Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 14, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/1)-(3/9/2/6/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(3/9/2/6/1)-(8/6/2/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CD-2   WIN (3/9/2/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/6/1)-(3/9/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/6/1)-(3/9/2/6/1)-(3/9/2/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/2/6/1)-(8/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/2/6/1)-(8/6/2/3)-(8/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-3   WIN (8/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/2/3)-(8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/3)-(8/6/7)-(9/10/15) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-4   WIN (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/4/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/4/10/7)-(8/6/4/10/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/6/7)-(9/10/15) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7)-(9/10/15)-(3/8/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-5   WIN (9/10/15) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/15)-(9/10/4/15/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/15)-(9/10/4/15/7)-(9/10/4/15/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/10/15)-(3/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/10/15)-(3/8/5/2)-(7/1/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-6   WIN (3/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/5/2)-(7/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/2)-(7/1/4/6)-(3/13/11/4/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-7   WIN (7/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/6)-(3/13/11/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-8   WIN (3/13/11/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/13/11/4/12)-(3/13/11/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/13/11/4/12)-(3/13/11/4/12)-(3/13/11/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/14/2026 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN TIGHT         (miller peter)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of HONOR THE MOMENT by HONOR CODE)
2  LUCKY LOLLIPOP         (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of LA REGIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  JUNEAU         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 3.50    
  (by MR. GREELEY out of GOOD FOR HER by TOPSIDER)
4  CARDIO CAT Apr26         (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 71% 0.40    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of MO SHOPPING by UNCLE MO)
5  BY GRACE Apr29         (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
  (by STORM BOOT out of GRACIOUS REASON by SECRETARIAT)
6  BAYTOWN ONA         (mcentee paul)SHEEHY DANNY 119 8.00 ★    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of VALENTINE WISH by LEMON DROP KID)
7  HONKY TONK GIRL         (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 119 4.50 ★    
  (by NASHVILLE out of NICE SMILE by SMILING TIGER)
8  LADY LUX         (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
  (by EARLY VOTING out of LUXURIOUS by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
CD-2   05/14/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIP N TUCK Apr29 Mar28 Mar14 Feb27 Feb14 (king l)SHEEHY DANNY 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  BE HERE Apr25 Mar25 Mar05 Feb19 Jan22 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 15% 5.80    
3  GLOBAL SENSATION Mar21 Feb12 Dec06 Nov15 Sep18 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  DERBY DATE Apr23 Apr09 Mar28 Feb28 Feb06 (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
5  READY TO ROLL (IRE) Mar20 Mar06 Jan10 Oct02 Sep17 (van th)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
6  CREEK Mar28 Mar04 Feb14 Jan15 Aug08 (kordenbrock mat)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 14% 6.00    
7  READY TO POUNCE Apr08 Aug23 Jul18 Jun07 May11 (hernandez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  READY PURSUIT Apr25 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan09 (gonz)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 50.00    
9  MARTINI BLU Apr30 Apr17 Apr04 Mar19 Feb22 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 15% 5.50    
10  RAISING KANE Apr29 Mar07 Jan31 Jan18 Dec28 (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 3.50    
 
CD-3   05/14/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUNSET HARBOUR Apr16 Mar25 Feb20 Jan24 Dec11 (david carlo)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00    
2  STEAMPUNK Mar26 Feb28 Nov06 Oct08 Sep06 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 12% 7.20    
3  JUST AN OPINION Apr08 Mar07 Feb11 Jan02 Dec18 (cano willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROSIEONTHERIVER Apr18 Apr03 Mar13 Nov30 Oct19 (broussard j)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
5  STORY HOUR Mar22 Feb20 Jan24 Jan11 Nov15 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.50    
6  BEIRA Apr02 Oct23 Sep11 Jul23 Jun21 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
7  TIFFANY TWIST Mar19 Feb13 Dec21 Nov09 Aug22 (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
8  LIUZZA Apr04 Feb21 Jan09 Dec14 Oct11 (shirer a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 32% 2.20    
9  NILO'S ROSE Apr08 Feb27 Jan22 Dec26 Jul05 (falcone robert)MENDOZA AMIR 113 3.00    
 
