Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(5/9/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(5/9/8/2)-(3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/8/2)-(5/9/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/9/8/2)-(5/9/8/2)-(5/9/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/8/2)-(3/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/9/8/2)-(3/6/5)-(2/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(2/8/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(2/8/5)-(5/6/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/5)-(5/6/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5)-(5/6/2/1)-(5/9/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/1)-(5/9/6/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/1)-(5/9/6/3)-(5/6/9/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/9/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/3)-(5/9/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/3)-(5/9/6/3)-(5/9/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/6/3)-(5/6/9/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6/3)-(5/6/9/7)-(8/4/7/9/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/9/7)-(5/6/9/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/6/9/7)-(5/6/9/7)-(5/6/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/9/7)-(8/4/7/9/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/4/7/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/9/6)-(8/4/7/9/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/9/6)-(8/4/7/9/6)-(8/4/7/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIFT EXCHANGE Nov29 Oct31 Oct11 Aug17 Jul21 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 125 4.50    
2  SHANNONIA         (connelly teres)ALLEN D 125 8.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  GOGGINS         (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 4.00    
4  ARTICLE Jul13 Jun07 May16     (rice linda)SPIETH S 120 1.60    
5  CHANNEL KING Jul23 Jun18 Nov01 Jun26 Feb07 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NICOLE'S WILL Jul04 Jun07 Apr11 Sep20 Aug27 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
PID-2   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIZ WHIZ Jul24 Jun15 Dec11 Sep12   (mcclellan eri)ROJAS MARTINA 120 12.00    
2  VANILLA CREAM Jul10 May29 May08 Apr24 Mar27 (dickey k)RODRIGUEZ O 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  N K P ONE Jul28         (schaber debbi)DELGADO DAVID 120 15.00    
SCR  FILLYRULES Jul28 Jul04 Jun25 Jun10   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 125 5.00    
5  NUN GIMEL HAY PO Jul14 Jun30 Jun11 May21 May03 (potts g)AYALA J 125 3.50 51% 1.00    
6  RIVERS RUN RED Jul14 May29 Jan08 Dec17 Nov20 (pappada mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 12.00    
7  MY ANGEL DOES Jul28 Jul14 Jun02 Mar01 Feb12 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 120 10.00    
8  NEVER ENOUGH Apr05 Sep27       (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 3.50 11% 7.80    
9  RAVEN DANCE Jul14 Jun25 Jun06 Nov14 Oct26 (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 13% 6.80    
 
PID-3   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACE DOWN Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 Oct21 Oct08 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 125 4.00    
2  THORN OF HEARTS Jul22 Jul03 Jun11 May21 Oct15 (miller d)ALLEN D 123 6.00    
3  MOR SPRING SPIRIT Jul29 Jun30 Jun18 May28 May19 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 1.60 56% 0.80    
4  JIMMY THE HAT Jul23 Jul02 Jun10 Apr10 Dec29 (gilmartin br)ALENCAR WALBER 123 4.50    
5  REELED IN Jul04 Jan18 Oct15 Sep04 Jul29 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHADOW FACTOR Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 May21 Apr26 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
PID-4   08/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Oct24 Oct09 Sep23 Aug28 Aug13 (antus lawrence)GARCIA F 123 15.00    
2  WHISPERING SEA Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Apr12 Mar28 (ccamaque)RODRIGUEZ O 125 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  WHATS GOIN ON Mar02 Jan18 Dec04 Nov24 Nov10 (gotera juan )AYALA J 123 4.50    
4  TOOTSIE TOES Jul30 Mar24 Feb27 Jan15 Dec10 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 123 8.00    
5  GOTHAM GRAY Aug05 Jun24 Jun02 Feb28 Feb03 (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VANILLA BEAN Jul15 May27 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 123 6.00    
7  VICOUNTESS Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 Mar27 Feb21 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 123 3.00    
SCR  CUPID MISSED Jul22 Jul07 Oct17 Sep24 Aug28 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
PID-5   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($27.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACE Jun23 May27 Oct30 Oct03 Sep22 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROCKET DRAGON Jul22 Jul03 Jun02 Apr05 Mar19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 125 3.50 14% 6.20    
3  SAINT GOAR Jul28 Jul02 Jun04 Apr05 Mar10 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 123 6.00    
4  SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Jul28 Jul02 Oct03 Aug06 Jul10 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 4.50    
5  TODDCHERO Jul28 Jul07 Jun04 May01 Apr10 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  IBRIM Jul23 Jul02 Jun09 Oct17 Oct06 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
7  DOWAGIAC CHIEF Jul23 Jun10 May28 Sep16 Aug21 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 123 6.00    
 
