Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - April 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/5)-(5/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/5)-(5/7/1/2)-(4/6/2/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/2)-(4/6/2/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/2)-(4/6/2/3/8)-(6/2/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/6/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/3/8)-(4/6/2/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/3/8)-(4/6/2/3/8)-(4/6/2/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/2/3/8)-(6/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/3/8)-(6/2/1/3)-(8/4/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/5/1/3)-(6/2/5/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/1/3)-(8/4/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/3)-(8/4/9/1)-(9/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/9/1)-(9/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9/1)-(9/3/8)-(3/2/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (9/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/8)-(9/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/3/8)-(9/3/8)-(9/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/3/8)-(3/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/8)-(3/2/4/6)-(1/9/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/6)-(1/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/6)-(1/9/8)-(6/7/4/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/8)-(1/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9/8)-(1/9/8)-(1/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/9/8)-(6/7/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (6/7/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/10)-(6/7/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/10)-(6/7/4/10)-(6/7/4/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEXICALI MIKE Feb21         (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HANDS UP by DISTORTED HUMOR)
FELICIAS CINCO Mar22 Jan31 Jan11     (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MISS FELICIA by FAMILY CALLING)
JACK'S ALOHA Oct04 Sep12       (knoblauch)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of BRAEFIELD by HARD SPUN)
SWIFT WATERS Mar14 Feb22 Feb01 Jan10 Dec06 (kirlew le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
RENEGADE RABBIT Mar14 Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 Jan10 (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
GOING TO OMBRA Mar21 Feb27 Feb06 Jan24 Jan10 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PARKAVENUEPRINCESS by ASCOT KNIGHT)
ENTICE ME         (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 122 10.00 18% 4.50    
  (by ENTICED out of TRACINGS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
HEART OF GOLD Mar15 Jan11       (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of LITTLE BOP PEEP by BOP)
 
CT-2   04/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERLY CRITICAL Mar22 Mar01 Feb07 Jan17 Dec13 (jones michae)LEWIS M 122 8.00 5% 18.80    
CHICO CHARLIE Mar21 Feb27 Feb07 Jan04 Dec14 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
INDIMAAJ Mar21 Mar01 Feb07 Jan17 Dec07 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 20.00    
SUBJECT TO CHANGE Mar21 Mar01 Feb07 Jan24 Jan17 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
UNIFIED WEEKEND Mar21 Mar01 Feb01 Jan15 Dec13 (adorno l)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
BLAMEITONTHEFUN Mar21 Mar01 Feb05 Dec13 Nov02 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50    
MARK DID IT Mar21 Mar01 Jan30 Jan11 Nov15 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 35% 1.90    
NO LOVE FOR JUBA Apr04 Mar13 Feb15 Jan17 May19 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 122 2.50    
 
CT-3   04/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSTREET Mar13 Feb08 Jan09 Dec27 Sep18 (rodriguez jose)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
SKI COUNTRY Mar21 Feb27 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 7% 13.80    
TAPIO (IRE) Feb27 Jan17 Dec13 Oct10 Sep21 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DOCTOR PARDO Mar22 Feb19 Feb06 Jan03 Nov29 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 124 3.00 54% 0.80    
BUBBA GRUMP Mar14 Feb28 Jan17 Jan03 Nov22 (contreras javie)JORGE JULIO 122 1.80    
IMPERIAL KING Mar20 Feb28 Jan02 Dec14 Nov23 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
BAHAMA CHANNEL Nov25 Oct31 Oct14 Sep27 Sep08 (comi w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
ROCKIN THE PALACE Mar27 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Dec19 (kulp brand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
PRACTICAL SENSE Mar21 Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 Nov28 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   04/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAFFIE JUNIOR         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of EBONY MOMENT by SMART STRIKE)
NORTH SHIP Jan23 Jan16 Dec11 Nov14 Oct17 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00 15% 5.70    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
ZAPTASTIC Mar28 Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan23 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHEERY OATS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MAMBA MINDSET Apr04 Mar22 Mar08 Feb01 Jan17 (capuano phill)CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 12.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of NEVER KNOW by TOMORROWS CAT)
CHASING COLTON Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan05 Nov17 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 1.60    
  (by LEOFRIC out of HOBOKEN HONEY by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
NOTHING BUT HEIR Feb01 Dec29 Sep28 Aug24   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50 54% 0.90    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of ALL FLATTER by FLATTER)
NO BRAKE NEEDED Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan23 Dec11 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NO NAME NEEDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  MIA SAN MIA         (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
  (by NO NEVER NO MORE out of THEGALTHATWASABOY by TIZNOW)
LCGOLUCKY Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 Jan19 Jan05 (sewell l)DAVIS A 124 30.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of ZAPLICIOUS by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  MY YOKE Mar28 Feb22 Feb05 Jan15   (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TRIAL AND ERROR by UNCLE MO)
SCR  SAPPHIRE PRINCE Feb19         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 15.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of PROMISED TREASURE by BROKEN VOW)
 
