Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 21, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (11/10/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/10/8/4)-(11/10/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/10/8/4)-(11/10/8/4)-(11/10/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/10/8/4)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/10/8/4)-(6/5/2)-(5/12/8/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/12/8/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/12/8/11)-(3/2/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-3   WIN (5/12/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/12/8/11)-(5/12/8/11/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/12/8/11)-(5/12/8/11/1)-(5/12/8/11/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/12/8/11)-(3/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/12/8/11)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/7/2/1/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-4   WIN (3/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/4)-(3/7/2/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/4)-(3/7/2/1/10)-(3/5/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-5   WIN (3/7/2/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/1/10)-(3/7/2/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/1/10)-(3/7/2/1/10)-(3/7/2/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/2/1/10)-(3/5/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/1/10)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/2/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-6   WIN (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/2)-(3/2/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/2)-(3/2/7/5)-(1/5/13) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-7   WIN (3/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/5)-(1/5/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CD-8   WIN (1/5/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/13)-(1/5/9/7/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/13)-(1/5/9/7/13)-(1/5/9/7/13) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/21/2026 2970ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA BELLE VIE         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
  (by TACITUS out of DELAVIE by UNION RAGS)
2  BELLEZA LATINA         (munoz car)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NIGHTSTAND by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SHIFTYINDEPENDENCE         (matejka pav)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of SHAPE SHIFTER by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
4  FUEGO SUNSET         (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of BLUEGRASS SUNSET by HARD SPUN)
5  VALENTINE EVE         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00    
  (by YAUPON out of PARTY READY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  VELVET BERETTA         (douaihy michel)ROMAN A 119 20.00    
  (by CYBERKNIFE out of MAKE ME LAUGH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  PRINCESS CHANTY         (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 119 20.00    
  (by JACK CHRISTOPHER out of CHIFFON by MALIBU MOON)
8  LACK OF RIESLING Apr15         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of NO RESPECT by GEMOLOGIST)
9  YOUHADME AT MERLOT         (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 119 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JUST MY OWN by JUSTIFY)
10  BELDEN RUE         (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by ROWAYTON out of MONEDAS DE ORO by MUNNINGS)
11  GO NEW YORK GO Apr26         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by KNICKS GO out of REPROACH by BLAME)
 
CD-2   05/21/2026 4290ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY PRINCESS May08 Apr24 Mar06 Feb14 Jan16 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.40    
2  PROGENY Mar13 Feb21 Jan01 Dec14 Nov19 (schultz lindsay)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MUSICAL PRAYER Apr17 Mar07 Feb20 Oct09 Sep17 (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 3.50    
4  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY Apr17 Mar22 Dec28 Nov13 Oct09 (miller pe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.50    
5  TIZNTSHELOVELY Apr30 Apr12 Mar22 Feb13 Nov13 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  R PRETTY KITTY Apr26 Mar20 Feb20 Feb08 Nov26 (manley steve)CEDILLO ABEL 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
CD-3   05/21/2026 3300ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY IT AGAIN         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★    
  (by CHIPS ARE DOWN out of WAYTOOEASY by WILL'S WAY)
2  AGATE         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of MORE THAN GRACIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ZEE R ONE Apr23 Apr09       (mcentee paul)SHEEHY DANNY 119 30.00    
  (by RAGING BULL out of COLOUR PARTY by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
4  HIDE N WATCH         (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by STAUDER out of TAI THE DEVIL by TAI)
5  SHINING MOMENT Apr24         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by YES IT'S TRUE out of BLIND COPY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  FIRE MARSHAL         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of SMASH REVIEW by BATES MOTEL)
7  DEE SNOOK (IRE)         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 116 10.00    
  (by SIOUX NATION out of ALL TO DO WITH IT by CANFORD CLIFFS (IRE))
8  RANDIE'S RASCAL (GB) Apr23         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 116 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by BLUE POINT out of FOXY RASCAL by DABIRSIM)
9  ZIMOMO         (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MY MO by UNCLE MO)
10  WARTIME Apr23         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW (IRE) out of HOODOOLAND by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  MR GERSON Apr16         (acevedo israel)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 5% 17.30    
  (by GOLDEN PAL out of PERU by MOTIVATOR)
12  HAZY HORIZON         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TIZ RAE ANNA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
CD-4   05/21/2026 4620ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY DIAL Apr24 Mar20       (meah m)SHEEHY DANNY 125 12.00 9% 9.70    
2  BOB'S CARROT Mar19 Feb05 Dec21 Nov22 Nov09 (santamaria c)TORRES A 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  HANDSOME HERB May03 Apr11 Mar19 Feb13 Jul26 (hernandez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.50 36% 1.80    
4  DAMASCUS STEEL Apr24 Feb21 Jan24     (heath g)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ADMIRAL HALL Apr24 May23       (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
6  MICHAEL'S COVE Apr25 Mar12 Feb19 Dec18 Nov27 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00    
7  UNCLE EVCO Mar22 Feb21 Feb06 Jan30 Jan16 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00    
8  KEEP ON MOVING Apr30 Mar26 Feb19 Jan17 Dec07 (sweezey kent)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
 
