Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Friday - July 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (1/2/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/10/4)-(1/2/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/10/4)-(1/2/10/4)-(1/2/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/10/4)-(6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/10/4)-(6/7/1)-(7/5/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(7/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(7/5/1/2)-(2/9/4/10/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-3   WIN (7/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/2)-(2/9/4/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/2)-(2/9/4/10/3)-(5/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CNL-4   WIN (2/9/4/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/10/3)-(2/9/4/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/10/3)-(2/9/4/10/3)-(2/9/4/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/4/10/3)-(5/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4/10/3)-(5/2)-(6/4/2/9/10) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
CNL-5   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(6/4/2/9/10) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(6/4/2/9/10)-(3/12/7/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CNL-6   WIN (6/4/2/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/9/10)-(6/4/2/9/10/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/9/10)-(6/4/2/9/10/11)-(6/4/2/9/10/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (6/4/2/9/10)-(3/12/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/9/10)-(3/12/7/5)-(5/4/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (3/12/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/12/7/5)-(3/12/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/12/7/5)-(3/12/7/5)-(3/12/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/12/7/5)-(5/4/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/12/7/5)-(5/4/12)-(5/1/11) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-8   WIN (5/4/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/12)-(5/4/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/12)-(5/4/12)-(5/4/12) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/12)-(5/1/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CNL-9   WIN (5/1/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/11)-(5/1/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/11)-(5/1/11)-(5/1/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   07/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLANCING MY WAY         (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
KNICKOLETTA         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
LIPS Jun28         (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 119 30.00    
DYE PACK         (cooney su)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00 5% 17.50    
KINDA KRAZY         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 119 15.00    
THIRST FOR HOPE Jul02         (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 119 5.00    
SCR  ZIRCONIA         (mcmahon h)HERNANDEZ F 119 20.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD MISCHIEF         (figgins oll)HAMILTON WESTON 119 8.00    
ONLY MARIA         (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 15.00    
10  TUSH PUSH         (arce josue)SANCHEZ J 119 4.50 8% 12.00    
 
CNL-2   07/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Edward Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUDDY BUDDY Jun26 May22 May08 Mar13 Feb28 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 20% 3.90    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of FRANCEY DANCEY by CONGAREE)
SCR  STREET HOCKEY Dec11 Nov08 Oct17 Oct06 Jun23 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of CHABESO by DISTORTED HUMOR)
REGGAE MAN Jun21 Jun06 Jan19 Dec05 Nov10 (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 122 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MOONLIGHT LADY by MALIBU MOON)
GETTIN'DOWNONIT Jul04 Jun13 Oct18 Aug29 Jul20 (beecher mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 12.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of CAPE TOWN WOMAN by JOHANNESBURG)
REPO ROCKS Jun13 May17 May04 Apr04 Mar14 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 1.20    
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
KING COVEE Jun12 May02 Dec27 Nov08 Oct20 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 1.80 23% 3.40    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of REGAL ROMA by REGAL RANSOM)
SENDERO Jun27 May03 Mar07 Feb14 Jan17 (sanchez j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TRISHAS EVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
CNL-3   07/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR WORLD ROCKS         (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of BLACK CORONAS by CURLIN)
MIDNIGHT TICKET         (flores ir)CARRASCO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORTUNE TICKET out of MIDNIGHT LUKE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  ANTRAX         (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of IM CRUISING DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
COCO NO LOCO         (galligan ge)HAMILTON WESTON 119 10.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of CLASSY COCO by NOT FOR LOVE)
CHANNEL THE MUSIC Jun22         (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of EMPRESS ELEANOR by EMPIRE MAKER)
SWERVE         (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00    
  (by LIL E. TEE out of HAWAIIAN QUERY by HAWAII)
AMERICAN TAPIT         (correas ignac)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 2.00 38% 1.70    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BY THE HOUR by TAPIT)
BEYBE BETO Jun29 Jun20 May31     (vazquez jose)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BANSHEE BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
 
