ Mar15 Feb07 Jan07     (breashear bill)MAWING A 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   05/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.644K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBTLE RIDE Apr27 Apr19 Feb28 Feb18 Jan21 (cox jo)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00    
LADY JADE Mar22 Mar01 Feb18 Jan19 Jan04 (leon pris)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 7% 13.60    
PIPER ROSE Apr06 Mar16 Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 8% 11.80    
LEXOPHILIA Apr18 Mar17 Feb22 Jan15   (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 4.50 7% 14.00    
IF YOU WANT IT Apr12 Mar16 Feb25     (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
LUCKY STEPPER Apr20 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Jan25 (weaver gord)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 15.00    
SHES GOT THE POWER Apr20 Mar31 Mar07 Feb16 Jan24 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 8.00    
GONE QUICK Apr14 Mar31 Mar11 Jan18 Jan07 (metz jeffrey)VERGARA P 122 12.00    
CONVINCE Apr18 Mar30 Feb22 Jan04   (brown r)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.