Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - May 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (5/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/1/7)-(10/9/3/6/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-2   WIN (10/9/3/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/3/6/7)-(10/9/3/6/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (10/9/3/6/7)-(10/9/3/6/7)-(10/9/3/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (10/9/3/6/7)-(3/5/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/9/3/6/7)-(3/5/1/2)-(2/8/6/9) 80 $2.00 $160 
MNR-3   WIN (3/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/1/2)-(2/8/6/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/8/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/9)-(2/8/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/9)-(2/8/6/9)-(2/8/6/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/6/9)-(5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(8/3/5)-(8/10/7/3) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/3/5)-(8/10/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (8/10/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/7/3)-(8/10/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/10/7/3)-(8/10/7/3)-(8/10/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   05/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIS ONE CAN RUN Nov25 Nov10 Oct14 Jul22 Jul08 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 10% 8.50    
LILAC LACE Apr23 Mar26 Nov26 Nov11 Oct07 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 12.00    
BAREBACK FUN Apr21 Apr07 Mar12 Feb26 Jan28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Apr22 Sep03 Aug07 Jul09 May28 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 10.00    
LADY JEAN Apr22 Dec08 Nov27 Oct30 Oct20 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
ONE TOUGH DAME Apr20 Mar12 Dec11 Aug24 Jul20 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
MYSTIC STORM Apr21 Dec10 Dec01 Nov20 Nov03 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
POLYESTER BRIDE Apr22 Apr07 Mar18 Dec11 Dec02 (poole jami )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 8.00    
ICE FLOE Apr22 Dec01 Nov20 Oct21 Oct14 (cluley denni)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
 
MNR-2   05/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVIDIA DEL COCO Nov27 Jul19 May04 Apr06 Feb25 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 123 30.00    
SILVER MATY Apr20 Apr11 Mar03 Feb13 Feb05 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00    
REVOCATA Apr12 Mar20 Mar03 Jan27 Nov18 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 4.00 11% 8.00    
IN THE BREEZE Apr09 Mar27 Feb14     (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 116 8.00    
LUPITA Apr02 Mar26 Feb26 Jan21 Dec28 (silva l)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
CASSOULET Apr20 Dec01 Nov18 Nov04 Oct13 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
FEISTYNESS Mar02 Feb08 Jan17 Dec07 Nov26 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
HONESTLY Apr20 Feb09 Oct19 Aug30 Aug16 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 8.00    
LOVABLE EMMA Apr21         (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 3.00 19% 4.30    
10  CAME UP ROSES Apr11 Mar25 Mar03 Dec18 Nov11 (musarro jos)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 5.00 45% 1.20    
 
MNR-3   05/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRITEITONTHEICE Jan28 Jan17 Dec20 Sep06 Aug23 (wade justin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
COASTAL CHAOS Apr21 Dec04 Nov24 Oct09 Aug20 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MILANO Apr28 Apr01 Mar13 Jan25 Jan07 (robillard j)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 2.00 69% 0.50    
MOON CHARGER Jan28 Sep19 Aug31 Aug23 Aug07 (cambray andres)NEGRON LUIS 120 12.00    
THAT KHENNY Apr12 Mar25 Mar13 Feb27 Jan28 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.50 6% 15.20    
BAHAMA CHANNEL Apr25 Apr11 Nov25 Oct31 Oct14 (comi ralph)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 3.00    
KRUG Apr27 Apr01 Feb04 Jan27 Dec02 (lopez e)TAPARA LUIS 120 6.00    
 
MNR-4   05/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HE'S ON FIRE Apr27 Mar21 Feb01 Dec04 Nov16 (wade justin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
EL CARDINAL Dec08 Nov27 Nov17 Nov04 Oct13 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
GOLD BUCKLE Apr10 Mar22 Mar06 Feb03 Jan13 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
MISCHIEVOUS JUAN Mar26 Mar05 Feb11 Nov26 Nov19 (vazquez ca)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.50    
ROYAL AIR FORCE Apr10 Mar17 Feb27 Nov12 Oct30 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 12.00    
TEXCOCO Nov26 Nov03 Aug21 Jul24 Jul03 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 8% 11.00    
HAPPY CHAMP Nov20 Jul21 Jul06 May25 May03 (scallan robe)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 5.00    
SCRATCHOFF Apr27 Mar31 Mar10 Mar01 Feb05 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 6.00 9% 10.20    
GENIUS Oct20 Oct07 Sep29 Sep11 Sep03 (inman l)WHITACRE B 123 20.00 7% 13.70    
 
