Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/7/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
ARP-2   WIN (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-3   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/2)-(2/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-4   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ARP-5   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(2/5/3/4)-(1/4/5/8/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ARP-6   WIN (2/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/4)-(1/4/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ARP-7   WIN (1/4/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/8/9)-(1/4/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/8/9)-(1/4/5/8/9)-(1/4/5/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   09/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF SWING Sep12 Nov17 Oct26 Sep29 Sep13 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 120 6.00 57% 0.80    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SHE'S GIFTED by FLATTER)
2  TIZ GIGI Nov16 Oct27 Oct04     (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00    
  (by APACHE PARK out of TIZ CABBAGE by TIZNOW)
3  GRACEFULLYBROKE Oct27 Oct06 Sep21     (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
  (by APACHE PARK out of BROKEANLOVINGIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  ROMANS WORD Sep12 Jul06 Jun15 May25 Apr25 (rushton stets)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of FINAL WORD by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
5  THUNDERMOUNTAINMAN Jul19 Apr17 Mar26 Feb18 Jan01 (martinez a)CARRENO J 120 2.50 ★    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PINK FREUD LIVE by FREUD)
 
ARP-2   09/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESABEAST Sep06 Aug18       (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 117 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of OUR SMILE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  CHOCOLATE WASTED Sep12         (rushton stets)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of EXTREME CAUTION by VALUE PLUS)
3  HIDDEN FEES         (kemper kerry)CARRENO J 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
4  THREE DRINKS         (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 117 6.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of SUPER ONE by NO STORMS)
5  KINZLEE'SCHARISMA         (jensen da)MEDINA ANGEL 117 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of MISS CHARISMA by MUNNINGS)
6  FORZA ROAD Aug30 Aug17 Apr10     (leon alex)IRONEYES R 120 2.50    
  (by MO FORZA out of EDGEHILL ROAD by OLD FORESTER)
7  BRIGGS ARMYPOWER         (jensen mark)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 15% 5.80    
  (by ARMY MULE out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
 
ARP-3   09/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAX A DREAMING Aug24 Aug07 Jul26 Jul12 Jun11 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50    
2  GRAN CHICO Sep12 Aug30 Aug17 Jul25 Jul12 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 62% 0.60    
3  WINGS FOR ENO Sep06 Jul04 Jun21 Jun07 May02 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 6.00    
4  JUST N JACK Sep12 Aug30 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 (jensen ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRINCE OTTO Sep12 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 Jul06 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 124 4.50 15% 5.50    
 
ARP-4   09/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL JOKER Aug31 Aug17 Aug09 Jul27 Jul20 (leon alexis)BAEZ M 124 8.00 43% 1.30    
2  LOOKIN FOR LOKI Nov17 Oct26 Sep22 Aug28 Aug07 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
3  RED FROST Aug09 Jul06 May25 Nov16 Oct12 (long vaughn)CARRENO J 124 4.50    
4  TOOMANYNAMES Aug21 Apr05 Mar22 Feb22 Nov16 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 ★    
5  WATER TESTER Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun22 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50    
 
ARP-5   09/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMPIRE WARRIOR Aug31 Aug08 Jul19 Jul03 Jun06 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 120 6.00    
2  SHOOTIN' DICE Sep12 Aug29 Jul27 Jul05   (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  BETTER EDGE Sep13 Jul18 Jun21 May24 Apr11 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
4  TIME TO SKIP TOWN Nov01 Oct18 Sep21 Aug12 Jul31 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 4.00    
5  CLOUD BLITZ Aug03 Jul19 Feb03 Jan16 Dec10 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
6  BOSS DOWN Sep13 Aug30 Aug06 Jul26 Apr29 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 120 3.50    
 
ARP-6   09/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKOUT PASS Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 May18 Mar05 (lavanway )MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
2  GLITTERS ANDIE Sep19 Sep02 May10 Apr17 Apr06 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  DIAMANTE ELEGANTE Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 May17 Apr24 (kemper kasey)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 10.00 6% 15.30    
4  SHE'S SO FANCY Sep21 Aug29 Jun22 May17 Apr11 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GLOBAL ALLURE Sep13 Aug23 Apr25 Mar21 Mar09 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
6  LOTSA STEEL Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 Jun06 May17 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 3.50    
7  CHEERING FOR LAYLA Sep07 Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 Jul03 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 124 6.00    
 
ARP-7   09/28/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD TIGHT Sep14 Apr13 Mar09 Oct13 Sep10 (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
2  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Sep14 Jun29 Jun20 May17 Apr26 (rushton stetson)CRUZ M 124 2.50    
3  REDISUR Sep20 Sep06 Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 (ibanez al)IRONEYES R 124 10.00    
4  NUMERO SIETE Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul16 Jul04 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
5  REQUISITION Aug31 Aug09 Jun01 May18 Apr19 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
6  PALACE KITTEN Sep17 Aug30 Aug17 Jul30 Jul13 (cambray andres)BAEZ M 124 15.00    
7  STUCK N SNOW Sep10 Aug23 Aug07 Jul02 Jun11 (cambray andres)BOWERS JADA 124 6.00    
8  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Aug31 Aug23 Aug16 Aug10 Jul20 (mckinney kyndra)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 11% 8.30    
9  ROSIE'S BOY Aug25 Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 May25 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  GUCCI BOY Sep10 Aug25 Jul25 Jul14 May04 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.