CNL-4   07/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONLIT FROST Jun27 Jun07 Feb28 Jan24 Dec21 (dilodovico )HAMILTON WESTON 119 8.00    
PAEZ Jun08 May01 Apr13 Jun27 Apr28 (azpurua )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
HABANA BOY May30 May03 Apr13 Mar23 Jan31 (munoz carlos)CURTIS BEN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHEAR MAGIC Dec11 Nov24 Nov01 Aug03 Jul15 (kelly blake)RUIZ JORGE 124 4.50 12% 7.40    
WORLD ON FIRE Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 Dec20 Dec01 (peacock roy)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 30.00    
PRINSIPITO Jun01 May03 Apr13 Aug17 Aug01 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
ROYAL FLUSH HEARTS Jun28 Jun07 Apr27     (peacock m)KARAMANOS A 119 20.00    
MAMBA MINDSET Jun27 May09 Apr19 Apr04 Mar22 (capuano)BRICENO GREGOR 119 6.00    
HEAD OF THE CLASS Jun27 Jun08 May01 Apr05 Jan10 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 12% 7.20    
10  FLY COMMANDER Jun01 May15 Apr27 Mar19 Feb15 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 15.00 8% 11.50    
11  OJIN Apr23 Mar21 Mar02 Dec27 Dec13 (azpurua eduardo)CENTENO E 119 20.00    
 
CNL-5   07/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Punch Line Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBOLDEN Jun08 Oct19 Oct10 Aug19 Jul15 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 122 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SILVER HEART by LION HEARTED)
STORMY FLIGHT Jun15 May17 Nov09 Oct20 Oct04 (smith hamilton )CENTENO E 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
  (by GET STORMY out of SUBURB by CITY ZIP)
MOON FACTOR Mar22 Feb06 Jan05 Dec13 Sep28 (ochoa gerard)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOONLIGHT LADY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  VIRGINIA FITZ Jun14 Oct20 Oct04 Aug31 Jul25 (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 118 8.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of FALSEHOOD by AWESOME AGAIN)
SHOWSTOPPER COPPER Jan28 Jan03 Nov27 Oct30 Sep07 (lingenfelter tho)CURTIS BEN 122 10.00 43% 1.30    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SANTIN'S ANNA by CONCORD POINT)
SCR  DETERMINED KINGDOM Jun21 May17 Apr19 Oct25 Oct05 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 0.80    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of FILIA by FOREVER SPARKLE)
SCR  KING COVEE Jun12 May02 Dec27 Nov08 Oct20 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 4.50    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of REGAL ROMA by REGAL RANSOM)
SCR  BUDDY BUDDY Jun26 May22 May08 Mar13 Feb28 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of FRANCEY DANCEY by CONGAREE)
WAR HUMOR Jun14 May16 Apr25 Jan24 Dec18 (figgins ollie )BOYCE FOREST 118 30.00    
  (by MOSLER out of HOLYWOOD HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CNL-6   07/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUISETHEFOREST         (flores ir)CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FOREST DIVA by FORESTRY)
GRACE MET CUPID         (ramos ben)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUPID out of I'VE GOT GRACE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
NO MORE CALLS Jul03 Jun07       (bonifac)BRICENO GREGOR 119 30.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of STORMY LOVE AFFAIR by STORMY ATLANTIC)
LONGHI         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of LOVELY MOMENT by EQUAL STRIPES)
ELEOS         (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVERLY PLACE by AWESOME AGAIN)
KUNG FOO         (barbazon)GALLARDO A 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SAPPHIRE MINE by MINESHAFT)
NOAHS PRIDE         (munoz carlos)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of SWEET CHANTAL by SNOW RIDGE)
GOLF CART RYDER         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of BEACON OF TRUTH by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
THIS IS THE LIFE         (jones micha)HAMILTON WESTON 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of QUEEN'S FATE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
10  GOODLUCK ROAD         (boniface ke)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAGDAD ROAD out of INTERCIVET by INTERCO)
11  RICHEZTOO         (duffy sean)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of MADAME DUBOIS by COUNT DUBOIS)
 
