Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - May 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(4/1/3)-(6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/3)-(1/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(7/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (7/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/4)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/4)-(5/3/6)-(5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
N Y RIESLING Apr28 Nov18 Nov04 Oct23 Sep25 (morales samuel)CRUZ JOEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUPREME SONG Apr19 Mar25 Sep12 Aug28 Aug09 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00    
MORNING CUP Nov04 Sep25 Aug27 Aug12 Jul16 (grabowski john)COA J 121 3.50    
HAPPY INSTEAD Apr29 Nov12 Oct28 Oct15 Oct02 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 2.50 20% 3.90    
SHIPSATIONAL Apr12 Mar16 Feb15 Jan18 Nov30 (barker edwar)HARKIE K 121 1.60 38% 1.60    
ALMOND CIDER Apr29 Mar31 Feb27 Jan29 Jan08 (vasquez ramon)FRET STEVEN 121 8.00    
 
FL-2   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREWS IN TO WIN Apr29 Nov27 Nov12 Oct28 Sep30 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00    
LA INDECENTE Apr29 Nov09 Oct24 Sep26 Jun20 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
CRYSTAL Apr29 Nov13 Oct16 Oct01 Sep11 (mur)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00    
WIDOW Apr29 Oct28 Sep26 Jul11 Nov20 (housel tamara)FRET STEVEN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
TOAST TO SUCCESS Apr29 Nov25 Nov06 Oct09 Sep24 (gutterson ka)BERRIOS C 124 5.00    
WAR TERMINATRIX Nov25 Nov13 Oct30 Oct16 Sep21 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00 11% 8.30    
 
FL-3   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Apr29 Mar08 Jan24 Oct28 Jan14 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
THE SAXON STORY Apr29 Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 Oct16 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 5.00    
FRONTAL VISION Apr29 Feb23 Nov18     (dixon k)DIAZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
M G DASH Apr29 Jan10 Jan02 Nov27 Nov06 (acquilano jame)COA J 120 2.00 54% 0.80    
AWESOME WEAPON Mar05 Feb17       (fun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 10.00    
SUPPORT THE CAT Apr29 Oct29 Oct16 Oct02 Sep04 (gutters)NAVARRO J 124 3.50    
 
FL-4   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEGOSAURUS Apr28 Nov27 Nov18 Nov06 Oct05 (sells rache)CAMILO D 120 6.00    
TEN RUN RULE Apr29 Mar01 Feb08 Jan18   (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 118 5.00    
YOHEDA MONEY MAKER Oct16 Oct08 Sep23     (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 120 8.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  LAST VINTAGE Apr03 Mar17 Feb20 Jan03 Dec08 (smith troy)VERGARA P 118 3.50    
SCR  FAST AMENDMENT Mar21 Feb02 Jan05 Nov26   (ferraro anth)COA J 124 2.00    
SWAY THE JURY Apr29 Feb08 Jan18     (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
FL-5   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REITERATE Apr28 Nov18 Nov06 Oct15 Sep24 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 122 5.00    
1A  MAKEAJOYFULNOISE Apr28 Nov18 Oct30 Oct21 Sep25 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  THIN LEGS Apr28 Nov18 Oct30 Sep25 May28 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 2.50    
LET'S MAGA Nov11 Oct30 Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE LOVES TO MOVE Nov18 Oct22 Sep30 Sep11 Aug19 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00    
KAZ' ROSE Nov19 Oct09 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
MRS BELL Nov04 Oct07 Aug12 Jul04 Jun05 (dean vic)DAVIS A 122 3.00 8% 11.30    
MISS PAB Apr28 Nov27 Nov18 Nov06 Oct15 (gutierrez a)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00    
 
FL-6   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMERY Apr29 Nov25 Nov13 Oct22 Oct07 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
NUMERIC Apr16 Mar21 Mar01 Feb12 Jan26 (morales)NAVARRO J 122 8.00    
RUBYS MISSION Nov19 Oct30 Oct09 Sep16 Aug27 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 4.00 25% 2.90    
TOMAKI Oct29 Oct09 Sep10 Aug27 Jul29 (areche thalia)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
TROUBLED LUCK Apr24 Apr10 Mar28 Mar14 Feb27 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50 12% 7.60    
IXODES Apr29 Nov26 Nov05 Oct02 Sep03 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00    
BUSTIN TIME Apr29 Nov21 Nov05 Oct11 Aug05 (davis d)COA J 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
FL-7   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME PENNY May05 Mar21 Feb20 Oct09 Sep19 (caramo)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00    
OUTTA THE CLOUD Oct22 Oct09 Sep30 Sep16 Sep02 (dean vi)NAVARRO J 124 8.00    
SKY TRAVEL Apr28 Mar08 Feb13     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  MISS WOBBLES Oct02 Sep09 Aug12 Jun17 May28 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 4.50    
ROSHIELL MY BELLE Mar08 Nov17 Sep12 Jul28 Jun28 (khan s)DAVILA A 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
PRACTICAL RACHEL Jan03 Dec13 Nov12 Nov05 Oct22 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-8   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNTROUBLED Mar19 Feb12 Dec29 Nov20 Oct13 (caramo)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 4.00    
DRINKING SOLO Apr29 Nov12 Oct30 Oct15 Sep25 (davis d)FRET STEVEN 122 10.00    
INTERCHANGER Nov13 Oct28 Oct07 Sep18 Sep03 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00    
INDEPENDENT PAUL Apr29 Mar08 Feb28 Feb06 Jan24 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00 14% 6.30    
INDY COWBOY Nov25 Nov12 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 (grabowski a)PENA LUIS 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
YOU BEAUT Nov13 Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Aug26 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 2.00    
WITH KNOW NAME Dec13 Nov26 Nov12 Oct29 Sep30 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.