Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - March 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2)-(6/2/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/2)-(6/2/7/5)-(3/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/5)-(3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/5)-(3/7/1)-(2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/9/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/9/7/4/1)-(3/9/7/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(2/5/1)-(1/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(1/3/2)-(9/8/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(9/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(9/8/1/6)-(7/8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (9/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/6)-(9/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/6)-(9/8/1/6)-(9/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/1/6)-(7/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/6)-(7/8/4/6)-(5/4/1/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/4/6)-(5/4/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4/6)-(5/4/1/7)-(1/3/2/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-8   WIN (5/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/7)-(1/3/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-9   WIN (1/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIALLY AWKWARD Feb21 Jan28 Jan08 Dec11 Nov14 (kravets m)CORA D 125 1.40 60% 0.70    
2  MAX BARLEY Dec11 Nov20 Oct21 Aug30 Jun24 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MCCRAKENS GHOST Feb25 Jan24 Jan01 Dec08 Nov15 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
4  EASTER BET Feb21 Jan09 Dec20 Dec11 Nov20 (harigeorgio)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIDNIGHT TEMPESTA Feb21 Jan25 Dec27 Dec15 Nov08 (chircop steven)CONNER TYLER 125 5.00    
6  KALAHARI NOT SORRY Feb07 Nov20 Oct25 Feb06   (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
7  CHAIN LIGHTNING Jan09 Dec02 Oct25 Sep12   (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 121 5.00    
 
PEN-2   03/13/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRA THE ICON Feb24 Jan28 Dec31 Nov26 Oct29 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
2  JAYJAYDEE Jan08 Nov27 Nov01 Oct09 Sep14 (kravets m)CORA D 121 5.00 22% 3.40    
3  TUBTIMSIAM Feb21 Jan03 Dec04 Nov15 Oct20 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 3.50    
4  FIRST GLIMPSE Feb21 Jan10 Nov24 Oct19 Oct03 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.00    
5  YES IT'S ROO Feb27 Feb06 Jan03 Dec12 Nov20 (rideout ron)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MEMORY BOUQUET Dec27 Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Oct08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
7  CURLINGTON Jan08 Dec27 Nov06 Sep27 Aug30 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 6.00 18% 4.40    
 
PEN-3   03/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYES ELEVEN Feb19 Jan31 Nov08 Oct10 Sep20 (mancilla carlos)MENA E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Feb21 Jan18 Jan01 Dec13 Nov08 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00    
3  BORLETTI (IRE) Feb19 Jan31 Dec20 Nov29 Nov15 (sillaman richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00 79% 0.30    
4  GRATED COCONUT Feb21 Oct16 Sep25 Jul19 Jun24 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 ★    
5  SHELTRFROMTHESTORM Feb21 Nov08 Oct31 Aug23 Jul26 (smith thoma)RAMOS O 121 10.00    
6  VILLANITO Dec31 Nov29 Nov19 Nov12 Oct28 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 121 8.00    
7  FAST PAYDAY Mar05 Feb12 Jan28 Nov27 Nov06 (tapsas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MOONSET Feb21 Jan02 Sep01 Aug23 Aug15 (galligan ge)DEL SARA 114 12.00    
9  STATELY ORDER Feb15 Jan31 Dec22 Dec11 Nov29 (siculietan)GONZALEZ L 121 4.50 ★    
10  SWEET SPITE Feb21 Jan08 Dec18 Nov29 Nov15 (fields kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 125 5.00    
 
PEN-4   03/13/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER FIFI Feb21 Jan08 Dec19 Dec06 Nov20 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
2  DANCING CHIME Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 Dec06 Oct31 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50 25% 3.10    
3  ADIOS MEISTER Feb21 Feb06 Nov21 Oct10 Sep20 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 123 10.00    
4  MAGGIE K Feb21 Jan08 Dec19 Nov20 Nov06 (bobadilla j)INIRIO J 123 1.80    
5  LADY ROBO Mar03 Feb04 Jan08 Dec10 Nov18 (abrams ronald)RUIZ ELISEO 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  TRECHMO GIRL Nov06 Oct16 Sep11 Aug22 Jul24 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 123 6.00    
 