MNR-5   05/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR HARRY Oct06 Jul28 Jul09 Jun26 Jun19 (sipp k)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
SCR  BLACKWATER FALLS Apr22 Mar12 Feb04 Jan15 Dec03 (bryant l)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00    
CAPITAN GEORGE Apr25 Feb24 Jan30 Jan08 Oct09 (bryant l)AVILES YAN 123 3.50    
TIZAWHITEFACECAT Nov26 Oct07 Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 (cluley denni)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
BLEDSOE Mar27 Apr27 Apr06 Oct08 Sep13 (jones )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.20 33% 2.00    
CABOOSE Apr22 Dec10 Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50    
NIGHTSPOT Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jul05 (sparling wayne )TAPARA LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-6   05/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACEFUL WARRIOR Sep25 Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 Jul09 (johnson jen)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
RED IN FRONT Mar01 Feb03 Jan16 Dec07 Nov17 (robillard j)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 4.00 74% 0.30    
LIGERAZO Apr22 May04 Apr11     (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 3.00    
Z DANCER Jul26 Jun30 May26 May10 Apr12 (vazque)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50    
SCR  BRAGGART JOE Aug27 Aug05 Jul18 Jun19   (johnson jen)SEVERINO VICTOR 116 6.00    
CHARMING CHACHA Oct14 Sep20 Aug25     (cluley denni)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 10.00    
AFTER SUNRISE Nov26 Nov04 Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 (langley s)WHITACRE B 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
FLYING BLIND Feb26 Feb06 Dec31 Dec12 Sep06 (silva l)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00    
 
MNR-7   05/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATCHAMACALL Apr20 Dec08 Oct27 Oct15 Sep18 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
SCR  SPEEDY BUBBLES Apr10 Mar14 Feb19 Jan30 Jan10 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 2.00    
SCREAM MACHINE Nov27 Nov12 Sep28 Sep19 Jul27 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
CASTLE REVIEW Nov11 Oct07 Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 (shuler r)NEGRON LUIS 120 20.00    
BETSY IS THE CODE Aug25 Jul29 Jul21 Jul01 Jun23 (langley s)WHITACRE B 120 10.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  PRIYANKA Apr22 Dec02 Nov10 Oct22 Sep14 (bouali wajdi)YARANGA Y 120 30.00    
DIVINE MARTHA Apr22 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 Oct21 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50    
MORNIN' BOSS Mar14 Feb19 Jan10 Dec08 Nov19 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
MNR-8   05/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOTHING BUT TIME Apr21 Apr01 Mar17 Mar04 Feb13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00    
SCR  SEEYOUINMYDREAMS Apr20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan15 Dec26 (clouston ed)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Apr21 Dec09 Nov05 Oct15 Sep15 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
WHITE HEAT (GB) Jan26 Dec12 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 10.00    
SUMMER HOLIDAY Apr27 Mar04 Jan25 Dec23 Nov14 (robillard a)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 20.00    
A STING FOR LOVE Apr21 Dec03 Oct28 Oct08 Sep23 (robillard ju)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
WHISPER ME A SONG Apr21 Dec09 Nov05 Oct15 Sep22 (treharne da)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00 15% 5.70    
COASTALNESS Apr21 Oct02 Aug23     (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 2.50 39% 1.60    
HONOUR'S CHOICE Apr25 Mar08 Aug28 Aug05 Jun22 (cuttino l)WHITACRE B 120 15.00    
10  CHERRY GARDENS Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 Aug20 Jul21 (robillard julie)TAPARA LUIS 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.