Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Friday - July 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(4/1/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(4/1/8)-(7/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/8)-(4/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/8)-(7/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8)-(7/5/2)-(3/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(3/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(3/1/4)-(7/5/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(7/5/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(7/5/1/6)-(7/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/6)-(7/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/6)-(7/2/3)-(1/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(1/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(1/6/4)-(8/12/6/1/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(8/12/6/1/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/12/6/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/12/6/1/7)-(8/12/6/1/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/12/6/1/7)-(8/12/6/1/7)-(8/12/6/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   07/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALFIN Jun17 Apr26 Mar28 Feb28 Nov30 (humphrie)MARTINEZ A 120 2.50    
  (by FLATTER out of SPLASH HIT by FLOWER ALLEY)
WORTH A BUNDLE Jun03 Apr03 Mar13     (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 120 4.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SLEW OF MONEY by OCALA SLEW)
SOUPER ROLL Jun17 May31       (trombett)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of GIANT CATS EYE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
COTTAGE GARDEN May28 May03 Mar19 Feb22 Jan24 (harty eoin)POSTON K 110 1.80 54% 0.80    
  (by FROSTED out of COUNTRY CHARM by DEHERE)
PINCARA May19         (campbell anth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARACARO out of FANCY PINSTRIPES by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
THRILLSWITHNOBILLS Jun09 May19 Apr28     (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 125 10.00 21% 3.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MECKE'S MADALYN by DESERT PARTY)
 
PID-2   07/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY LEADER Jun17 May28 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (potts g)SPIETH S 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO May27 Oct24 Aug27 Jul26 May24 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.00    
SECRETARY OF WAR Jun23 May27 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 (kintz matthe)MARIN SAMUEL 125 5.00    
CLASSIC KING Jun17 May26 Apr27 Apr12 Mar12 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 32% 2.20    
CHICO CHARLIE Jun06 May08 Apr11 Mar21 Feb27 (vargas a)MORALES PABLO 123 8.00    
SCR  SMILE BRYAN Jun23 Jun09 Apr07 Mar16 Mar03 (fennessy john)BAYS BROOKE 116 8.00    
NEW BERN Jun25 May28 Oct14 Oct02 Sep10 (connelly teres)ALLEN D 125 4.50    
THENAME OF THEGAME Jun23 Feb08 Jan23 Dec01 Nov20 (schaber )MARTINEZ A 123 20.00 14% 6.20    
 
PID-3   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINANT STRANGER Jun18 Jun03 Oct21 Oct10 Sep30 (barron rory)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 3.50    
GOLDEN HEART Jun05 May17 Dec08 Nov17 Oct11 (kulp brandon )ROJAS MARTINA 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HALF BIRTHDAY Jun18 May29 May03 Apr02 Mar19 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 1.40    
RUNAWAY BREEZE Jun18 Jun03 May20 Aug12 Jul22 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 123 6.00    
SERENADE A KITTEN Jul17 Jun04 May27 Apr20 Mar30 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 123 4.00 29% 2.40    
WILD LOOKER Jun18 Jun03 May20 Apr02 Oct28 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 123 12.00    
CHEROKEE CHATTER Oct17 Oct09 Sep24 Aug27 Aug21 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 123 5.00 34% 2.00    
 