CD-5   05/21/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($32K) Purse ($71K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNNY UNCLE Apr24 Feb21 Jan11 Jan03 Dec05 (jacobson david)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  GEE NO HOLLANDER May02 Apr12 Feb20 Jan04 Dec13 (larose kinnon)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 17.60    
3  EXPLORATION Apr25 Feb15 Feb05 Dec10 Sep27 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 54% 0.80    
4  NORMANDY COAST Apr17 Feb13 Jan02 Jun29 May17 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 5.00    
5  REAL FAST Apr19 Mar21 Feb06 Jan17 Dec03 (wism)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 15.00    
6  SCAT FREE Apr15 Mar15 Feb14 Aug14 Jun20 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
7  BARKSDALE Apr29 Mar01 Oct18 Aug28 Aug20 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 8% 11.30    
8  COMING IN HOT Apr18 Feb18 Dec18 Jul04 Jun06 (salas marce)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
9  INVULNERABLE May01 Apr04 Mar05 Feb23 Jan05 (duncan van)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
10  SWILL Apr24 Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Dec20 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAGLIATELLE Apr10 Mar21 Feb26 Jan08 Jun06 (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.50    
 
CD-6   05/21/2026 5610ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENCINO Feb14 Dec21 Nov08 Sep19 Aug02 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 6.00    
2  THEISMANN Apr08 Jan17 Oct18 Sep11 Aug02 (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  OLE CRAZY BONE Sep06 Aug03 Jun26 Apr19 Mar02 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  ANGLOPHILE Apr16 Oct10 Sep06 Aug03 Jun14 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
5  DRESDEN ROW Apr08 Nov08 Oct19 Sep20 Aug02 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  WADSWORTH Mar21 Feb27 Dec14 Nov07 Sep02 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00    
7  HERCHEE Jun26 Apr24 Nov23 Oct26 Sep08 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
8  LAMBETH Oct25 Aug31 Aug06 Jun14 Apr30 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
9  FLYING MOHAWK Apr16 Feb21 Jan24 Dec27 Nov22 (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
 
CD-7   05/21/2026 4620ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULTITASK Apr04 Mar12 Feb13 Jan14 Nov30 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
2  EXTRA ANEJO Aug23 Jun29 May03 Apr08 Sep12 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 7% 12.60    
3  BUILT Apr30 Mar13 Feb14 Dec18 May03 (catalano wayn)ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 62% 0.60    
4  MACHO MUSIC May02 Mar28 Jul25 Jun07 May03 (crichton g)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00    
5  PRINCE OF POWER May02 Mar11 Feb14 Dec26 Dec06 (camb)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRACK MATE Apr04 Feb07 Nov30 Oct12 Jun22 (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00    
7  U DEVIL YOU Apr28 Apr04 Feb28 Feb07 Nov08 (ortiz al)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 6% 14.70    
8  DREAMINBLUE Apr11 Feb07 Dec19 Oct30 Aug30 (morse l)BEJARANO R 123 6.00    
 
CD-8   05/21/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLASPHEMOUS RUMORS Apr25         (roberts j)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 42% 1.40    
2  LEXI'S MELODY Apr24 Apr08 Feb19     (mckeever andre)SHEEHY DANNY 118 30.00    
3  QUEEN MCKINZIE Apr11 Feb19 Jan25 Oct12 Sep13 (sweezey ken)MORALES EDGAR 124 5.00    
SCR  GLADLY Mar26 Sep26 Aug17 Jul18 May18 (caramori cai)TORRES A 124 12.00    
5  GALATINA Apr11 Mar13 Feb13 Jan15 Dec20 (brion keri)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 29% 2.50    
6  OLYMPIC STAR Apr17 Mar06 Jan04 Apr19   (schultz lindsa)CEDILLO ABEL 124 4.00    
7  RAGING CURRENT Apr18 Mar22 Feb13 Dec20 Nov21 (stewart dallas)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.00 ★    
8  COCOA NIMBUS Apr25 Mar26 Feb11 Jan21   (hill)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00    
9  LET 'ER SIZZLE         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  VINO ALLA MORA May07 Sep19 Aug24     (butcher james)GARCIA MARTIN 124 30.00    
11  KOPIANA Apr30 Apr03 Oct31     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  BETTY WHO Apr26 Apr07 Mar17 Mar03 Feb12 (salcedo ramon)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00    
13  CRYSTAL FROST Apr19 Mar27 Mar18 Feb25 Feb06 (barrett rod)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.