Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - September 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/4/2)-(8/6/1/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(8/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(8/6/1/9)-(2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-3   WIN (8/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/9)-(8/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/9)-(8/6/1/9)-(8/6/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/9)-(2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/9)-(2/6)-(2/9/6/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CNL-4   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(2/9/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(2/9/6/3)-(3/2/7/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CNL-5   WIN (2/9/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/3)-(2/9/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/3)-(2/9/6/3)-(2/9/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/6/3)-(3/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/3)-(3/2/7/8)-(7/8/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-6   WIN (3/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/8)-(7/8/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/8)-(7/8/6/3)-(5/7/11/3/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-7   WIN (7/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/6/3)-(5/7/11/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-8   WIN (5/7/11/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/11/3/9)-(5/7/11/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/11/3/9)-(5/7/11/3/9)-(5/7/11/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   09/04/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPLASH OF JACK Aug20 Aug01 Jul19 Oct11 Sep04 (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 124 4.50 13% 6.50    
2  SMOKEY RAIN Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 Feb02 Sep04 (aguirre anthon)BOYCE FOREST 124 8.00    
3  TIERRA SANTA Aug13 Aug01 Jul09 Jun22 May31 (williams gar)CASIQUE UBARDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIG EARN Aug09 Jun17 May19 Apr16 Mar13 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 54% 0.90    
5  DRIFTING Aug15 Jul23 Jun22 May09 Apr25 (cruz jesus)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 4.00    
6  HAIL NO Aug15 Jul23 Dec18 Nov08 Oct11 (payne c )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 1.60    
 
CNL-2   09/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLAGE PERSON Jul11 Mar13       (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
2  SUREMEANTTOOBE Aug08 Jun20 May24 Apr25 Mar15 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUNGLE BEAST Aug06 Jun07 May17 Apr19 Mar06 (kingsley ar)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 111 4.50    
4  UNCAPTURED WARRIOR Jul16 Jun21 Jan29 Dec14 Oct13 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 121 2.00 36% 1.70    
5  KIRIN Aug13 Jul24 Nov09 Oct05 Sep08 (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 118 4.00    
 
CNL-3   09/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAM THE SHAM Aug13         (bonifac)BRICENO GREGOR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HILL STREET JOVE out of FATE BE KIND by BLUE BUCKAROO)
SCR  FREE COSTS TO MUCH         (mcclure dia)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 30.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of GAL NEXT DOOR by LIMEHOUSE)
3  MILITARY CRUISER Aug01 Jun27 May09 May04   (vaccarezz)CAMACHO JR 124 3.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of VASILISA by SKIPSHOT)
4  SERENDIPITYMONDAY Jul25 Jun20 Feb23 Jan25 Dec21 (mcclure diana )BOYCE FOREST 121 15.00    
  (by FIRST MONDAYS out of BOHEME DE LAVI by GRAEME HALL)
5  MANSEEYASWAY Jul23 Jun29 May22 Apr11 Mar15 (mancilla osca)KARAMANOS A 121 30.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of GRIMACE by VINDICATION)
6  VIRTUOSITY Aug13 Jul24 Jun14 May26 Aug03 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 121 4.50 12% 7.60    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of SANDSARITA by STREET BOSS)
7  DANNER Jul10 Jun08 Jan12 Nov19   (bailes robe)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PIONEER QUEEN by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  REBEL WITH A CLUE (IRE) Dec13         (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by KUROSHIO out of PIVOTAL ERA by PIVOTAL (GB))
9  NOTION IN MOTION Aug13 Jun27 Feb02 Dec23   (white alexa)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of EMMA'SDIAMONDDIVA by SPRING AT LAST)
 
CNL-4   09/04/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN UNITY Aug03 Jul06 Jun26 May31 Sep17 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 ★    
2  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Aug13 Jul28 Jul03 Jun23 May21 (connelly teresa)CENTENO E 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
3  STORMING CHROME Oct19 Sep21 Aug17 Jun22 May18 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50    
4  RIGEL Aug15 Jul12 Mar07 Feb08 Dec29 (gallegos a)PANICI LUCA 122 3.50    
SCR  REGAL KINGDOM Jul07 Apr14 Mar02 Dec09 Sep30 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00    
6  CLASS PHOTO Aug15 Jul31 Jul09 Jun04 Mar28 (hester leanne)BOYCE FOREST 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  TOM HAGEN Aug15 Apr25 Nov10 Oct19 Sep04 (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 8.00    
 
