Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(6/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(6/1/7/8)-(8/5/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/8)-(8/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/8)-(8/5/4/7)-(7/1/4/9/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (8/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/4/7)-(7/1/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/7)-(7/1/4/9/6)-(8/4/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/1/4/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/9/6)-(7/1/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/9/6)-(7/1/4/9/6)-(7/1/4/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/4/9/6)-(8/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/9/6)-(8/4/5/1)-(4/7/8/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (8/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/1)-(4/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/1)-(4/7/8/2)-(1/12/3/4/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/8/2)-(1/12/3/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (1/12/3/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/12/3/4/8)-(1/12/3/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/12/3/4/8)-(1/12/3/4/8)-(1/12/3/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   03/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Mar03 Feb06 Jan14 Sep15 Sep08 (lucarelli f)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Feb17 Feb06 Jan13 Jan01 Dec11 (bourdieu martin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
GOLD COAST GIRL Mar03 Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 Dec27 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 1.00 50% 1.00    
ATHENA THE GODDESS Mar03 Feb20 Feb06 Jan24 Nov20 (soto antonio)GARCIA F 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
TEAM CONCEPT Mar03 Feb19 Jan29 Jan21 Dec11 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
WARRIOR LADY Mar12 Feb10 Jan14 Dec05 Nov14 (chambers mike)KRIGGER K 124 4.00    
 
TUP-4   03/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAXIMUM CAPACITY Mar12 Jan21 Dec18 Nov29 Oct26 (rodriguez f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 15% 5.60    
BIG STICK Mar13 Feb22 Feb12 Jan30 Jan13 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00    
LEVON Feb22 Jan23 Jan15 Dec23 Nov21 (hernandez valen)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
SCR  UNUSUAL WIN Mar25 Mar04 Feb12 Feb04 Jan01 (martinez )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 6.00    
BLUES RAPPER Mar13 Mar04 Feb24 Jan23 Dec30 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 4.00    
REGAL REDWOOD Mar13 Feb20 Feb04 Jan24 Jan07 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 56% 0.80    
PRINCE OTTO Feb26 Feb04 Jan24 Jan01 Dec09 (esquibel mark)GARCIA F 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT KID Mar04 Feb12 Jan24 Nov11 Aug24 (castillo joe)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   03/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONQUEST SECRET Dec18 Dec06 Nov24 Nov08 Oct27 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 5.00    
SAHARA SUE Mar18 Feb25 Jan20 Dec07 Nov23 (nunnally j)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
HAUGHTY KITTY Mar03 Feb13 Jan27 Jan09 Dec05 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 8.00    
UNIFIED A. P. Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 Nov14 (fulmer drew)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CONFIDENCE BUILDER Mar19 Feb27 Feb03 Jan16 Jan01 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 10% 8.60    
MAMALONA Mar11 Feb20 Dec27 Dec02 May01 (soto anto)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
DRILL BABY DRILL Mar06 Feb20 Jan24 Dec09 Sep14 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
CANADA CANDY Feb22 Feb06 Jan24 Dec27 Dec08 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.50 62% 0.60    
 
TUP-6   03/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTINCTIVE DEB Feb27 Jan24 Jan13 Jan01 Dec09 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
GAME TO PLAY Mar11 Feb25 Oct25 Oct13 Oct04 (diaz f)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
AWESOME TAYLOR Jan29 Jan07 Nov30 Nov18 Oct14 (buffalo mar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Dec04 Nov12 Oct23 Oct04 Sep11 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  CHARMANT E Feb27 Feb03 Jan25 Dec28 Dec05 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 124 8.00    
DIAMOND DEE Mar18 Feb25 Feb06 Jan25 Jan02 (thompso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD INTENTION Feb27 Feb10 Dec17 Nov12 Aug16 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
MET AT THE DANCE Feb08 Dec14 Sep21 Aug31 Feb19 (perkinson cc)HARVEY B 124 15.00    
IN THE VAULT Feb27 Jan25 Dec28 Dec09 Sep08 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 12% 7.30    
10  DESERT GAL Feb22 Jan25 Jul22 Jun24 May02 (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
 
TUP-7   03/27/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVE OVER (GB) Mar18 Mar06 Feb06 Nov30 Sep15 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 8.00 10% 9.20    
MUAY THAI (IRE) Mar04 Feb24 Jan23 Dec26 Dec13 (whitehouse wilton )GARCIA F 124 20.00    
FLY NIGHTLY Mar12 Feb19 Jan27 Dec28 Dec11 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
SOCAL RED Mar10 Feb19 Feb06 Jan15 Jan08 (story chad)KRIGGER K 124 1.80 15% 5.80    
HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY Feb11 Jan22 Jan07 Dec01 Nov10 (diodor)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 5.00 11% 8.50    
ITS A BOY Mar12 Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 Jul15 (sanderson b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
SUNNY SPOT Mar18 Mar06 Feb25 Nov29 Nov10 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 4.00    
COASTAL WATERS Mar12 Mar03 Feb19 Jan30 Jan13 (garcia ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
TUP-8   03/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD SHELDON Dec30 Dec18 Dec11 Sep08 Aug17 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50    
LAWS OF MAN Feb22 Feb06 Jan23 Dec30 Dec05 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR. WHO Mar10 Feb24 Jan25 Dec11 Sep30 (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 4.00    
PRISONER Feb06 Jan23 Dec11 Nov19 Sep29 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
SAWASDEE May25 May05 Apr21 Mar22 Feb25 (dollase cra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
SCR  POVERTY BAY Feb11 Jan13 Dec23 Sep07 Aug17 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
DEPARTURE Mar10 Feb06 Jan25 Dec30 Aug17 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
COMPANY'S DREAM Mar05 Feb12 Jan30 Jan13 Jul14 (gibson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY DANCER Jan17 Dec17 Dec02 Nov29 Nov18 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
 
TUP-9   03/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SON O' SANPETE Mar12 Feb25 Feb10 Jan24 Jan15 (brown allen)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 50% 1.00    
TAKE MY ALLOWANCE Feb25 Dec12 May04 Apr04 Mar16 (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 3.00    
TEMPTING PROSPECT Feb25 Jan23 Oct19 Sep22 Aug02 (peery deb)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
MONGOLIAN NINJA Feb25 Feb04 Dec28 Dec16 Nov29 (soto antonio)HARVEY B 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ARIUS Mar05 Feb20 Feb12 Jan23 Dec20 (rosale)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 6.00    
LOTSA SKY Mar05 Apr03 Jan28 Jan14 Nov07 (perkins f)JENSEN P 124 20.00    
LISA'S DOCTOR S Feb27 Nov29 Nov14 Sep20 Jul25 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
RIVER'S BENCHMARK Feb27 Feb15 Jan26 Jan16 Dec28 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
LIFESBEENGOODTOME Jun15 May27 Apr23 Mar16 Feb16 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
10  UKRAINE STRONG Mar19 Mar05 Feb25 Nov23 Nov14 (lavanwa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
11  MOOLA MAN Feb10 Jan16 Dec15 Nov23 Nov09 (perren lymo)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
12  HATAGASAL Feb27 Feb04 Dec28 Nov29 Jul26 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.