Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - September 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(1/3)-(1/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/2/6)-(3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(3/1)-(2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/1)-(5/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/3/4)-(2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXPRESS CRUISER Aug18 Jun23 Jun02 May19 May06 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
2  STATESBORO Aug06 Jul10 Jul02 Nov11 Sep11 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MR. PENNY PINCHER Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 4.50    
4  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Aug19 Aug04 Nov13 Oct30 Oct02 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 51% 0.90    
5  MY BUDDY B Jul04 Jun04 Oct26 Oct04 Aug24 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 119 2.00    
6  PACE Aug19 Aug11 Jun23 May27 Oct30 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALL MY LIFE Mar22 Feb28 Dec12     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00    
 
TDN-2   09/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Aug26 Aug05 Jun30 Sep03 Jul23 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  DON'T CROSS JACK Aug13 Jul03 Jun10 May06 Apr08 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
3  BROADWAY JONES May26 Jan28 Nov19 Oct22 Sep09 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC FLAG Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 May08 Oct22 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
5  MONTEREY PENINSULA Aug13 Jul17 Jun12 May13 Apr29 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 1.60    
 
TDN-3   09/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL NAUGHTY Aug21 Aug05 Jul10 May10 Apr21 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 1.00 43% 1.30    
2  SWEEPING GIANT Aug21 Aug03 Jul08 Jun21 Jun02 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 30% 2.30    
3  PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Aug07 Jun17 May22 Apr24 Apr07 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.50    
4  SERENDIPITOUS Aug29 Aug11 Apr10 Mar19 Feb26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
5  DR SCHUSTER Aug18 Jul30 Jun30 Jun10 May28 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAMBLER Aug06 Jul03 May27 Apr22 Sep11 (ccamaq)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  SMOOCHER Aug13 Jun17 May28 Mar04 Dec23 (morales m)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 18% 4.40    
3  HARSH TRUTH Jul09 Jun16 May14 Oct08 Sep18 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00    
4  GRETCHENS MANE MAN Aug12 Jul07 Feb08 Jan15 Dec19 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 115 2.50    
SCR  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Jun16 May14 Apr24 Oct03 Sep16 (johnson l)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
6  OHIO STRONG Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 Jul01 Jun16 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 5.00 8% 11.70    
 
TDN-5   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAINT THE TOWN May26 Apr09 Feb27 Feb03 Dec02 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BELLE BOTTOMS Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 Apr28 Mar20 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 3.00    
3  GENERAL MATHIS Aug14 Jul14 Jul01 Jan04 Dec26 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 121 1.60 62% 0.60    
4  CLEAN MACHINE Aug20 Jul03 Sep05 Aug10 Jul08 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
5  PARLAY CHARLIE Aug26 Jul15 Jun18 Mar03 Feb06 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
 
TDN-6   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTISSIMO Aug14 Jun21 Jun06 May09 Oct26 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  EMPIRE'S FIRE Aug14 Jul18 Jun06 May14 Nov25 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 1.80 35% 1.90    
3  DIAMOND DUST Aug14 Jul28 Jul07 Jun11 May21 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 2.00    
SCR  RED CHILI PEPPER Aug11 Jul17 Jun10 Jan16 Dec02 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 121 10.00    
5  HENRY MAC Jul15 Jun06 May14 Jan13 Nov25 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50    
 
TDN-7   09/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPO LUCA Aug20 Jul10 Jun21 Jun11 May27 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
2  JOKESTAR Aug03 Jul05 May16 Apr19 Sep29 (morey e)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
3  TATANKA Aug29 Aug20 Aug03 Jul02 Jun04 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
4  TIME TO SHOOT Aug20 Jul10 Jun12 May26 Apr30 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOREAU Aug20 Aug03 Jul10 May05 Mar13 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 1.60 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-8   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO DONT NO Aug12 Jul10 Jun17 May28 May14 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
2  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Aug27 Aug12 Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.80 34% 1.90    
3  SPIRIT OF AKRON Aug19 Aug06 Jun30 Jun12 May21 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HITE Jul10 Jun24 Jun16 May12 Apr29 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  CLEVELAND POWER Aug07 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 Jun12 (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.50    
6  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Aug06 Jun12 May22 Apr30 Mar30 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 121 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.