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Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 15, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(6/2/5)-(4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CD-2   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(4/1)-(2/8/9/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CD-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(2/8/9/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(2/8/9/5)-(2/4/6/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CD-4   WIN (2/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/5)-(2/8/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/5)-(2/8/9/5)-(2/8/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/9/5)-(2/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/5)-(2/4/6/1)-(2/9/6/5/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-5   WIN (2/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/1)-(2/9/6/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/1)-(2/9/6/5/8)-(5/4/8/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-6   WIN (2/9/6/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/5/8)-(2/9/6/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/5/8)-(2/9/6/5/8)-(2/9/6/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/6/5/8)-(5/4/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/5/8)-(5/4/8/7)-(6/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-7   WIN (5/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7)-(5/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/8/7)-(6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/7)-(6/1/7)-(8/2/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-8   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(8/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CD-9   WIN (8/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1/10)-(8/2/3/1/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards

IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/15/2026 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ROG Apr30 Apr12 Mar12 Dec26 Nov21 (king l)SHEEHY DANNY 125 3.50 40% 1.50    
2  FITZGERALD Apr24 Mar20 Feb20 Dec27 Oct11 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 2.00    
3  CARCAR EXPRESS Apr30 Oct17 Sep12     (sharp joe)CURTIS BEN 125 1.20    
4  THE REINBOW FACTOR Apr30 Apr10 Mar12 Jan08 Nov30 (thompson mic)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 20.00    
5  PAIRED Apr30 Mar27 Mar13 Feb05 Dec12 (jacobson david)PAULY SUMMER 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  WEEKEND REVEILLE Apr12 Mar28 Dec12 Nov03 Oct13 (gallagher wi)RAMOS D 125 8.00 30% 2.40    
 
CD-2   05/15/2026 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN FOR A SPIN Apr15 Mar18 Feb14 Oct18 Sep20 (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 ★    
2  RIVER RISE Apr18 Jan08 Nov29 Nov05 Sep27 (wism)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 8.00 12% 7.30    
3  LUCK OF THE DAY Apr29 Apr08       (orantes r)ROMAN A 118 30.00    
4  WATERSHED MOMENT Apr17 Mar08 Feb13 Aug29 Feb16 (baltas richard)BEJARANO R 125 3.00    
5  SOUPERRAZZLEDAZZLE Apr30 Mar27 Jan21 Nov22 Oct18 (williams co)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUCKEYE BOMBSHELL Mar13 Feb13 Jan15 Aug14 Jul17 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 1.40 65% 0.50    
7  SHE'S GOTTA GO Apr17 Feb26 Jan03 Oct01   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50    
 
CD-3   05/15/2026 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHLY FLAMMABLE Apr29 Mar19 Feb26 Jan14 Dec11 (donjuan)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 14% 6.40    
2  AIR OF DEFIANCE Apr22 Mar14 Feb05 Nov08 Oct11 (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.50    
SCR  LORD MAJESTY Apr25 Apr08 Mar07 Feb19 Dec26 (david a)MENDOZA AMIR 113 12.00    
4  NATION Apr19 Feb06 Dec19 Nov15 Oct17 (hess b)RAMOS D 118 4.00 34% 1.90    
5  UPTURNED BRIM Apr25 Apr14 Feb26 Jan11 Jan02 (cano william)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  TIVERTON (GB) Apr22 Mar19 Feb26 Jan01 Dec06 (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  GET HER NUMBER Apr22 Mar01 Dec10 Nov15 Sep06 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 0.80    
 
CD-4   05/15/2026 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIERETTE         (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
  (by COLONEL JOHN out of CRY FOR DIAMONDS by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  SMOKE Apr08         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by RAHY out of ONYX by DIALED IN)
SCR  ROCK YOUR DREAMS         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of SINGWITHTHEBIRDS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  LOOKIN' PRETTY         (miller peter)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MISSION UP by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
5  MARGIE'S GIRL         (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of SUNDAR by BERNARDINI)
6  LUMINOUS BEAUTY         (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SLY BEAUTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  TUXCA Apr29         (torres erick )GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of CANDYCREAM by TWIRLING CANDY)
8  LADY CHANEL         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by JACKIE'S WARRIOR out of WIND CAPER by TOUCH GOLD)
9  EPIC SPENDER         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by EPICENTER out of HA' PENNY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
CD-5   05/15/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAPPED Apr03 Feb27 Sep17     (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  PULSTAR Apr03 Jan08 Dec04 Jul27 Jul12 (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 55% 0.80    
3  HEAVEN'S BOLT Feb06 Nov16 Oct04 Aug30   (baltas richard)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
4  GLAZIN' FURY Apr02 Feb14 Nov19 Oct11 Aug31 (shirer a)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.50 11% 8.30    
5  CLAP BACK Apr17 Mar19 Feb07 Dec20 Oct26 (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 6.00    
6  FREAKS GO Apr28 Apr03 Jan03 Dec06 Oct26 (crichton g)CURTIS BEN 118 2.50 10% 9.10    
SCR  FINAL SHIPMAN Apr23 Apr03 Mar14 Feb11 Dec04 (jacobson david)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
 
