Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - May 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/1/2)-(3/4/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/4/5)-(4/5/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/4/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(4/5/1)-(7/3/2/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/5/1)-(7/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(7/3/2/6)-(5/6/7/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (7/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/3/2/6)-(5/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/6)-(5/6/7/1)-(7/4/5/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (5/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/6/7/1)-(7/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (7/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS Z Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 Jun10 (mustard j)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
FILLY FATALE Oct14 Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 (anderson wendy)PRUITT CIERA 111 15.00    
LOAD ABROAD Sep23 Aug26 Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 1.00    
SCR  ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Jul30 Jun19 Jun10 May28 Sep19 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 121 6.00    
DEMURELY Oct14 Sep30 Aug16 Jun27 May17 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 121 4.00 6% 16.80    
 
ASD-2   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXOTIC'S BEAR Sep24 Sep18 Sep09 Sep02 Aug20 (stanford maria)PRUITT CIERA 114 8.00 17% 4.80    
BIG INVESTMENT Sep18 Sep09 Aug28 Aug14 Jul23 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 124 5.00 7% 13.70    
BEST OF GREELEY Apr06 Mar21 Mar14 Feb28 Dec11 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Oct26 Oct19 Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 (gardipy to)SIMPSON M 124 4.00    
MR. DAZZLE Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 (gardipy j)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.60    
 
ASD-3   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOY CHRISTIAN Nov03 Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 Sep21 (ellis andre)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 10.00    
GREEN AMAZON Nov29 Nov16 Oct31 Oct22 Sep29 (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 8.00    
LT. NORM Apr19 Apr04 Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 0.80 62% 0.60    
IN FORM Nov06 Oct11 Sep20 Sep07 Aug17 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50 11% 8.00    
TIZ LORD Mar19 Feb23 Feb09 Jan08 Dec20 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-4   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER BUDGET Sep16 Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
GET MY DRIFT Nov15 Sep09 Aug10 Jun30 Jun13 (gaskin stev)TOWNSEND SHAVON 121 5.00    
YELLOW BIRDIE Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jun24 Jun03 (pruitt lise)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 10.00    
DISTINCTIVE DEB Apr08 Mar27 Feb27 Jan24 Jan13 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 123 2.50 55% 0.80    
SUMITUP Apr13 Apr06 Mar09 Feb28 Dec27 (keplin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.50 12% 7.20    
SECRET GLENDA Mar12 Feb26 Jan15 Dec10 Nov23 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 121 3.00    
 
ASD-5   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT CAKE Apr03 Mar05 Jan28 Jan05 Dec06 (cole terry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.00    
NO MAGIC Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 15.00 10% 8.60    
NOIWONTBACKDOWN Sep23 Sep18 Sep04 Aug26 Aug12 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
THIRSTY BABY Sep23 Sep18 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 (anderson w)SIMPSON M 122 5.00    
BENNIGAN Mar25 Feb13 Jan28 Jan09 Dec16 (laing )LEWIS ANTHONY 122 3.00    
EL MUZN Sep24 Sep11 Aug28 Aug06 Jul01 (desjarlais )KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
PLUNGEINTOTHENITE May21 Jul30       (hunter judy)BALROOP SVEN 122 2.50 47% 1.20    
 
ASD-6   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP CHEWBACCA Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S A FLUKE Nov24 Oct27 Oct10 Aug30 Jul21 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 3.00    
THE CALABRESE KID Sep24 Sep16 Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 122 20.00    
WILL THE THRILL Mar07 Feb23 Feb02 Jan03 Dec05 (gourneau ja)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 6.00    
MARKET KING Dec09 Sep24 Sep03 Jul22 Jun07 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
DELVECCHIO Nov02 Oct19 Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 112 4.00 21% 3.80    
CHARMING CHARLIE Apr18 Apr05 Mar29 Mar14 Dec04 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
 
ASD-7   05/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($22.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXXEL Mar31 Mar12 Jan25 Dec23 Dec11 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00    
GLAVA Sep14 Aug27 Jul12 Jun08 May31 (anderson gonz)CUMBERBATCH R 122 10.00 11% 8.00    
SAWASDEE Apr19 Mar27 May25 May05 Apr21 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 122 1.80    
JEFF FA FA Sep24 Sep14 Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 3.00 15% 5.80    
MAGIC TIGER Oct12 Sep24 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 (anderson wen)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
BRODY'S STREAK Nov02 Oct13 Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 12.00    
UPSTRIKER Apr19 Apr05 Mar22 Feb23 Dec07 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.