CNL-7   07/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVE SAGA Jun26 Sep13 Aug12 Jul20 May25 (mcdermott sean)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50    
SCR  RADIANT TONES Jun15 May26 Apr27 Oct24 Oct03 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 118 1.60    
MISS BANKS Jun07 Apr17 Mar20 Feb09   (kelly blake)KARAMANOS A 118 4.50 41% 1.40    
IRISH B GOODE Jun08 Apr11 Mar14 Feb28 Oct24 (mcclure dia)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 30.00    
HERMOSO MOMENTO Jun15         (willia)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
LOUVAR May08 Feb28       (foley barry)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
SPICE GAL May02 Sep05 Aug22 Jul27   (flores ir)CARRASCO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PROMAJA Jun10 Apr25 Apr06 Dec28 Nov17 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 124 10.00    
WINDIN ROAD Jun15 May09       (aguirre antho)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00    
SCR  WORKING ON IT May03 Jan18 Oct24 Sep06 Aug16 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00    
11  MILLE MCCALL Jun08         (saville niall)PEREZ XAVIER 118 20.00    
12  SILLY LILY Jun07 Nov05 Sep08 Aug10 Aug02 (boucher lil)HAMILTON WESTON 124 15.00 36% 1.80    
 
CNL-8   07/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J Z'S LAST SCHANCE Jun28 Jun13 Apr19 Feb19 Jan19 (wolfen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  WISE AND ELEGANT May17 Dec26 Nov08 Oct20 Sep14 (cibelli jane)CURTIS BEN 122 10.00    
MO HYPE Jun27 May25 Feb22 Feb01 Oct26 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 15.00    
PROUD DIVI Jun28 Jun09 May21 Apr11 Mar22 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
LEVIGATA Jun11         (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00 30% 2.30    
LAILA BELLA GIRL Jun12 May17 May02 Apr04 Sep15 (braddy david)CENTENO E 122 15.00    
SCR  MAKE A MILLION May20 Mar26 Mar13 Feb23 Feb06 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
SCR  SWEETERTHANWHISKEY Jun29 Jun14 Dec13 Nov28 Nov08 (andread)BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00    
GIVE LIFE Oct04 Sep08 Aug15     (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 118 4.50    
SCR  WORTH A DIME Jun22 May23       (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 120 4.00    
SCR  SUGAR BEE Jun29 Jun07 Apr27 Jan23 Jan04 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
12  SILVER TRINKET Jun14 Mar07 Jan17 Nov30 Sep21 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  BABY BLOCKS Jun07 May29 Apr18 Mar09 Feb09 (kelly blake)RUIZ JORGE 122 15.00    
SCR  ITHINKILOVEYOU Jun13 May11 Apr25 Apr11 Mar08 (farrior )GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
SCR  FREE TO ROAM Jun12 May17 May02 Apr10 Sep28 (klesaris steve)RUIZ JORGE 124 10.00    
SCR  PATRIA Oct31 Oct10 Sep13 Aug08 Jul18 (salazar marco)RODRIGUEZ YAN 115 15.00    
 
CNL-9   07/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN SURGE Jun14 May11 Apr11 Mar21 Mar02 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  GREAT ARTIST Jul02 Jun07 May11     (capuano phill)KARAMANOS A 118 30.00    
SCR  THE COUNT IS ON May27 Dec06 Oct23 Aug21 Aug01 (cooney sus)SANCHEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  GOTTA HAVE A GUY Oct25 Sep28 Sep04 Aug13   (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 118 30.00    
DEADPAN May24 Apr06 Mar15 Jan03 Dec07 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
JUST FOR GIGGLES Jun21 Jun06 Mar20 Feb14 Dec22 (dilodovi)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00    
SCR  GAMBLIN GEORGE Jun12 May07 Jun16 May30 Apr24 (kelley j)GALLARDO A 123 4.50    
SCR  BETTER WATCH IT Jun14 Apr25 Nov29 Oct18 Sep29 (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00    
MEISTERSINGER May09 Apr18 Mar12 Oct20 Sep07 (casse mark)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00    
10  PUBLICITY Jul03 May30 May01 Apr10 Mar07 (londono gen)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 5.00    
11  GRYPHON Jun22 Feb15 Jan26 Jan04   (casse mark)HUSBANDS J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KUNOOZ Jun21 Jun14 May11 Apr16 Mar19 (magee kie)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.