CD-6   05/15/2026 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAVIAR BREAKFAST Apr10 Dec27 Nov28 Nov01 Oct09 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
2  HEREFORAGOODTIME Nov15 Sep10 Aug03 May31 May08 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
3  CENIZA PAMPA (ARG) Apr10         (de horacio)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00    
4  BEFRIENDED Apr24 Feb25 Jan14 Mar26 Mar06 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00    
5  STRONG DESTINY Apr24 Mar06 Jan09 Oct27 Sep26 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 6% 14.60    
6  SOL D'ORO Mar27 Mar04 Jan03 Aug31 Aug06 (sharp joe)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
7  UNMERITED FAVOR Apr24 Dec27 Nov15 Oct10 Sep04 (mcpeek kenne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
8  MASSARAT Apr24 Sep04 Jun29 May01 Mar22 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  ONTARIO (IRE) Apr23 Mar14 Feb17 Jan22 Nov27 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
 
CD-7   05/15/2026 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAPARRITA Apr17 Mar05 Feb12 Jan25 Jan10 (broussard jer)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
2  POP ROX Feb08 Dec19 Dec04 Nov21 Sep26 (d'angelo j)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.20    
SCR  GLADRIEL Apr29 Mar26 Dec17 Nov25 Aug20 (axmaker w)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
4  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Apr26 Mar28 Mar13 Feb21 Dec21 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
5  TALKIN IN CURSIVE Apr30 Mar28 Mar14 Feb26 Feb13 (shirer matt )TORRES A 118 4.50 23% 3.30    
6  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH Feb20 Feb07 Jan08 Jun06 Apr30 (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50    
7  PROTOMAGIC Apr22 Mar26 Mar04 Feb18 Jan01 (barrett rod)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SASSY AND BOLD Apr15 Mar14 Mar04 Jan01 Oct09 (knippenberg )RAMOS D 118 12.00 16% 5.30    
 
CD-8   05/15/2026 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNING AWAY Apr17 Sep10 Jul26 May14 Apr07 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.80 17% 5.00    
SCR  CAT'S CAVE Apr17 Oct25 Sep27 Jul31 Jul05 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 122 20.00    
3  IN JUST MY HEELS Mar21 Feb27 Feb07 Dec26 Nov27 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
4  CHILLED Apr17 Nov27 Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00    
5  YES IT TIZ Apr17 Mar28 Jan24 Dec07 Oct25 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50    
6  PEIGNOIR Apr17 Mar21 Feb27 Dec26 Jun21 (brisset r)TORRES A 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  MISS AUTHENTIC Mar14 Feb07 Dec21 Nov28 Oct08 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-9   05/15/2026 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY MAX Apr18 Mar11 Feb14 Jan09 Nov23 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEGALIZE Mar20 Feb21 Dec20 Nov27 Oct22 (devaux cherie)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
3  SILENT HEART Apr18 May31 Apr11 Mar01 Jan31 (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 13% 7.00    
4  ANDTHEWINNERIS Apr08 Feb27 Oct13 Sep20 Aug21 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 8.00    
5  SMOKEY MANDATE Apr16 Mar11 Feb14 Dec26 Nov09 (maker michae)TORRES A 122 4.00    
6  SECRET CHAT May01 Nov30 Oct30 Oct15 Sep25 (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 30.00    
7  TARANTINO Mar19 Feb19 Jan17 Aug30 Jul26 (jacobson david)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
8  JUDGE DAVIS Apr16 Feb27 Dec26 Nov09 Sep27 (maker j)CURTIS BEN 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
9  IDRATHERBEBLESSED Apr08 Mar21 Feb14 Jan17 Dec20 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
10  ASTRONOMER Apr03 Mar07 Jan24 Dec28 Nov29 (callaghan )HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.