CNL-5   09/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANDY VANDY (FR) Jun05 May18 Mar21 Feb16 Nov30 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 1.80    
2  MAMBO QUEEN Jul30 Jul09 Oct26 Sep11   (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.40 64% 0.60    
3  DONUT DALI Aug23 Jul10       (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAELI (FR) Aug08         (vaccarezz)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00    
SCR  SMOKE ANCHOR Aug15         (williams ga)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 30.00    
6  MOONSCAPE Aug13 Jul16 May30 Apr25 Oct03 (hemingway mich)ROSADO JOHAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAGIC MOON SPELL Aug13         (williams gar)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00    
8  HOPE DIAMOND Aug13 Jun29 May22 Jan30 Dec18 (brion keri)CENTENO E 118 5.00    
9  SUZIES PRIDE Aug01 Jul19       (hester leanne)RIQUELME J 118 12.00 9% 9.80    
 
CNL-6   09/04/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOTTOMS UP Aug20 Jun20 May22 Sep07 Jul18 (mccutchen)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
2  MAMBA MINDSET Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 May09 (capuano phil)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  VENEZUELA IS GOLD Jun14 May25 Apr18 Mar08 Jan05 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 118 4.00 46% 1.20    
4  AWESOME FANTASY Jul30 Jul19 Jun30 Oct23 Sep11 (bowersock mari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
5  INTOLERABLE Aug07 Mar19 Feb02 Jan17 Dec18 (ramos ben)CASIQUE UBARDO 121 15.00    
6  BASIC TRUTH Aug08 Jul26 Jul16 Jun12 May17 (werneth rob)HAMILTON WESTON 121 6.00    
7  PAEZ Aug14 Jul30 Jul18 Jun08 May01 (azpurua eduardo )RUIZ JORGE 121 8.00 15% 5.90    
8  CAN'T STAND DISCO Jul23 Jul15 Jun17 May19 Apr28 (payne c )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GREAT ARTIST Aug08 Jul30 Jul02 Jun07 May11 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.00    
 
CNL-7   09/04/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUMERO SEIS May01 Feb06 Jan04 Apr20 Mar03 (sharp joe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
SCR  PRECIOUS AVARY Jul05 May24 Apr19 Nov09 Oct12 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 5.00    
3  OH DARLIN Jun05 Apr04 Mar20 Feb08 Nov24 (gallegos a)PANICI LUCA 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHOSHANAH Aug22 Jul31 Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 (horlacher kyle )CENTENO E 121 5.00    
SCR  RAPIDO ROSA Aug01 Jun29 Jun15 May10 Apr19 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 20.00    
6  BAHAMIAN MOON Aug08 Jul17 Apr27 Apr12 Mar15 (lightner mary)HESS SARA 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TOP GUN GIRL Jul26 Jun27 May30 May01 Nov14 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
8  CAVALIER CUPID Aug08 Jul17 Jun07 May23 Oct20 (nagle sarah)KARAMANOS A 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
9  THE AMAZING MIZZEN Aug22 Aug02 Jun06 May17 Apr19 (cooney sus)SANCHEZ J 121 12.00    
 
CNL-8   09/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKESIDE GETAWAY Jul09 Jun14 May01 Jul21 May25 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00    
2  STELLA MARS Jun21 Jun07 Oct16 Sep04 Aug16 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.00    
3  VICTORY BADGE Aug08 Jul19 Jun19 Nov22 Oct24 (trombetta micha)CENTENO E 123 8.00 7% 14.00    
4  DULCE DESPERTAR (ARG) Jul16 May30       (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 123 30.00    
5  QUADRA Aug22 Jul19 Jun13 Nov10 Oct04 (delacour a)SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  LADY DE BERRY Jul09 Jun19 Sep13 Jul13 Jun08 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50    
7  CAIRO STREET Aug21 Jul11 Jun21 Apr18 Feb28 (gaudet lacey)BOYCE FOREST 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  STORM BAY Aug01 Jul14 Jun04 May08 Mar28 (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 123 30.00    
9  SPOTTY SHOWERS Aug22 Jul14 Jun14 May27 Nov12 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  KAKE'S TAP DANCER Jan24 Dec14 Sep08 Aug17 Jul26 (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 30.00    
11  LE TOUCHE Aug16 Jul23 Jun29 Jun13 May23 (gallegos a)PANICI LUCA 118 15.00 7% 13.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.