PEN-5   03/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORCH SWING Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 Nov13 Sep15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Feb19 Jan09 Dec20 Dec12 Nov08 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 12.00 10% 8.60    
3  PETIT FILS (FR) Oct26 Oct11 Sep21 Sep05 Aug29 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
4  SAINT TEMPLAR Jan02 Dec18 Dec11 Oct25 Oct04 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00    
5  WATASHA Feb21 Jan03 Dec06 Nov15 Oct13 (brion )LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 2.50    
6  SPINNING MUSICIAN Feb21 Jan02 Dec18 Sep28 Sep02 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 125 4.00    
 
PEN-6   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRACEBETH Jan30 Dec19 Nov27 Oct23   (stites w)CHIAPPE R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LITTLE COCOA BEAN Mar01 Jan30 Dec30 Nov20   (hawthorne bobbi)RUIZ ELISEO 119 5.00    
SCR  SHERUNSTHISTOWN Feb07 Jan15 Dec14 Nov16   (sterli)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 10.00    
4  QUIVIRA CRANE Dec19 Nov27 Sep28     (kravets m)CORA D 119 12.00    
5  ALYVIA'S GIRL Mar03 Feb12 Jan13 Nov27 Oct23 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 5.00    
6  GOLDEN STYLE Feb20 Dec12 Nov14     (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ADA MAY Feb09 Jan17 Nov23 Nov02 Oct03 (miceli )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 6.00    
8  KASHMIR WITCH Feb07 Dec12       (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 4.00 15% 5.50    
9  BUTTER BEE QUICK Feb20 Jan28       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
 
PEN-7   03/13/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Feb25 Jan28 Jan01 Dec17 Nov25 (tapsas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00    
2  TEXTPECTATION Feb21 Feb06 Jan23 Jan16 Dec06 (morzan javi)INIRIO J 125 50.00    
SCR  TWIXTER Feb28 Jan02 Dec06 Nov14 Oct25 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 125 6.00    
4  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Feb21 Jan09 Jan02 Dec18 Nov21 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 125 3.50 15% 5.50    
5  LAKE NAKURU Feb28 Feb06 Jan02 Dec20 Dec06 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 4.00    
6  CAJUN OCCASION Feb27 Feb07 Dec19 Nov29 Nov08 (boyer david )VILLEGAS JERRY 125 12.00 6% 16.60    
7  MAKABIM Feb25 Jan29 Dec17 Oct07 Aug28 (serey juan)ORTIZ JOSHUA 118 3.00 25% 2.90    
8  JUMP FOR THE WIN Feb21 Jan08 Dec27 Nov13 Nov01 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 125 2.50 19% 4.10    
 
PEN-8   03/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE FIDDLE         (houghton thomas)CORA D 125 8.00 22% 3.50    
2  PELOSI Jan09 Dec18 Nov15 Oct23 Sep11 (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 2.50    
3  NEVER MORE VALOR Jan11 Dec27 Dec07 Nov17 Aug10 (meister wil)INIRIO J 125 10.00    
4  SIMPLY TENACIOUS         (montford leslie)LLOYD W 125 12.00 23% 3.30    
5  STORMIN HEIST Feb19 May16 Apr14 Mar28 Dec29 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 125 1.80 28% 2.60    
6  DAISY'S ANGEL Jun05 Oct14 Sep16     (deiter )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50    
7  INCAN MOON GODDESS Mar03 Feb12 Feb03 Oct23 Oct15 (diaz jorge)TORRES L 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-9   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINKELLY Feb19 Jan02 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 (albright am)RAMOS O 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
2  MAGNIFICENT RIDE Feb27 Dec27 Dec11 Nov15 Oct17 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 125 4.50 23% 3.30    
3  KAZ SWEET HEIST Feb19 Jan09 Dec18 Nov27 Jul06 (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
4  SUGAR'S LAST HOPE Dec18 Nov13 Oct23 Jul25 Jul12 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00    
5  BOOK MARKER Feb06 Jan02 Dec04 Nov13 Oct10 (kravets m)CORA D 123 12.00    
SCR  THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Mar01 Feb02 Jan17 Dec07 Nov09 (mancilla carlos)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 3.00    
7  STARSTREET Feb08 Jan09 Dec27 Sep18 Aug15 (rodriguez jose )VEGA L 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  PYLON Feb27 Feb11 Jan30 Jan07 Dec18 (rodriguez )GONZALEZ L 123 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.