CD-4   05/14/2026 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK HAVOC         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of PRIVATE ESTATE by PRIVATE TALK)
2  TAKE CHARGE BEACH         (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of JEN TAKE CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  ALI'S GLORY         (dixon jer)BEALMEAR C 119 30.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEIR TO GLORY by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  BEACH SANDALS         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 ★    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SANDAL by MUNNINGS)
SCR  STAZITTO         (dixon jer)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 20.00    
  (by SPEAKER'S CORNER out of BY GOLLY MIS MOLLY by VINDICATION)
6  CUT THROAT (GB)         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CYBERKNIFE out of BEAUTISSIMO by UNCLE MO)
7  CAPTAIN LUKE         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of WELL HELLO by QUALITY ROAD)
8  CROSSFIRE Apr09         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 50% 1.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BARBARIANSMILE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  GOODBYE TO ROMANCE         (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of BECKINSALE by CURLIN)
10  MUNNY JACK         (miller peter)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 ★    
  (by JACK CHRISTOPHER out of SEAYOUATHEBREAKERS by HARD SPUN)
11  BARDSTOWN ROAD         (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of FOUGHT THE FIGHT by WAR FRONT)
SCR  BOURBON TOWN Apr03         (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of SARIAH SARIAH by TONALIST)
13  FORTUNE KING         (donjuan se)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of GODDESS OF CASH by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
CD-5   05/14/2026 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) Apr16 Jan17 Dec05 Apr24 Feb06 (mott william)TORRES A 122 4.50    
SCR  COILED Apr16 Feb20 Dec06 Sep20 Sep03 (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 8.00    
SCR  CARCANO Apr16 Feb20 Jan09 Dec04 Oct04 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
4  PRESIDER Apr18 Feb21 Jan24 Nov30 Oct12 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 ★    
5  DAUNT Apr23 Nov30 Oct12 Sep25 Aug09 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 30.00    
6  END OF ROMANCE (IRE) Apr12 Aug09 Jun21 Apr26 Mar22 (motion graha)ORTIZ L 122 20.00    
7  THE HIDDEN CHAMBER Mar28 Jan15 Dec04 Nov23 Oct01 (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 ★    
8  SOLEIL VOLANT Apr23 Nov08 Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 (motion graham)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00    
9  NOBLE CONFESSOR Apr11 Feb28 Nov08 Oct04 Aug30 (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 52% 0.90    
10  WESTSIDE TIDE Mar28 Feb28 Jan10 Nov21 Oct26 (jacobson david)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  FREEDOM'S WAY Apr18 Jul23 Jun08 Apr17 Mar22 (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
12  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN Apr23 Mar20 Aug18 Aug03 Jun08 (pitts helen)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
13  GOLDENEYE Mar20 Oct10 Aug30 Aug01 Jul12 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 20.00    
SCR  HARROW Apr24 Feb08 Jul12 Jun14 Jan25 (joseph saffi)HUGHES RASHEED 122 20.00    
15  TAPIT SHOES Mar21 Feb27 Dec26 Dec06 Nov08 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   05/14/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($89K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S MALIBU Apr11 Dec28 Nov15 Oct18 Aug21 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
2  HURRY HURRY Apr19 Dec26 Apr25 Jan25 Nov16 (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  KEEN CAT Apr25 Mar08 Feb14 Dec28 Dec12 (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 50% 1.00    
4  CAROLO RAPIDO Apr19 Mar06 Feb16 Nov16 Aug11 (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
5  INEXORABLE Apr15 Feb07 Dec20 Nov14 Oct08 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 13% 6.40    
SCR  HOUSE UNITED Apr19 Mar08 Mar01 Jan16 Jan01 (jacobson david)PAULY SUMMER 113 15.00    
7  BADGE OF WAR Apr19 Mar08 Feb15 Jan14 Dec22 (williams matt)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
8  CLASSIC CAR WASH Mar28 Feb28 Jun28 May22 Mar14 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 14% 5.90    
 
CD-7   05/14/2026 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COALMOON Apr15 Mar21 Feb26 Dec20 Nov13 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
2  MASTER CONTROLLER Feb19 Aug10 Jul05 May24 Nov03 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 10.00    
3  FEAR OF UNION Apr16 Mar26 Feb14 Aug16 Jul30 (cunningham)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 6.00    
4  FOUNTAIN RUN Apr11 Mar07 Feb22 Dec27 Nov27 (meah m)SHEEHY DANNY 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
5  RENDER JUDGMENT Mar28 Jan03 May03 Apr08 Mar15 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.50    
6  SIXTYSEVEN MUSTANG Apr19 Feb19 Jan22 Jan02 Nov20 (anderson doug )CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  FOURTH DIMENSION Apr09 Feb07 Dec27 Oct24 Sep13 (mott william )ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
CD-8   05/14/2026 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMAZON TIME Jan21         (wojczynski jus)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ANTIANARA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  REDHAWK RIDDLER         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of OH BOO HOO by KAFWAIN)
3  TWIRLING CLAIRE Apr17 Mar05 Jan15     (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CLAIRENATION by BERNSTEIN)
4  PROSECCO GAL         (stall alber)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PROSE by GALILEO)
5  VIVIANITE         (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GHERARDINI by BERNARDINI)
6  CARDIFF REEF Mar06 Nov26 Oct17 Sep16 Aug17 (meah m)SHEEHY DANNY 118 20.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PRINCESS VIVIAN by UH OH BANGO)
7  PRINCESS JULIE Mar21 Feb21 Feb05 Dec10 Nov16 (foster eric)MENDOZA AMIR 113 20.00    
  (by FORLI WINDS out of PRINCESS NIDRA by RECITATION)
SCR  POVERTY WITH AVIEW Apr17 Mar14 Feb01 Dec28 Dec03 (lejzerowi)BEALMEAR C 124 30.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of INTEREST by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  NEWSRELEASE         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of NEWSTOUSE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  SHEER JAZZ Apr17 Dec10       (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 118 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of IN THE FRAME by SERVICE STRIPE)
11  SPARE ME Feb14 Jan18 Dec20 Nov21   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 8% 12.10    
  (by SUTTER'S PROSPECT out of SPARE YOU by NOSTRUM)
12  RETROSPECTIVE Sep23 Aug28       (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EASY GOER out of ESPIAL by BANKER'S GOLD)
13  CONQUERING MARIN (IRE) Apr16 Feb07       (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by GHAIYYATH out of CATCHMENT by MANY RIVERS)
SCR  BELLE AMOUR         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BELVOIR BAY by EQUIANO)
SCR  FRAUD ALERT Apr09 Mar14 Feb26     (morse randy )TORRES A 118 30.00    
  (by CHARLATAN out of NATURAL RUSH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  SWEETTALKINGWOMAN         (pitts helen)TORRES A 118 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SISTERMISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.