Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - April 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (8/4/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/2/7)-(8/4/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/2/7)-(8/4/3/2/7)-(8/4/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/3/2/7)-(3/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/2/7)-(3/6/4/7)-(3/5/1/6/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
PEN-2   WIN (3/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/7)-(3/5/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/7)-(3/5/1/6/7)-(6/7/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/5/1/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6/7)-(3/5/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6/7)-(3/5/1/6/7)-(3/5/1/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6/7)-(6/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/6/7)-(6/7/3/5)-(1/9) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/5)-(1/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/5)-(1/9)-(1/3/6/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/7/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9)-(1/7/9/8)-(1/7/9/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/9)-(1/3/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/9)-(1/3/6/7)-(5/3/4/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/7)-(5/3/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSE OF WONDER         (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of PRINGIPESSA by EL PADRINO)
SANDY'S REFUGEE Feb28 Feb07 Nov20 Oct25 Aug01 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of SHOW SHAPE by SAFFIR)
RIP MY HEART Feb28 Feb07       (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00 15% 5.70    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MS. GOOD HEART by LION HEART)
NEVER TILL NOW Apr09 Mar13 Sep26 Sep14   (ashby lyn)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 16% 5.30    
  (by LEOFRIC out of WISH I UNDERSTOOD by CONCORD POINT)
EXTRASEXYMCSTEEMEE         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of EXTRA SEXY PSYCHIC by FREUD)
TRUE REWARD         (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of TRUSTY by IS IT TRUE)
GOOD FRIDAY MAN Feb19 Dec30 Dec19 Nov22   (zalalas michae)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAT ON THE BACK out of FRIDAY MASS by REDEEMED)
QUIET APPEAL Mar07 Feb19 Jan29     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by WEIGELIA out of IAIN'TNOSIZETWO by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
KEVIN MAC Mar10 Jan29       (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 121 12.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ANGEL FOOD by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
 
PEN-2   04/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY STREAK Mar27 Dec27 Nov22 Nov13 Oct05 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00    
PROM KNIGHT Feb21 Jan03 Dec11 Nov15 Oct09 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 5.00    
ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Mar22 Mar06 Jan30 Jan11 Dec05 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Mar20 Jan08 Nov07 Oct17 Aug30 (murillo ricardo)MENA E 120 10.00 21% 3.70    
INFAMOUS NONO Mar28 Feb27 Feb07 Jan02 Dec11 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Mar24 Mar19 Feb26 Feb10 Jan30 (ramirez silvi)RIVERA D 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
KAZ SWEET HEIST Mar28 Mar13 Feb19 Jan09 Dec18 (kazamias peter)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTER MIAMI Mar27 Oct30 Oct05 Sep21 Aug28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
OUR ETHAN CHARLES Mar28 Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 Jan02 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 10.00    
SASSY LAD Mar28 Mar06 Jan02 Dec20 Dec04 (kreiser c)FLORES E 120 4.50 41% 1.40    
PENTATONIC Mar21 Feb06 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 120 6.00    
BO'S BOURBON Mar21 May30 May15 Mar27 Mar07 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
BOSS HOLIDAY Mar28 Mar06 Feb07 Dec19 Nov01 (albright am)RAMOS O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
I ONCE STOOD ALONE Mar28 Feb19 Jan09 Nov21 Oct24 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHAIN REACTION Mar15 Feb28 Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
MISCHIEF WARRIOR Mar28 Mar13 Feb19 Jan09 Dec20 (bobadilla f)CHIAPPE R 120 50.00    
10  CAERUS Mar02 Feb14 Oct04 Sep02 Aug03 (mcmahon dem)HAMILTON WESTON 120 12.00    
11  ET'S MAGIC MAN Mar28 Sep10 Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 (boyer david)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 20.00    
12  BARGAINING POWER Mar28 Mar18 Feb26 Feb14 Jan25 (badill)GONZALEZ JR 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK ANNA ROLL Mar27 Mar06 Jan25 Aug23 Aug10 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
SOLAR GLARE Mar20 Feb23 Feb08 Jan05 Dec07 (kazamias )HERNANDEZ A 119 5.00    
WHERE'S MY CHEW Mar30 Feb21       (pecoraro anthon)VEGA L 119 4.00 10% 8.80    
MALIBLUE Apr15 Mar12 Feb21 Jan31 Dec09 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 122 6.00    
GOLDEN COOKIE Oct20 Aug24 Jul24     (hetrick krista)GILBERT KYLE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ENGLISH DADDY Feb27 Jan26 Dec22 Nov14 Oct25 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.00 47% 1.10    
BUZZ ADAMS Mar28 Mar06 Jan18     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
PEN-5   04/23/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BOY'S WARRIOR Mar28 Nov27 Oct21 Sep21 Aug28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 117 3.00 59% 0.70    
BANGKOK BOB Mar30 Feb01 Dec27 Oct16 Sep11 (siculietano dan)BEATO INOEL 117 6.00    
OPTIC WAY Mar10 Feb10 Jan14 Dec15 Dec06 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 120 4.00    
SCR  EVERETT'S SONG Mar23 Feb08 Jan18 Dec08 Oct26 (mcmahon dem)HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00    
SCR  YES SIR COLONEL Mar17 Feb25 Jan29 Dec31 Dec17 (betancourt e)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 15.00    
MY REDEMPTION Mar28 Mar06 Feb06 Nov27 Sep02 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 120 15.00    
UNCLE CAESAR Mar06 Jan26 Jan03 Dec13 Nov14 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00    
TREBLE CLEF Mar18 Feb06 Jan13 Dec12 Nov20 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 120 6.00    
WINNIN'ONWEEKENDS Mar29 Mar01 Jan19 Dec31 Nov14 (abrams jack)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 8.00 6% 17.00    
 
PEN-6   04/23/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA MACCHINA ROSSA Mar27 Dec19 Nov07 Oct11 Sep14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
EXTREMELY GRUNTLED Mar27 Mar06 Jan08 Dec06 Nov09 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 3.00    
SHIGEKO Mar27 Mar07 Feb07 Apr25 Mar16 (kreiser c)CORA D 122 4.00 10% 8.90    
CHELSEA WALL Mar23 Mar05 Jan15 Dec04 Nov12 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 120 2.50    
IRIE EMPRESS Apr09 Mar17 Feb27 Feb19 Nov19 (king clarence )AGUILAR JEAN 120 15.00    
SUZY Q THE QUEEN Sep25 Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul16 (manning j)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Oct25 Sep20 Aug29 Aug16 Aug01 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   04/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY OF LONDON Mar06 Feb06 Dec18 Nov21 Aug07 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50    
BUCKFAST ABBEY Mar13 Aug07 Jul24 Jun25 Jun12 (boyer david)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KENTUCKY REIGN Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 Jan02 Dec06 (bobadilla f)FLORES E 122 4.00 10% 8.90    
MYGIRLISABOMB Mar15 Jan31 Jan16 Nov30 Nov07 (martinez jose)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
INDINI Feb06 Mar07 Feb22     (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
SMART SHERYL LEE Mar28 Aug22 Jul31 Jul04 Jun12 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
MANDY'S MISS Mar20 Feb01 Dec19 Nov27 Oct03 (o'callahan carl)CORA D 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.