PID-6   08/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY LEADER Jul28 Jul04 Jun17 May28 Oct16 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 123 20.00    
2  BURNING LEAVES Jul29 Jul13 Jun28 May09 Mar14 (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
3  COX CANYON Jun11 May26 May02 Apr02 Mar12 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MR TITO'S Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 Jun11 Mar22 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 15.00    
5  BURNIN TURF Jul14 Jul03 May21 Mar29 Mar07 (arriagada jua)MORALES PABLO 123 1.80 55% 0.80    
6  SAMARITANO Jul28 Jul03 Jun11 Apr25 Mar30 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  SECRETARY OF WAR Jul04 Jun23 May27 Oct24 Oct10 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 123 8.00    
SCR  EXTRA MEDIUM Jul29 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May19 (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00    
9  CASTAGNO Jul28 Jul07 Jun24 May31 May22 (brooks e)MARTINEZ W 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
PID-7   08/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Avery Whisman Memorial Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Jul28 Jul03 Jun23 May21 Mar30 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 119 8.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
2  BIG TO DO Jun08 May11 Feb22 Jan29 Dec28 (wismer glenn)AYALA J 123 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TELL ME AGAIN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3  REGALO Jul18 Jun21 May03 Feb28 Dec27 (russell)DE CRUZ 121 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PERFECT BOURBON by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  ANAMNESTIC Aug06 Mar29 Feb15 Jan18 Nov30 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SELECTIVE MEMORY by MALIBU MOON)
5  FOREVER SOUPER Jun21 May24 May03 Mar30 Nov16 (trombett)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MIGHTY SOUPER by WAR FRONT)
6  GROUNDED Jun23 May28 Jan26 Dec14 Oct24 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HOME RULE by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  SURLY FURIOUS Jul09 May19 Apr08 Feb23 Feb01 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
8  HE'S A MESS Jul21 Jul09 Jun16 Oct24 Oct14 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 121 6.00    
  (by DRAMEDY out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
9  TWILIGHT DANCER Jul21 Jun16 Oct24 Sep20 Aug21 (arriagada jua)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 7% 13.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of MOONLIGHT BASIN by EUROSILVER)
 
PID-8   08/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLDIERESS Jul23 Jul08 Jun02 Apr06 Mar22 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 10.00    
2  KAGERO Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 Oct10 Sep23 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 123 20.00    
3  ONE SPECIAL ACT Jul29 Jul13 Jun26 Jun06 May22 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 15.00    
4  SUGAR TREAT May22 Mar21 Dec27 Aug25 Jul27 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
5  FIRST FORAY Jul23 Jul15 Jun16 May20 Jan03 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 123 4.00    
6  KEEP IN TOUCH Jul30 Jun25 Jun04 Feb22 Feb01 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CANDI GIRL Jan30 Dec19 Nov16 Oct18 Aug30 (kulp brandon )ROJAS MARTINA 123 8.00 13% 6.50    
8  MOMENTOUS MISS Jul23 Jun23 Jun02 Oct17 Oct01 (cobb marga)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
9  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Jul23 Jul08 Jan03 Nov08 Sep25 (rojas murray)BELISARIO JUAN 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  JAZZ TIME GIRL Jul23 Jun09 May21 Aug14 Aug06 (morrell )RODRIGUEZ O 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.