Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - August 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/4/6)-(2/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(2/7/5/6)-(1/4/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/6)-(1/4/6/3)-(2/7/1/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/5)-(7/3/6/5)-(4/8/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-7   WIN (7/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/5)-(7/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/5)-(7/3/6/5)-(7/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/5)-(4/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/7)-(4/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/7)-(4/8/6/7)-(4/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLY'S FLIGHT Aug01 Jul18 Oct05 Sep19 Sep04 (rodak geraldine)HERMAN NOEL 118 12.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  IMPERIOUS Jun25 Oct26 Jun26     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 1.00    
SCR  BE KOZY Jun27 May30 May09 Mar25 Feb05 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.00    
4  SAVESOMEFORME Jul24 Dec18 Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 (bates l)BUSH V 123 8.00    
5  KOZY NIGHT Jun26 Apr09 Mar06 Jan06 Nov21 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 3.00 68% 0.50    
 
BTP-2   08/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EGYPTIAN QUEST Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun28 May28 (adams l)PAULY SUMMER 120 3.00 59% 0.70    
2  DIRTY JOKE Jul19         (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 121 2.50    
3  LAVERNS LAD Mar28         (greenhill j)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THRACIAN May28 May21 Mar27 Feb14 Jan15 (fletcher kevi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50    
5  MIDNIGHT NOIR Jul31 Jul19 Jul09 Jun28 Jun05 (donjuan se)HERNANDEZ A 125 2.00    
 
BTP-3   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. MELO Jul26 Jul09 Jun27 Jun04 May09 (hernandez)CORREA L 122 2.50    
2  HALLOWEEN Jul09 Jun13 May30 May06 Feb27 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
3  MR. REDLEGS Jul30 Jul18 Jun26 May28 May16 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 5.00    
4  INSOLITO Jul26 Dec06 Oct13 Sep11 Aug20 (estvanko r)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  SERGEANT GUMP Feb05 Jan17 Dec20 Dec07 Nov15 (decker ann)HERNANDEZ N 122 12.00    
6  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Jan23 Jan13 Dec11 Nov25 Nov13 (brafford miche)JURADO EDDIE 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
 
BTP-4   08/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JARLIAN Aug01 Jul01 May30 May15 May08 (quinones r)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 10.00    
2  BOBBY'S GIFT Jul16 Jun25 May21 May08 Mar22 (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  BASSCOAT Jul26 Jul08 Jun19 May06 Jan01 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 123 5.00    
4  TAKE CHARGE D'ORO Aug01 Jul16 Jun19 Jun05 May15 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 8.00    
5  CASANOVA KITTEN Jul18 Jul04 May21 May03 Mar07 (radosevich ja)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00 13% 6.50    
6  FEELTHEBEAT Aug02 Jul04 Jun26 Jun11 May21 (quinones ra)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PINEDALE Jul24 Jul01 Nov12 Sep25 Aug26 (canani ni)CORREA L 123 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
BTP-5   08/15/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST ACT Jun30 Mar08 Feb09 Jan08 Dec07 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  WE GOT THIS Jul23 Jul10 Jun28 Jun13 Apr06 (curto beve)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 15.00    
3  DISMISS         (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  STAY FROSTY Jul23 Jul04 Feb22 Feb08 Dec19 (williams colb)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 3.50 13% 6.80    
5  SCOVILLE Jul04 Mar08 Feb14 Jan23 Dec19 (mcguire l)ELLIOTT JANE 121 10.00    
6  FORT BULL Aug01 Jul04 Oct06     (rodriquez r)FIGUEROA SERGIO 125 4.00 13% 6.80    
7  HANDSOME RASCAL Jul09 Jun26 Mar14 Feb12 Jan04 (beck rowena)OUZTS W 125 8.00    
8  RANCHO         (hernandez)CORREA L 121 4.50    
 
BTP-6   08/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKLY MY DEAR Jul24 Jul05 Sep27 Sep12 Aug28 (ocasio osva)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 10.00 19% 4.30    
2  FONDRE Jul30 Jul12 Jun10 May20 Mar28 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 4.00 21% 3.80    
3  LIGEIA Jul02 Jun19 May29 May10 Mar26 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 5.00    
4  READY SET ADIOS Jul24 Jun19 May28 Feb27 Jan29 (bush s)BUSH V 123 3.00    
5  YEHAWMEMAW Mar31 Mar22 Feb28 Feb03 Jan15 (short thomas)MURGIA A 123 15.00 15% 5.70    
6  LONIE MO Jun27 Jun12 May23 May15 Apr23 (danner do)CORREA L 123 2.00    
7  MT. D'ORO Jul26 Jul04 May22 Apr05 Mar16 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
BTP-7   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLE'S DANCER Jul17 Jun05 May11 Apr23 Mar22 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00    
2  RETAIL THERAPY Jul19 May28 May07 Apr23 Mar28 (blevins billy)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 6.00    
3  BURNING PINE Jul11 May17 Apr12 Apr26   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.80 24% 3.10    
4  VOTARY Jul04 Jun21 Aug29 Aug03 Jul17 (quezada in)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 5.00    
5  STANDBYFORTAKEOFF Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 Jun06 May22 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  TALLY'S RIVER Jun21 Jun24 Apr14 Nov05 Oct10 (lopez a)DIAZ CESAR 118 12.00 7% 13.90    
7  SMART WITH HEART Jun21 Jun06 May17 Apr23 Mar20 (bahena is)CORREA L 123 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
BTP-8   08/15/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Oct22 Oct14 Sep24 Aug08 Jul17 (chain pearl)BUSH V 123 20.00    
2  APRIL ASTER Dec02         (clark lee)DIAZ CESAR 118 15.00    
3  POINT OF REFUGE Jul17 Jun27 Jun05 May21 May07 (quinones )BERMUDEZ E 119 10.00    
4  BARBARINA Jul04 Jun11 Nov24 Oct25 Sep16 (jazdzewski)HERNANDEZ N 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  BLANK SPACE BABY Aug02 Jul19 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 (rivera xavi)JIMENEZ J 119 4.00    
6  WORTHIER Jul16 Feb01       (ward a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 14% 5.90    
7  FROSTY AFFAIR May31 Aug24 Feb14     (wells duane)MOJICA JR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  LIL TEMPTATION Aug02 Jul19 Mar04 Jan25 Dec23 (quinones ra)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 5.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  LITURGIA Jul04 Oct23 Oct04 Sep13 Aug14 (alessi ja)CORREA L 123 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.