Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Tuesday - April 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/3)-(8/6/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/3)-(8/6/1/4)-(3/4/1/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FP-2   WIN (8/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/4)-(3/4/1/2)-(2/6/1/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FP-3   WIN (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/2)-(2/6/1/7)-(1/8/2/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FP-4   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(5/1/3/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FP-5   WIN (1/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/7)-(5/1/3/2)-(5/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-6   WIN (5/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/2)-(5/6/2)-(7/10/4/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FP-7   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(7/10/4/9/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FP-8   WIN (7/10/4/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/4/9/5)-(7/10/4/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/4/9/5)-(7/10/4/9/5)-(7/10/4/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   04/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADDIEBELL Mar10         (appleton jos)GILES EMMANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
STAGFLATION Mar26 Nov13 Oct24 Sep25 Aug02 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 1.20 46% 1.20    
LOOK MY WAY Dec22         (lynch harry )BETHKE A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPIRIT SMOKE Oct31 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 (durham mik)GALLARDO EDUARDO 126 3.00    
DANG IT BABE         (blea tony)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 15.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SYDNEY'S JOY Mar22 Feb28       (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 126 10.00    
FEAR THE QUEEN Nov02 Oct19       (randazzo te)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 20.00    
LITTLE SASSER Oct31 Oct19 Oct08 Sep27   (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 5.00    
 
FP-2   04/22/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE MY HUCKLEBERRY Mar18 Mar02 Dec13 Sep16 Aug31 (jansen kenny)BETHKE A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S ON Nov02 Oct22 Oct01 Sep17 Sep11 (martinez-linares )LOPEZ A 124 8.00    
FOREVER BLESSED Apr13 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 Sep05 (lynch harry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00    
BUNNY SHINE Nov02 Jul02 May18 Aug15 Jul29 (blea jr)DIEGO JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MORO MAESTRO Sep21 Sep03 Aug20 Jul27 Jun27 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.50    
NAPABIT Oct22 Jun22 May14 Apr16 Jul11 (rodriguez j)GILES FRANCISCO 124 10.00 35% 1.80    
LAST GASP (SAF) Mar30 Mar14 Jan23 Dec27 Nov02 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.50    
BEAUTIFUL SUMMER Mar15 Feb15 Jan24 Jan03 Dec04 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.50 41% 1.40    
 
FP-3   04/22/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY TWENTY Dec16 Nov19 Oct24 Jul06 Jun08 (watkins james )DIEGO JAVIER 124 4.00 12% 7.20    
TIME BREAK Oct24 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Dec31 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 124 10.00 7% 12.40    
BIG SALLY Oct26 Oct12 Aug27 Aug06 Jun11 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
GHAALEB'S RANGER Dec19 Oct26 Oct06 Sep12 Aug17 (becker scott)WALES T 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
DELTA LADY (CHI) Sep24 Aug20 Jul06 Nov07 Sep23 (pompel)BAILON JADHIR 124 12.00    
BETTY'S SECRET Oct29 Oct15 Aug31 Aug25 Jul16 (randazzo ted)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00    
ABBMAR Oct26 Oct12 Sep24 Aug20 Aug06 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
 