PID-4   07/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE D' ORO         (arriagad)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 9% 9.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ANGLE OF ATTACK by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
RIZZ Jun18         (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 120 3.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FLIRTY by UNCLE MO)
SHEZ TWISTED Jun15 Jun03 May15     (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LIMITED VIEW by FREEDOM CHILD)
EYE CANDY WARRIOR         (kulp l)SPIETH S 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNIMAGINEABLE by TWIRLING CANDY)
BLAZING BRAT         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of BRITTNEY BRAT by PIKEPASS)
SCR  RAVISHING RUBY         (bourke john)GARCIA F 120 6.00    
  (by DONTHELUMBERTRADER out of SMILES A LOT by DOONESBURY)
GRAB MY TAB         (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 120 6.00    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of RAISING AIDA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
PID-5   07/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREAMSONG Jun11 Jan18 Dec28 Dec09 Nov04 (pappada )GALLARDO A 123 3.00 11% 8.20    
PARTY AT THE BEACH Jun11 May27 Oct14 Sep25 Aug20 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 6.00    
CHILL BOSS Jun10 May26 Dec11 Nov08 Oct22 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 118 12.00    
D'ORO LEMON Jun16 May28 May05 Apr13 Aug25 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 125 4.00    
MORTAL SIN Jun21 Nov29 Oct31 Jul26 Jul11 (hodsdon danielle)MARTINEZ W 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
STAYINYOURLANE Jun16 May26 Mar01 Feb05 Jan08 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
RUNNINGFORJOY Jun11 May19 May12 Mar01 Dec22 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
PID-6   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORETASTIC Jun11 May26 Apr30 Apr11 Mar30 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 2.50    
ROCK N REWARD Jun23 Jun11 May21 Feb28 Jan30 (hayes le)GALLARDO A 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
FLOAT AWAY Jun23 May21 Oct24 Oct14 Sep30 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  WILD DELIGHT Jun03 May21 Sep30 Sep11 Aug27 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 3.00    
SCR  JACKSON AVENUE Jun04 May05 Mar16 Jan25 Jan01 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00    
NEEDED Jun18 May19 Apr08 Dec23 Nov13 (gilmartin brendan)STOKES J 123 8.00    
ALL ABOUT ME Jun11 Jun02 May10 Apr22 Mar06 (radosevich sh)ROJAS MARTINA 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
PID-7   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Karl Boyes Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBALS May24 Mar08 Jan25 Nov16 Oct05 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 123 1.80 52% 0.90    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PEARLY BLUE by EMPIRE MAKER)
PONCE DE LEON Jun11 Jun17 May25 May04 Mar30 (danner kelsey)VIVES SOFIA 119 8.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of ST. JOHN'S RIVER by INCLUDE)
SCR  BUSK Jun18 May25 May05 Apr11 Mar21 (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 3.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of PUSKITA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
HORSEPOWER May03 Apr05 Feb22 Jan01 Dec08 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 5% 17.60    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
GOODIE GOOMER Jun09 May21 Oct24 Sep30 Aug21 (bourke joh)AYALA J 119 15.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of MATH CLASS by EDDINGTON)
GOING UP Jun04 Mar29 Mar12 Feb22 Oct19 (potts g)ALLEN D 119 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHUSH UP by SILENT NAME (JPN))
MY BUDDY B Jun04 Oct26 Oct04 Aug24 Jul27 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MATTINGLY May17 Apr27 Mar30 Feb28 Feb02 (orseno j)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BATTINGSTAR by GRAND SLAM)
 
PID-8   07/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLAINTE MHATH Jun16 Jun02 Oct28 Oct16 Oct02 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
STROKE OF LUCK Jun17 May21 Mar14 Jan08 Nov07 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 120 5.00    
COEUR DOULOUREUX Jun11 Mar20 Mar05     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 125 12.00    
SCR  ITZA KITTY Jun25 May18 Apr17     (rice lin)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
SCR  TOAST TO SUCCESS Jun10 May13 Apr29 Nov25 Nov06 (gut)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 125 30.00    
FILLYRULES Jun25 Jun10       (fennessy john)ALLEN M 125 4.50 11% 8.40    
CHANNEL ME IN Jun17 Jun02 Oct16 Oct08 Sep24 (depasquale k)AYALA J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
DOROTEA DREAM Jun17 Jun09 May21 Apr30 Apr16 (baez ralph )SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
FIREDINI Jun11 May27 Mar09 Jan18 Dec27 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 125 30.00    
10  SUMMER FOREVER Oct10 Oct02 Sep17     (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 120 6.00    
11  CAP IS BACK Jun11 Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 Jun10 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 125 30.00    
12  HIGH TRACK Jun17 Jun02 May21 Feb09 Jan26 (miller d)ALLEN D 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.