Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Sunday - July 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/4)-(6/2/5) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
FE-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/2/5)-(3/4/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-3   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(3/4/1)-(7/2/1/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(7/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(7/2/1/4)-(3/7/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (7/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/4)-(3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/4)-(3/7/5)-(5/4/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-6   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WOLF BEACH Jul08 Jun10 May11 Apr26 Apr04 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.50    
2  OK SPEEDY Jun27 Jun08 May30 Nov08 Oct17 (adamo anthon)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 1.80    
3  SCREEN LEGEND Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 Dec15 Nov30 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00    
4  STAR SCHOLAR Jul07 Jun24 Jun10 Dec13 Nov17 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 66% 0.50    
5  THE DREAM LISTENER Jul07 Jun10 May23 May11   (tomlin)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   07/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE'S MOMMY Jul19 Jun28 May31     (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.50    
  (by SILENT NAME out of CLEMENTIS by PERIGEE MOON)
SCR  ALMASTY'S PRIDE Jul08 Jun03       (machesne)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00    
  (by ALMASTY out of JADA'S PRIDE by SAFFIR)
3  CA BAM Jul08 Jun07 May18 Nov30 Oct19 (rabste)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of ONE SHOT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
4  FROMTHEWONDERLAND Jun30 Jun12       (butt)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of NO WONDER by THREE WONDERS)
5  MEDAGLIA FOREVER Aug19 Nov19 Oct22 Jun24 Apr29 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 1.40 71% 0.40    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FOREVER UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
FE-3   07/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLE ALEXA Jun29 May23       (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
2  TOWN'S A BREEZE Jul07 Jun15 May27 Jul07 Feb12 (agostino roy )PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
3  LEZIATE Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 May27 May10 (husb)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.00    
4  SILENT PASSION Jul08 Jun10 Nov14 Oct31 Oct05 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.00    
5  MAIKEN THE VIKING Jul07 Jun23 Oct21 Oct14 Oct01 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BRILLIANT DISGUISE Jul07 Jun10 May11 Apr22 Feb26 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
FE-4   07/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WET AND WILD Jul08 Jun27 May30 May11 Apr18 (capi m)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BELLA FUTURE Jul13 Jun15 May29 May18 Apr06 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00    
3  SHAKOO MAKOO Jul08 Jun15 Nov23 Nov01 Oct08 (alderson antho)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
4  TRULY MISCHIEF Jun30 Jun03 Oct22 Sep24 Sep09 (willia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
5  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Jun30 May25 May04 Apr12 Mar29 (husbands ant)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 10.00    
6  GRAINGER COUNTY Jun13 Oct22 Oct13 Sep20 Aug13 (adamo anthon)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 1.80    
 
FE-5   07/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS JUST MONEY Jul18 Jun26 Jun13 May23 Apr27 (tomlinson norm)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 11% 8.10    
2  SHORT STORY LONG Jul07 Jun24 May23 May11 Dec08 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 4.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  HAPPY QUAD Jun27 Jun08 May17 Dec13 Nov24 (wil)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 6.00    
4  CANADIAN AVRO Jul08 Jun05 May18 May04 Apr27 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 122 12.00 9% 10.20    
5  LE GRAND GARCON Jul07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep02 Aug12 (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 8.00    
6  IF YOU INSIST Jul07 Jun24 Apr27 Dec08 Nov24 (fourni)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50    
7  GRAN SPIRITED Jun03 Aug17 Jul21 Jun21 May26 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
FE-6   07/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILENT TRIBUTE Jul20 Jul03 Jun05 Sep26 Sep13 (dunslow mike )PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00    
2  LOADED SECRET Jul14 Jul01 Nov01 Oct01 Sep09 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00    
3  HERMIONE GRANGER Jul01 Jul30 May28 Sep26 Aug29 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  MISTY POINT Jul14 Jul01 Jun10 May27 Sep15 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
5  BAD ZEZE Oct22 Sep16 Jul29 Jul22 Jul07 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FULCRA Jul01 Jun15 Jun03 Oct15 Sep30 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 12.00    
7  MO TWILIGHT Jun15 May11 Apr21 Feb04 Jan07 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
FE-7   07/27/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEVELOPING THE WAY Jul08 Nov01 Sep20 Sep02 Jul20 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 15.00    
SCR  RESCUE THAT GIRL Jul08 Oct01 May31 May17   (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 2.50    
SCR  HARDWARE GAP Jul13 Jun24 Nov08 Oct18 Sep13 (agostino roy )DAVID MICHAEL 120 20.00    
4  BOSTON BAY Jul13 Jun23 Jun10 May27 Nov25 (smith r)MAILHOT P 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
5  ROOKIE RADAR Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 Nov01 Oct18 (chubb beverle)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  DEFOGGER Jul08 Jun23 Jun03 Oct22 Oct14 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00    
7  FAST AND READY Jul08 Jun13 May30 Dec15 Dec01 (will)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
8  CANTUCCI Jul18 Jun26 Dec06 Nov01 Oct18 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
9  CONNECT IT Jul14 Jul01 Jun23 Jun10 May20 (robillard jo)HUSBANDS TERRY 117 8.00    
10  FOREST FLASH Jul07 Jun10 Oct22 Oct07 Oct01 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.