CT-5   04/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAGLER Mar22 Feb27 Sep09 Jul21 Jun02 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
BONNIE BILL Mar22 Feb27 Feb06 Jan18 Dec14 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 122 10.00    
BOURBON'S HOPE Nov21 Nov01 Oct12 Sep24 Sep14 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 122 20.00    
BIRD KING Dec05 Jun29 May30 May12 Apr20 (r)MAURICIO JOSE 122 6.00 33% 2.00    
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Apr06 Mar22 Feb07 Jan30 Jan17 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
SCR  LAFITTE'S FLEET Feb21 Jan23 Dec12 Nov13 Oct24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 2.50    
SCR  MIGHTY MINION Mar28 Mar21 Mar07 Feb21 Dec04 (bobadilla j)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
BOURBON AND ICE Mar17 Feb27 Jan28 Jan09 Dec28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
BIG SMILE Mar20 Feb27 Jan30 Dec12 Nov08 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 8% 11.30    
 
CT-6   04/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZERO BLITZ Mar21 Mar07       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50    
VALORE Mar21 Feb21 Jan16 Jan08 Dec12 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00    
ALWAYS A WARRIOR Mar22 Feb27 Feb05 Jan11 Dec14 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUNSHINE JOHNNY Mar28 Mar07 Jan09 Dec19 Dec04 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00    
SCR  CASE ACE Mar14 Feb22 Feb05 Dec06 Nov17 (rideout)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00    
SCR  CUCHULAIN Jun13 May18 Dec08 Nov03   (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
SCR  WIZARDOFEZ Mar14 Feb26 Jan29 Jan10 Dec01 (deiter lyn)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
WELL SPOTTED Mar20 Mar07 Feb05 Jan16 Nov30 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
HARBOUR BRIDGE Feb05 Jan23 Jan16 Dec11 Nov12 (hetrick kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 76% 0.30    
 
CT-7   04/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMILY KATHERINE Mar14 Feb14 Jan30     (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of POTOSI'S SILVER by BADGE OF SILVER)
KEEP SHINING ON US Mar14 Feb14 Jan30 Jan17 Dec12 (petty k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.50 10% 9.40    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
PRESHOW HYPE Mar14 Feb14 Jan30 Jan10   (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by BAYERN out of PRESHOW by BERTRANDO)
SKIE'S MUSIC Mar14         (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of SHILOH ROAD by CONGRATS)
SCR  OUR MISS CROSSBOW Mar14         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of OUR MISS BOP by BOP)
CREED CALLING Mar28 Feb27 Jan31     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 9% 10.70    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GALLANT CALLING by OVERDRIVEN)
PEACH PARFAIT Mar22 Feb27       (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of BRASS MAGNOLIA by GREAT NOTION)
MI CATRINA Mar07 Feb19 Jan25 Dec06 Nov06 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
  (by JUBA out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
MOONLIGHT MISTRESS Mar30         (perry e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
 
CT-8   04/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBAWITHATWIST Oct12 Aug23 Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 0.60 60% 0.70    
SCR  JUDGEMENT DAY Feb13 Jan31 Nov15 Oct25 Oct12 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 10.00    
JUBA'S NOTION Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 Aug13 Jul19 (petty kr)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
SISYPHUS Mar15 Jul02 May18 May11 Apr26 (rose d)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00    
SCR  BLEDSOE Mar27 Apr27 Apr06 Oct08 Sep13 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
XCELLENT START Feb28 Feb13 Jan17 Jan03 Dec13 (sanderson)BOCACHICA J 124 20.00    
SCR  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Mar09 Jan25 Nov18 Oct14 Sep21 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 12.00    
LATE IN THE GAME Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 Aug13 Jul12 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
JUBA'S HAT TRICK Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  PROSPECTIVE LOVE Mar15 Feb13 Nov27 Oct31 Sep12 (grams t)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
 
CT-9   04/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANDY'SBOURBONGUY Feb07         (allen f)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00    
STORE SALE Mar14 Feb22 Feb05     (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
SCAR NOSE Mar28         (rangel )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
SUPER BANKER         (aylor willia)DIAZ JR 122 15.00 6% 16.80    
MR ON HIGH Mar28         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
BLESSEDNOTLUCKY Mar14 Nov27 Nov14 Oct26 Oct05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 58% 0.70    
BIG MO GEE Mar28 Mar14 Feb22 Feb14 Feb05 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 122 4.50 10% 8.60    
FEAR THE FACTS Mar14 Feb22 Feb05 Jan15 Nov13 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
SCR  MI MARQUESA         (viands grego)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
10  BOSSME Mar28 Mar14 Feb05     (perez er)DAVIS A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.