Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Friday - December 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(5/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(5/6/1)-(4/6/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/6/1/7)-(4/3/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/7)-(4/3/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/7)-(4/3/8/5)-(5/6/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/8/5)-(5/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8/5)-(5/6/2/4)-(2/8/7/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/4)-(2/8/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/4)-(2/8/7/1/3)-(5/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/8/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/1/3)-(2/8/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/1/3)-(2/8/7/1/3)-(2/8/7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/7/1/3)-(5/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/6/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/6/8/7/1)-(5/6/8/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   12/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KID RICH Nov14 Oct11       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.80 30% 2.30    
SCR  HELLZ KITCHEN Nov08 Sep26 Aug31     (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00    
THIRSTED Nov21 Oct11 Sep13     (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
NEVER SAY UNCLE Nov21         (terrano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00    
WINSTON D Nov21 Oct24       (giddings)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
TRANQUIL SEA Nov08         (englehart j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 15.00    
 
AQU-2   12/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEIGHTFUL STORM Nov14 Sep19 Aug23 Jul27   (bond j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPEIGHTFUL LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ALZERO Aug23 Jul27 Jun14 Mar29 Feb21 (bond ke)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BEE NOTEWORTHY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
SAMMY C NOTE Nov21 Nov12 Oct10 Sep26   (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
LIBERTY RISING Nov30 Nov02 Oct10 Aug23 Jul23 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIBERTY FUZE by MASS MEDIA)
PRETRIAL STATEMENT Nov21 Oct26 Sep01 Aug10 Jun14 (bartkowski )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of DYANI by DYNAFORMER)
TOMSCHICKENFINGERS Nov12 Sep26 Dec12 Nov15 Oct17 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.60 49% 1.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of ESTHER THE QUEEN by PURIM)
 
AQU-3   12/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($81K) 2 F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOPAMINE Oct22 Sep27 Aug22 Jul16   (arce jos)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
RINA'S REVENGE Oct25 Oct04 Aug28     (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00    
LOVELY PASHYN Sep22 Sep08       (barrow paul)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
SCR  LADY ROSE Nov28 Nov07       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60    
PINKY BRIER Nov21 Oct17 Sep19 Aug16   (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
ST. BRIGID'S CROSS Nov21 Sep19 Aug21 Aug06 May22 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
 
AQU-4   12/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLESMERE ISLAND Oct03         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 12% 7.50    
  (by FROSTED out of ISLAND REWARD by STREET BOSS)
MY SHERRONA Oct26 Oct03 Sep01 Aug02 Jan18 (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CLASS INCLUDED by INCLUDE)
SNIDE Sep21 Jun21       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of NEW NORMAL by FORESTRY)
SHE'S A GEMMA Nov12 Feb08       (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of FLORIDA FABULOUS by HIGH COTTON)
TRANGO TOWER Nov12 Aug30 Jul05 Aug11   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00    
  (by CURLIN out of LEWIS BAY by BERNARDINI)
TATANIA Nov09         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 13% 6.90    
  (by TAPIT out of PAULASSILVERLINING by GHOSTZAPPER)
DIMENSIONALITY Oct26 Aug17 Jul18 Jun05 May23 (terranova j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARACARO out of DIVIDED BY THREE by SHACKLEFORD)
 
AQU-5   12/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POP GOES THE WIZ         (duggan p)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00    
MAGNANIMOUS MAX Nov23 Jan25       (cox h)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00    
GUALILLO Nov01 Sep19 Aug09     (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
ALIAS Oct09 Feb02 Dec15 Sep14   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
PRIVATE FLIGHT Nov13 Oct22 Sep01 Jul16 Jun20 (hennig mar)RIVERA R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FIDDLING FELIX Oct22 Oct03 Aug27 Jul30 Jul17 (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
SCR  THE HERO CODE Nov23 Nov16 Oct26 Sep20 Aug27 (trites la)RIVERA A 117 30.00    
GYPSY DREAMING Aug28 May24 Apr25 Mar29 Mar01 (duggan p)LUZZI J 122 8.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  FROSTELLE Aug01 Jul13 May03     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00    
 
AQU-6   12/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROOKLYN DANTZ Nov21 Oct23 Sep25 Aug31 Aug13 (arenas marc)RIVERA A 116 20.00    
BEST IMPRESSION Nov21 Oct23 Sep25 Aug29 Aug06 (giangiul)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
QUEEN IN THE DECK Nov18 Sep10 Aug29 Aug21 Jul17 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
MOONLIT WEEKEND Nov21 Oct26 Oct03 Sep02 Aug10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 10% 9.20    
MITOLE'S GIRL Nov08 Aug30 Jul30 Jun29 Apr26 (giangiulio mic)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
SIGHT TO SEE Nov21 Oct23 Oct16 Sep11 Apr23 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 120 8.00 16% 5.10    
TOXIC GIRL Nov12 Oct16 Sep18 Jul27 Jul10 (jimenez l)CIVACI SAHIN 120 10.00    
SHE'S COMPLICATED Oct16 Sep18 Aug01 Apr23 Apr12 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80    
 
AQU-7   12/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EZ ROLL Nov09 Mar12 Feb17 Jan01 Nov16 (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 12.00 6% 15.70    
SENEGAL Nov07 Sep19 Aug07 Jun26 May19 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 48% 1.10    
COCKTAILSNKRINGLE Nov23 Nov12 Oct10 Sep01 Aug17 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAGNI Nov12 Oct10 Sep13 Aug16 Jun29 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  I CAN SEE THAT Nov09 Sep28 Aug31 Apr05 Mar24 (levine bruc)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00    
GOOD BALI Oct08 Aug31 Jul14 May30 Apr19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
METATRON Nov16 Oct22 Sep12 Jun06 Apr13 (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00 7% 14.10    
TOGA DAN Nov28 Nov07 Oct05 Aug07 Jul11 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 13% 6.90    
MO FOR THE KING Nov29 Sep19 Aug28 Aug07 Jun26 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 5.00    
10  INCANTATION Oct28 Aug15 Jul11 Apr17 Jan17 (bond harold)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 15.00    
 
AQU-8   12/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE'S TOO SHORT         (dougherty devo)LUZZI J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of MYSTIC ANGEL by MORE THAN READY)
DEACON BLUES Nov14         (donk david)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 10.00    
  (by FREE HOUSE out of LINK BRACELET by LINKAGE)
VIOLIN         (jimenez l)CIVACI SAHIN 119 12.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TAKE CHARGE SUE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
CALVARY HILL Nov22         (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00    
  (by FREUD out of HOOPSKIRT by BIRDSTONE)
PARTY IN THE ARMY Nov22 Oct13 Sep22 Aug29   (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.00 75% 0.30    
  (by ARMY MULE out of PARTY LIKE GRANDMA by DESERT PARTY)
MUSIC IN MOTION Nov14         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SOARWITHTHEBIRDS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
CENTRAL SPIRIT         (terrano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SPIRITUALITY by SEA LEGS)
PURE MISCHIEF Nov22 Sep28       (devaux a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
  (by WAYNE'S CRANE out of BETTER THAN RUBIES by SMARTY JONES)
BABY MEANIE Nov14 Oct11       (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 119 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of KEEPNHERINTHEDARK by KITTEN'S JOY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.