Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - July 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(2/4)-(6/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(6/2/5)-(6/1/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(6/1/9)-(4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/9)-(6/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/9)-(6/1/9)-(6/1/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(1/5/7)-(7/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(7/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (7/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/8)-(7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/18/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZURE SKY Jul02 Jun04 May10 Apr23 Apr06 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 3.50    
2  WHERE IS LISA Jul02 May29 May22 May10 Apr26 (antonuik j)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
3  MASON A. P. Jun26 Jun04 May21 May10 Mar27 (hill f)BRYAN KERRY 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  FEELTHEBEAT Jul04 Jun26 Jun11 May21 May08 (ortiz-ruiz )FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 2.50    
5  CASANOVA KITTEN Jul04 May21 May03 Mar07 Feb07 (radosevich ja)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 1.60 51% 1.00    
 
BTP-2   07/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WITH FULL HONORS Jun28 Jun14 Sep17     (meah m)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 1.40    
2  GHOST NATION Jun13 May08 Apr13 Mar05 Dec21 (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 123 3.00 54% 0.80    
3  BOURBON STATE Jul09 Jun13 Apr29 Mar27 Feb27 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 114 2.50    
4  PERMIT TO CARRY Jul01 Jun18 May28 May07 Apr22 (ortiz-ruiz car)JURADO EDDIE 119 6.00    
5  ONLY THE GOOD Jun28 May28 May08 Mar21 Jan30 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00 9% 9.70    
 
BTP-3   07/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Jim Morgan Memorial Tah Dah Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC VISION Jun25         (cline c)MCKEE J 118 4.00    
  (by DYNAFORMER out of INSIGHT TO HOPE by COPELAN)
2  KONTIKI May26 Apr23       (cox bra)DE CRUZ 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
3  MISS ELECKTRA Jun17         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of FORCE OF PASSION by LIMEHOUSE)
4  KERKYRA Jul03 Jun21       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CORFU out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
5  BLUE TAIL FLY Jul03         (cowans willia)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 2.50 ★    
  (by VEKOMA out of VERTRAZZO by TRAPPE SHOT)
 
BTP-4   07/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH GLORIOUS DAY Oct21 Sep28 Aug31 Jul08 Jun13 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 5.00    
2  PRINCESS ELLIE Jun18 Aug03 Jun22 Jun07 May15 (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 123 2.00 15% 5.70    
3  ARTISTIC LANEY Jul02 Jun21 May08 Oct26 Sep28 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.00    
4  DESDEMONA KAY Jun28 Jun12 Oct03 Sep04 Aug15 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 4.50    
5  CARLY'S FLIGHT Oct05 Sep19 Sep04 Jul27 Jul12 (rodak geraldine)HERMAN NOEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUCKEYE CRUISER May22 Apr24 Oct05 Sep18 Sep03 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
BTP-5   07/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Horizon Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST LIKE RAMBO Jun06 May21 May03 Dec19 Sep20 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of UKNOWI'MBUSY by CONCORD POINT)
SCR  RUN VINICIUS Jun20         (ocasio )PILARES P 116 15.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of CLASSY KATHERINE by OLD FORESTER)
3  PARLAY Jun27 Jun06 May12 Dec19 Nov25 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
SCR  SO THAT'S THAT Jun21 May28 May07 Feb11 Jan15 (poole m)AVILES YAN 116 8.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of FAIRWAY SALLY by STRONG MANDATE)
5  CORFU FIGHTING Jul01 May22       (greenhi)DE CRUZ 116 5.00    
  (by CORFU out of RITZY ROSE by HAT TRICK)
6  RONNIS SECOND WIND Jun25 Jan15 Dec19 Nov27 Nov12 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 116 4.50 46% 1.20    
  (by INDY WIND out of RONNI'S SECRET by SUN KING)
SCR  SMOKIN JOE Jun25 Jun04 Apr30 Apr10 Sep20 (rone mike)RIVERA R 116 10.00    
  (by MOBIL out of NEVERGONNAHAPPEN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  MUSIC JEWEL Jul10 Jun21 Jun06 May02 Apr13 (mendieta alej)JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 12.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of SHANGHAI JEWEL by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
9  COLONEL COOPER Jul11 Jun12 May28 May14 May03 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
 
BTP-6   07/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. REDLEGS Jun26 May28 May16 Oct19 Sep22 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 125 5.00    
SCR  THAT'S THE WAY Mar19 Feb26 Dec18 Nov25 Sep26 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00    
3  BIG TRUCK Jun21 Jun02 May16 Dec18 Nov25 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 3.00 ★    
4  EMPIRE'S FIRE Jun06 May14 Nov25 Oct26 Aug29 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 1.40 67% 0.50    
5  RED HEAD KID Jul05 May03 Mar30 Mar03 Feb10 (orantes yoni )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00    
6  MR. BALI Jul03 May14 May03 Mar19 Feb26 (evans mic)CORREA L 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   07/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Hoover Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN THE BUCKEYE         (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 116 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by YAUPON out of FEISTY TOMBOY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  MARK MY WORDS Jul03         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.50 ★    
  (by APTITUDE out of BALL GOWN by TWIRLING CANDY)
3  MOONLIGHTER Jul03         (gorham )PILARES P 116 12.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of DRILLIT by DRILL)
4  NO MORE CENTS         (mcpeek kennet)CANNON DECLAN 116 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of KAJAWA by CROSS TRAFFIC)
5  WORKSTATION Jul03         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00 28% 2.60    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of JUMPIN JETT by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  ULTIMATE DESTINATN May24         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
7  RUN BOBBY RUN Jul03         (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of BESIDE STILL WATER by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  WATER INTO WINE Jun07         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 3.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of INTERCOASTAL by GEMOLOGIST)
 
BTP-8   07/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Vivacious Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GIRL KEW Jun21 May23 May08 Apr10 Mar01 (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 125 5.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS KEW by CATIENUS)
2  CARMEL ROSE Jul05 Jun06 May22 May08 Apr11 (stephen antho)JIMENEZ ALBIN 114 8.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BEAUTIFUL WIFE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
SCR  MIESHA Jul14 Jun03 Apr28 Mar30 Mar21 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 121 12.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CUPCAKE TATE by THE FACTOR)
SCR  FACTISIMFLASHY Jul03 Jun06 May17 May03 Nov14 (antonuik j)HERNANDEZ A 125 4.50    
  (by CORFU out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  HERE'S THE SPIDER Jul06 Jun11 May23 Dec14 Oct26 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 125 3.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
6  WORK'N ON A BUZZ Jun26 Jun04 May08 Apr02 Nov27 (gorham )PILARES P 123 10.00 11% 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
7  GENEROUS LOVER Jun29 Jun06 May03 Oct26 Oct03 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 125 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
8  LIONISTIC Jun09 May20 Oct26 Sep23 Sep05 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of RACE LADY by BERNARDINI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.