FP-4   04/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIT MISS HAT TRICK Apr03 Feb13 Dec13 Nov01 Oct06 (lynch )BAILON JADHIR 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
COCKTAIL CUTIE Nov27 Oct31 Oct17 Oct05 Sep12 (manley steve)WALES T 124 4.00 59% 0.70    
SASSY WALKER Mar20 Feb15 Jan16 Oct16 Sep20 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00    
HIGHTAILING IT Oct17 Oct05 Sep10 Aug13 Jul27 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 10.00    
BELLA FRANCESCA Oct31 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun05 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00    
ACCELERATING BABE Apr06 Mar09 Feb14 Oct13 Sep22 (randazzo )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.00 10% 9.10    
HER NAME WAS LOLA Oct17 Oct05 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 (durham mik)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-5   04/22/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHAALEB'S CITY Oct31 Oct19 Oct05 Sep17 Aug13 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 50% 1.00    
CLOEY ATTACK Feb28 Feb13 Jan04 Dec08 Oct29 (rednour jo)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.50 7% 12.60    
DOCS SEVEN Mar29 Jan02 Dec04 Oct26 Sep26 (manley steve)WALES T 124 3.50    
BLAZE BEAUTY Oct31 Oct17 Oct01 Sep10 Aug29 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00    
FROSTED ECLAIR Oct26 Oct12 Sep26 Sep01 Aug18 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00    
RONAN Oct01 Sep10 Aug10 Jul16 Oct10 (quinonez max)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00    
MISS TENA MARIE Oct26 Oct12 Sep24 Aug27 Aug13 (burdess ter)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
WILDWOOD POSSE Oct26 Oct12 Sep17 Aug20 Jul27 (becker sc)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 4.50 14% 6.30    
 
FP-6   04/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE MY BESTIE Mar27 Feb16 Dec21 Sep05 Jul02 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
LICHITA Dec08 Oct12 Sep24 Sep07 Aug20 (jansen kenny)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
TAPICITA Oct26 Oct08 Sep24 Sep07 Aug20 (durham mik)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
ECHO DREAMER Mar30 Oct31 Oct13 Sep30 Aug01 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00    
LILY'S WOOFY Aug25 Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 Jun01 (randazzo )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
REBA ATTACK Mar12 Feb20 Jan30 Jan05 Nov24 (rednour joh)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00    
LUTION Oct29 Oct15 Sep26 Sep07 Aug20 (lynch harry )BETHKE A 124 12.00    
 
FP-7   04/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURR SEA Feb12 Dec21 Oct29 Sep08 Aug18 (boyce michele)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00    
CLIQUE Nov24 Sep24 Sep04 Jul27   (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
COMMISSIONER GULCH Sep29 Aug17 Aug01 Jun16 May19 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
AROSE FOR LYLA Oct29 Oct19 Oct01 Sep10 Aug24 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00    
RACETOTHEFINISH Oct29 Sep29 Aug24 Jul27 Jun22 (becker scott)WALES T 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
SHARP HERO Nov13 Oct19 Sep12 Jun07 Sep16 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
FP-8   04/22/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARPER BRIANA Oct29 Oct01 Sep21 Aug27 Aug10 (zawitz)ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 15.00    
  (by SOUL OF EKATI out of AUNDREYA by SUMMER CLOUD)
DANCIN' MOLLY Jun18 May21 Apr30 Oct28 Sep12 (essenpreis e)GILES EMMANUEL 126 4.50    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LIMEHOUSE DANCER by LIMEHOUSE)
SCR  MURPHY'S COMBO Oct29 Oct01 Aug27 Aug04 Jul11 (pompel)BAILON JADHIR 126 6.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of EURO LILLY by EUROPE)
SCR  HOOTIE HOOT         (huerta jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 12.00 8% 11.30    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of HOOT'S LAST RUNNER by GHAALEB)
I'M INTERESTED Jul23 Jun15       (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEA out of INTEREST ME by BELONG TO ME)
CAFFEINE QUEEN Oct29 Oct01 Sep21     (bahena fernando)LOPEZ A 126 20.00    
  (by DRILL SERGEANT out of ARCH AWAY by ARCHARCHARCH)
COALY Oct31 Oct12 Sep28 Sep10 Aug24 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 118 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by COAL FRONT out of LILY LUNA by SAARLAND)
DAISY MAE ATTACK Oct31 Sep08       (rednour j)DIEGO JAVIER 118 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of SECOND HAND ROSY by MILITARY)
FAITH HOPE N LOVE Apr06 Oct31 Oct12 Oct03 Sep10 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of PUT AND TAKE by PUT IT BACK)
10  I DID THE MATH Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 Jul23 Jun01 (rednour j)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 116 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by NOTIONAL out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.